Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54a6f03e831946bafd95f02f6d96fbc936f2ffa3e92462ceda77eaad79a9a463
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,918
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,918 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8627…5382backed Over | 49c | 1,435$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.63 | 223 | 55.2%123 W · 100 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…2d49backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5055…b09bbacked Over | 51c | 960.4$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.21 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 48c | 915.43$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.75 | 386 | 40.4%156 W · 230 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36a4…ad72backed Under | 50c | 795.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.55 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62ef…f1dcbacked Over | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 48c | 555.95$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.55 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 49c | 543.23$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.6 | 373 | 43.4%162 W · 211 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 49c | 519.55$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.58 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 51c | 500.1$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.05 | 246 | 43.1%106 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 209 | 46.4%97 W · 112 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked Under | 51c | 440$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.4 | 373 | 42.9%160 W · 213 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…cd25backed Under | 52c | 413.46$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 460 | 50.7%233 W · 227 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Under | 49c | 297.33$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.69 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Under | 52c | 281.67$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.47 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 48c | 229.17$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.17 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Over | 50c | 220.74$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.74 | 660 | 58.8%388 W · 272 L | -36.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01b6…7d7cbacked Over | 53c | 205.26$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.47 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -4.9wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8feb…63fcbacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8838…b9febacked Over | 51c | 187.33$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.79 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Over | 54c | 181.48$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.48 | 282 | 40.8%115 W · 167 L | -16.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 17c | 155.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 828 | 36.4%301 W · 527 L | -41.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fc…5dafbacked Under | 51c | 139.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.09 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 54c | 130.18$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.11 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Under | 51c | 129.09$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.66 | 273 | 56.8%155 W · 118 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 28c | 125$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 47c | 115.31$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 17c | 108.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55e3…b615backed Over | 51c | 96.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15fc…fec7backed Over | 57c | 88.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 48c | 76.4$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.73 | 612 | 56.2%344 W · 268 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x559b…4959backed Under | 43c | 67.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…a16ebacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 403 | 65%262 W · 141 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b0…4d1ebacked Over | 48c | 59.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x134d…b07bbacked Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 102 | 31.4%32 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 49c | 57.65$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Over | 51c | 52.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 251 | 54.2%136 W · 115 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Under | 48c | 52.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 421 | 43.9%185 W · 236 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4190…2e04backed Over | 50c | 52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf3…d220backed Over | 51c | 43.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 71c | 43.01$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 347 | 42.1%146 W · 201 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 27c | 43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 51c | 39.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 617 | 46.5%287 W · 330 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Under | 51c | 39.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked Under | 45c | 32.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 324 | 42%136 W · 188 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…b95fbacked Over | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 194 | 70.6%137 W · 57 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Under | 53c | 23.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 166 | 54.2%90 W · 76 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Over | 47c | 23.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dc…58d5backed Over | 56c | 22.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8471…9e49backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad1b…1d65backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec6…749ebacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb35c…33c8backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Over | 74c | 13.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?G2 Esports won
- Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)Karmine Corp won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonKarmine Corp won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 WinnerG2 Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.