Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
California Golden Bears vs. Stanford Cardinal
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf265765be21f1276ee361b134e4fb3a4cb925abccd5c934409acaeebb6ee42a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- California Golden Bearsof California Golden Bears, Stanford Cardinal
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,226
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,486
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,226 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc6ec…81c2backed Stanford Cardinal | 16c | 3,500$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.02 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Stanford Cardinal | 65c | 1,734$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.44 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Stanford Cardinal | 10c | 1,457$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.24 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked California Golden Bears | 75c | 1,208$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.87 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Stanford Cardinal | 64c | 1,082$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.34 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed California Golden Bears | 35c | 1,001$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.65 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed California Golden Bears | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…348fbacked Stanford Cardinal | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 0%0 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…9e9ebacked California Golden Bears | 77c | 809.99$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.3 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed California Golden Bears | 72c | 689.76$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.86 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Stanford Cardinal | 33c | 625.59$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.5 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked California Golden Bears | 35c | 528$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.2 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Stanford Cardinal | 38c | 521.41$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.84 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Stanford Cardinal | 65c | 499.71$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.81 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked California Golden Bears | 31c | 494.28$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.88 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed California Golden Bears | 66c | 347.74$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.02 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Stanford Cardinal | 65c | 309.58$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.66 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed California Golden Bears | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Stanford Cardinal | 50c | 268.67$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.14 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Stanford Cardinal | 25c | 267.26$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.28 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked California Golden Bears | 34c | 219.73$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.02 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Stanford Cardinal | 34c | 206.46$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.91 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked California Golden Bears | 34c | 179.08$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.19 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c22…e27bbacked California Golden Bears | 65c | 170.87$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed California Golden Bears | 58c | 159.45$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.65 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed California Golden Bears | 65c | 156.84$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.92 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Stanford Cardinal | 36c | 154.48$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.94 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x892f…820ebacked Stanford Cardinal | 34c | 148.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed California Golden Bears | 50c | 145$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…f97fbacked California Golden Bears | 62c | 137.1$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Stanford Cardinal | 51c | 120$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bc…963cbacked Stanford Cardinal | 73c | 106.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.61 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed California Golden Bears | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Stanford Cardinal | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…d3abbacked California Golden Bears | 21c | 94.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.47 | 202 | 34.2%69 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed California Golden Bears | 34c | 90$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Stanford Cardinal | 34c | 66.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…8b71backed Stanford Cardinal | 69c | 65.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Stanford Cardinal | 54c | 65.41$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Stanford Cardinal | 33c | 59.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Stanford Cardinal | 21c | 57.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf121…6903backed Stanford Cardinal | 35c | 56.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Stanford Cardinal | 35c | 53.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Stanford Cardinal | 36c | 52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…df76backed Stanford Cardinal | 48c | 51.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Stanford Cardinal | 29c | 50.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Stanford Cardinal | 66c | 49.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.19 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Stanford Cardinal | 32c | 45.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Stanford Cardinal | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed California Golden Bears | 35c | 39.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed California Golden Bears | 36c | 33.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc669…53eabacked California Golden Bears | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Stanford Cardinal | 77c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Stanford Cardinal | 64c | 23.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…22efbacked Stanford Cardinal | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…1afdbacked Stanford Cardinal | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Stanford Cardinal | 64c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab3a…6ba4backed California Golden Bears | 80c | 18.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- California Golden Bears vs. Stanford Cardinalthis page
- California Golden Bears vs. Stanford Cardinal: O/U 145.5Under won
- Spread: Stanford Cardinal (-4.5)California Golden Bears won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.