Will Pedro Neto score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x072fe0f9ec182a7288cf1e6756d7668bdf438f6d8a289fee599d6748e6116b97

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,312
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $3,273

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,312 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	47c	348.74$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183.99	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Yes	59c	255.29$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.99	403	55.3%223 W · 180 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e08…e99bbacked No	65c	175.38$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.38	138	55.1%76 W · 62 L	+6.2wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x59e4…3130backed Yes	40c	155.73$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.8	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+2.0wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x73ed…310ebacked Yes	50c	149.7$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-1.9wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-48.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x71a5…b594backed No	65c	128.99$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.15	185	38.9%72 W · 113 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-12%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcbbf…0098backed Yes	45c	110.63$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Yes	28c	103.88$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.66	431	45.2%195 W · 236 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cc5…475abacked No	60c	93.75$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.5	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+3.2wins	+0.17per pick	46cpaid	+47.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a90…2ff9backed Yes	45c	87.02$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.16	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	30cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed No	54c	75$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.3	481	40.1%193 W · 288 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec8c…8961backed No	70c	57$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.1	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes	41c	55.62$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.8	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Yes	46c	55.56$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.56	209	55.5%116 W · 93 L	+12.8wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc049…d4b9backed No	54c	55.56$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.56	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d8e…735bbacked No	58c	54.55$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.89	111	56.8%63 W · 48 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab6d…0f23backed Yes	38c	52.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.97	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	+47.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d82…3a1bbacked Yes	43c	52.38$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.57	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1959…0b3fbacked Yes	46c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	56	50%28 W · 28 L	+5.5wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+68.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x51d0…ce35backed Yes	51c	49.02$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-2.6wins	-0.26per pick	36cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	53c	49.02$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.13	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes	54c	40.91$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	486	36.6%178 W · 308 L	-48.4wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x18dc…5e90backed Yes	56c	40.13$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.47	144	36.1%52 W · 92 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff67…a1c9backed No	58c	39.14$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.44	59	54.2%32 W · 27 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89df…f8d0backed No	54c	37.04$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.04	142	45.8%65 W · 77 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked No	55c	34.27$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.42	78	38.5%30 W · 48 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed Yes	56c	33.11$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.54	130	51.5%67 W · 63 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b7a…86cfbacked No	38c	30$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.6	234	29.1%68 W · 166 L	-10.4wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa34a…71bbbacked No	61c	24.59$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.59	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+2.4wins	+0.20per pick	47cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No	55c	22$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.9	1,306	44.7%584 W · 722 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4e9…bf77backed No	51c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.8	54	50%27 W · 27 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa1e3…b6d0backed No	51c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.8	64	26.6%17 W · 47 L	-12.2wins	-0.19per pick	46cpaid	-56.6%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x88ad…9e5fbacked No	55c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9	110	58.2%64 W · 46 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9073…13b3backed No	60c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8	72	48.6%35 W · 37 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2db…140abacked No	58c	19$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.03	52	57.7%30 W · 22 L	+8.8wins	+0.17per pick	41cpaid	+44.1%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Pedro Neto score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event