Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4f1a91d73583ba18fe0124fff52798bc1c97b528c27e009e47262c941c1af43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corpof G2 Esports, Karmine Corp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,219
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,521
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,219 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbe8c…9e9ebacked G2 Esports | 32c | 1,482$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.42 | 178 | 39.3%70 W · 108 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b3…3989backed Karmine Corp | 69c | 1,080$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.6 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked G2 Esports | 31c | 999$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.69 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8a…bbf4backed Karmine Corp | 67c | 647.77$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.76 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Karmine Corp | 68c | 368.04$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.04 | 650 | 63.2%411 W · 239 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ca…2737backed Karmine Corp | 69c | 362.32$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 112 | 64.3%72 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Karmine Corp | 70c | 304.56$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.37 | 212 | 49.1%104 W · 108 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed Karmine Corp | 70c | 286.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.5 | 423 | 48.2%204 W · 219 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed G2 Esports | 34c | 228.8$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.43 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed1c…494dbacked G2 Esports | 32c | 212.5$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Karmine Corp | 77c | 183.97$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.91 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Karmine Corp | 68c | 182.07$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.26 | 386 | 40.4%156 W · 230 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked G2 Esports | 31c | 159.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 373 | 43.4%162 W · 211 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Karmine Corp | 66c | 149.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked G2 Esports | 32c | 126.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked G2 Esports | 32c | 121.88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 233 | 30%70 W · 163 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked G2 Esports | 32c | 120$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 248 | 32.3%80 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Karmine Corp | 66c | 115.04$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed G2 Esports | 31c | 109$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 462 | 48.9%226 W · 236 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed G2 Esports | 26c | 100.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed Karmine Corp | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 660 | 59.8%395 W · 265 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked G2 Esports | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 347 | 42.1%146 W · 201 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked G2 Esports | 34c | 91.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked G2 Esports | 26c | 82.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Karmine Corp | 69c | 50.44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 617 | 46.5%287 W · 330 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212a…05c0backed Karmine Corp | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed G2 Esports | 32c | 47.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e79…83eebacked Karmine Corp | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 73 | 23.3%17 W · 56 L | -10.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed Karmine Corp | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 149 | 60.4%90 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a6…b8d3backed Karmine Corp | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +6.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x53f2…5343backed G2 Esports | 32c | 38.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 122 | 36.9%45 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Karmine Corp | 67c | 37.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 287 | 46%132 W · 155 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfca7…5e0abacked G2 Esports | 33c | 36.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked G2 Esports | 31c | 35.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 348 | 49.1%171 W · 177 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8feb…63fcbacked G2 Esports | 35c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d72…a791backed G2 Esports | 78c | 32.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15fa…f856backed Karmine Corp | 68c | 32.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b92…f8d7backed G2 Esports | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe332…d5e9backed Karmine Corp | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 306 | 66.3%203 W · 103 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50a…f929backed Karmine Corp | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Karmine Corp | 69c | 23.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 639 | 44.6%285 W · 354 L | -18.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ff…6b68backed Karmine Corp | 66c | 22.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ff…a74cbacked Karmine Corp | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 175 | 52.6%92 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…84aabacked Karmine Corp | 67c | 16.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 379 | 50.9%193 W · 186 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 1?G2 Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonKarmine Corp won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 WinnerG2 Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.