TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

Tennis · resolved market

Abidjan: Sebastian Gima vs Niels Visker

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Niels Viskerof Sebastian Gima, Niels Visker
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$103,151
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,425

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,151 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x27b0…fc67backed Sebastian Gima14c15,945$2,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,282.8631234.6%108 W · 204 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Niels Visker62c12,748$7,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,810.649,26736.2%3,352 W · 5,915 L-199.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58e4…73f9backed Sebastian Gima48c8,481$4,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,110.9730741.7%128 W · 179 L-1.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Niels Visker50c8,267$4,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,129.9211,87743.3%5,143 W · 6,734 L+19.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6eb7…a0f1backed Sebastian Gima50c6,067$3,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,011.8212146.3%56 W · 65 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1f5a…4a26backed Niels Visker56c6,002$3,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,628.872259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Sebastian Gima53c5,811$3,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,058.497,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Sebastian Gima5c5,187$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.858,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Niels Visker52c3,071$1,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,462.983,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Niels Visker48c2,157$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.021,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1607…79bebacked Sebastian Gima2c2,000$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361028.8%9 W · 93 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-31%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dfe…a5d6backed Sebastian Gima48c1,624$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.9150458.9%297 W · 207 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Sebastian Gima51c1,582$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.322,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Niels Visker49c1,500$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7654,09839.8%1,631 W · 2,467 L+95.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Sebastian Gima47c1,300$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.983464.7%22 W · 12 L+5.8wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+36.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Sebastian Gima62c1,267$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.6585348.7%415 W · 438 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Niels Visker44c1,116$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.091,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Sebastian Gima47c1,115$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.612,08846.7%975 W · 1,113 L+19.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Sebastian Gima47c1,053$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.8858232%186 W · 396 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Niels Visker51c989$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.461,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Sebastian Gima62c633.57$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.8160446.7%282 W · 322 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Sebastian Gima62c633.57$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.8176853%407 W · 361 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Sebastian Gima56c521.57$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.081,92755.4%1,068 W · 859 L-43.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Niels Visker75c491.57$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.324,80349.5%2,379 W · 2,424 L+174.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Niels Visker54c474$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.6286749.7%431 W · 436 L+22.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Niels Visker35c462.19$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.1937741.4%156 W · 221 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Niels Visker53c441$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.994,70848.3%2,275 W · 2,433 L+36.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Sebastian Gima51c408.84$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.44,64767.7%3,147 W · 1,500 L+308.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Sebastian Gima28c395.97$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.5738013.9%53 W · 327 L-38.3wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-55.2%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Sebastian Gima65c392.41$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.071,01846.8%476 W · 542 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7a5…f64abacked Sebastian Gima50c388$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19484963.1%536 W · 313 L+0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a18…61a0backed Niels Visker57c359.12$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.5352155.3%288 W · 233 L+27.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Niels Visker34c355$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.8249049.4%242 W · 248 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d6…8f66backed Niels Visker56c354.13$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.8918462%114 W · 70 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Sebastian Gima38c318.42$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1211,38416.5%228 W · 1,156 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe031…5c08backed Sebastian Gima34c315.15$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.1273549.8%366 W · 369 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Sebastian Gima43c289.8$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.6554345.3%246 W · 297 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dbb…c0fdbacked Niels Visker74c264.81$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.899856.1%55 W · 43 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked Niels Visker55c251.47$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.7332851.8%170 W · 158 L+1.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0c0…b68ebacked Sebastian Gima9c241.59$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.865623.2%13 W · 43 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick16cpaid+29.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Niels Visker58c232.18$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.5859253.5%317 W · 275 L+22.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Niels Visker53c229.48$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.8627732.1%89 W · 188 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Sebastian Gima59c225.82$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.641,00541.3%415 W · 590 L+14.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a1d…ce4abacked Niels Visker55c217.03$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.667360.3%44 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Sebastian Gima47c208.26$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8887650.3%441 W · 435 L+23.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc953…01bfbacked Sebastian Gima52c208$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.165442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Niels Visker52c207.37$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.3460355.4%334 W · 269 L+19.