Lol · resolved market
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8e826186a86b0ac10baff59bea53f43b3315f4057909f21217691e49c8f9141
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Galionsof Natus Vincere, Galions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $184,115
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $215,290
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,115 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Natus Vincere | 8c | 9,295$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.67 | 788 | 9.8%77 W · 711 L | +22.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Galions | 33c | 8,000$2,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,362.54 | 922 | 54%498 W · 424 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 7,791$5,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,057.73 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Galions | 34c | 7,160$2,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,755.48 | 308 | 45.1%139 W · 169 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Galions | 45c | 6,789$3,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,733.95 | 277 | 53.1%147 W · 130 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Galions | 33c | 5,554$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,730.25 | 861 | 36.2%312 W · 549 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 5,250$3,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,544.2 | 2,012 | 58.1%1,168 W · 844 L | +84.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Galions | 35c | 5,116$1,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,325.39 | 595 | 48.2%287 W · 308 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 5,025$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.7 | 814 | 43.5%354 W · 460 L | +30.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Galions | 70c | 4,809$3,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.16 | 677 | 60.4%409 W · 268 L | +42.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Galions | 37c | 4,381$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,780.89 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Natus Vincere | 14c | 4,210$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.77 | 1,453 | 43.4%630 W · 823 L | +106.7wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 4,046$2,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,558.2 | 1,525 | 50.6%771 W · 754 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 4,000$2,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,794.23 | 1,441 | 57.4%827 W · 614 L | +35.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Galions | 36c | 3,202$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,052.72 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Natus Vincere | 15c | 3,200$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.9 | 100 | 24%24 W · 76 L | -10.3wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 2,998$2,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,056.4 | 1,469 | 61.4%902 W · 567 L | -20.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…0feebacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 2,201$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.89 | 776 | 54.8%425 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c66…c204backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…bb92backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 2,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 114 | 39.5%45 W · 69 L | -11.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -30%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed Galions | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 904 | 43.6%394 W · 510 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Natus Vincere | 31c | 1,925$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.26 | 2,836 | 41.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L | -12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Galions | 47c | 1,918$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.66 | 450 | 41.1%185 W · 265 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5809…9868backed Natus Vincere | 13c | 1,771$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.46 | 975 | 27.8%271 W · 704 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Natus Vincere | 6c | 1,710$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 698 | 41.8%292 W · 406 L | +46.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1e…4123backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 1,700$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -9.2wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 1,683$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 381 | 54.3%207 W · 174 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 1,611$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.34 | 874 | 43.1%377 W · 497 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53a5…55dfbacked Galions | 76c | 1,577$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.28 | 433 | 58.2%252 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeed6…ec56backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 1,561$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.87 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 1,503$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 960 | 57.4%551 W · 409 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005 | 1,221 | 35.9%438 W · 783 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ea…832fbacked Galions | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 1,465$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.14 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…5442backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 1,418$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.51 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 1,279$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.49 | 2,237 | 33.3%745 W · 1,492 L | -71.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b26…6091backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 1,265$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.2 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8339…65dabacked Natus Vincere | 8c | 1,261$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Galions | 36c | 1,242$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.88 | 1,153 | 55.9%645 W · 508 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc0…7faabacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 1,203$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.22 | 113 | 29.2%33 W · 80 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Natus Vincere | 18c | 1,138$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.18 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea4d…c654backed Natus Vincere | 2c | 1,081$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Natus Vincere | 21c | 1,066$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.86 | 466 | 37.6%175 W · 291 L | -19.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Natus Vincere | 4c | 1,061$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.14 | 1,520 | 3.3%50 W · 1,470 L | -54.0wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Natus Vincere | 20c | 1,037$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.4 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb74…3fabbacked Natus Vincere | 10c | 1,026$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a6…e96bbacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 1,223 | 48.6%594 W · 629 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…115abacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Galions | 39c | 1,000$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.14 | 829 | 53.4%443 W · 386 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09f1…8332backed Natus Vincere | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…ab7bbacked Galions | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 843 | 60.7%512 W · 331 L | +44.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed Galions | 31c | 967.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.74 | 1,223 | 58.1%710 W · 513 L | +43.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Galions | 33c | 904.69$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.14 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 900$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 224 | 55.4%124 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8756…3c83backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 850$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Galions | 36c | 820$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.4 | 1,522 | 54.7%832 W · 690 L | +37.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x092b…614ebacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 815.41$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 156 | 44.2%69 W · 87 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 814.79$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.35 | 997 | 56.6%564 W · 433 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Galions | 35c | 800$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517 | 1,802 | 51.2%923 W · 879 L | +53.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46d…04f6backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 798$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.66 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Galions | 76c | 795.99$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.16 | 742 | 50.5%375 W · 367 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 784.4$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.8 | 1,143 | 30.8%352 W · 791 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…ab69backed Galions | 32c | 781.25$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.25 | 542 | 46.3%251 W · 291 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3afb…0004backed Galions | 77c | 756.09$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.85 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 750$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | -11.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4b…4a75backed Natus Vincere | 20c | 750$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Galions | 35c | 703$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.95 | 903 | 50.8%459 W · 444 L | +17.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…960fbacked Natus Vincere | 15c | 671.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 474 | 53.4%253 W · 221 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Natus Vincere | 13c | 660.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.93 | 249 | 35.3%88 W · 161 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Galions | 37c | 657.99$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.53 | 1,187 | 51.9%616 W · 571 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b7…3e1cbacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 657.78$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Galions | 35c | 652.98$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.44 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c8…5e53backed Galions | 67c | 621.5$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.72 | 250 | 74.8%187 W · 63 L | +42.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Galions | 62c | 618.42$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.56 | 375 | 48%180 W · 195 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x984c…e508backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 600$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed Natus Vincere | 10c | 595.89$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.84 | 535 | 43.4%232 W · 303 L | +33.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf91c…baa7backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 588$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.8 | 337 | 48.4%163 W · 174 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 562.21$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.3 | 502 | 42.2%212 W · 290 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Galions | 31c | 529.77$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.54 | 1,611 | 48.4%780 W · 831 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Galions | 33c | 494.89$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.58 | 1,412 | 43.8%618 W · 794 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…f0f0backed Galions | 61c | 488.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.78 | 298 | 46.6%139 W · 159 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Natus Vincere | 18c | 487.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.06 | 753 | 42.5%320 W · 433 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 486.57$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.75 | 1,912 | 37.1%709 W · 1,203 L | -115.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 456.8$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.92 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 452.54$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.79 | 2,707 | 35.9%972 W · 1,735 L | -152.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere | 21c | 443.48$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.63 | 2,910 | 38.5%1,120 W · 1,790 L | -120.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffc…cfabbacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 432.85$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 237 | 40.5%96 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 432.81$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.65 | 215 | 59.5%128 W · 87 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…9896backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 417.67$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.37 | 509 | 45.8%233 W · 276 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 415.38$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 233 | 41.2%96 W · 137 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed Galions | 42c | 400$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.5 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c0…f389backed Natus Vincere | 17c | 399.96$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 170 | 35.9%61 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 394.16$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.65 | 1,476 | 43.6%643 W · 833 L | -31.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a72…c866backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 391.99$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.77 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 381.89$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.94 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd44f…af0abacked Natus Vincere | 7c | 380$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed Galions | 37c | 358$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.54 | 864 | 51.4%444 W · 420 L | +52.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 350$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 963 | 48.7%469 W · 494 L | +28.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 340.33$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.72 | 858 | 52.3%449 W · 409 L | +35.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs Galions (+1.5)Galions won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier PlayoffsNatus Vincere won
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions - Game 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.