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Niels Visker48c206.35$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.351,58847%746 W · 842 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6e…99eabacked Sebastian Gima51c202.95$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.52516%4 W · 21 L-6.7wins-0.27per pick43cpaid-71.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Sebastian Gima38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7627940.1%112 W · 167 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Niels Visker64c194.03$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.279,44444.3%4,188 W · 5,256 L-249.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed Sebastian Gima50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9725957.1%148 W · 111 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b45…db25backed Sebastian Gima40c190.99$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.236933.3%23 W · 46 L-8.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-41.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Niels Visker52c187.13$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.021,67553.1%889 W · 786 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Sebastian Gima51c187$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.891,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Niels Visker54c172.04$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.1236944.4%164 W · 205 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5572…f01ebacked Sebastian Gima33c163.61$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9257953.7%311 W · 268 L+19.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Niels Visker73c148.28$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7255360.4%334 W · 219 L+32.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Niels Visker51c141.95$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.351,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Sebastian Gima47c140$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.834154.3%185 W · 156 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c55…7ef8backed Sebastian Gima45c125$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.252445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Niels Visker51c123.27$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.482855.2%457 W · 371 L+3.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Niels Visker53c116.85$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.921,17451.9%609 W · 565 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44aa…d1d5backed Niels Visker51c110.12$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.961478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+34.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x787d…aecdbacked Niels Visker55c107.38$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6638860.6%235 W · 153 L-11.9wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67ff…3214backed Sebastian Gima21c107.06$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3238522.3%86 W · 299 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Niels Visker53c105.07$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.3818447.3%87 W · 97 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Sebastian Gima48c100.42$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4463052.4%330 W · 300 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Sebastian Gima47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4738741.1%159 W · 228 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Niels Visker53c99.04$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.221,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc118…54c2backed Sebastian Gima50c97.3$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.51030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid+76.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Niels Visker49c96.94$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.441,11252.9%588 W · 524 L+3.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Sebastian Gima49c96.94$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.58643%37 W · 49 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Sebastian Gima47c90$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Niels Visker46c85.15$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9850259%296 W · 206 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Niels Visker53c84.55$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.741,27661%778 W · 498 L+27.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ed…72efbacked Niels Visker45c79.34$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6438754.3%210 W · 177 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa41…2239backed Sebastian Gima23c78.88$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1415751%80 W · 77 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Sebastian Gima48c77.58$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.015,48656.3%3,088 W · 2,398 L+232.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed Sebastian Gima64c76.44$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9226555.8%148 W · 117 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb882…fcabbacked Sebastian Gima64c76.44$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.927349.3%36 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Niels Visker49c75$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.377,22749.7%3,591 W · 3,636 L+118.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Sebastian Gima47c75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.251,15148.7%560 W · 591 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa589…96fcbacked Sebastian Gima50c72.57$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.345945.8%27 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sebastian Gima35c72.36$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.468,12750.8%4,126 W · 4,001 L+84.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64b1…f556backed Niels Visker64c70.39$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.193426.5%9 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-44.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Sebastian Gima48c69.73$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5261752.5%324 W · 293 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6687…b9ddbacked Niels Visker36c67.11$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0828454.9%156 W · 128 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Sebastian Gima25c66.17$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2474346.3%344 W · 399 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Sebastian Gima24c64.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.284736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Sebastian Gima49c62.67$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.711,25752%654 W · 603 L+45.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b2…dcc5backed Niels Visker63c60.59$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.424753.2%25 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Niels Visker52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2964745.9%297 W · 350 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7713…daf0backed Sebastian Gima23c58.1$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3413850%69 W · 69 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Niels Visker53c55.29$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.142,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2e3…4874backed Niels Visker77c53.71$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.591880.5%739 W · 179 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Sebastian Gima47c50.35$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6698044.7%438 W · 542 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Sebastian Gima46c48.83$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.343,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2c8…d506backed Sebastian Gima42c45.96$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.315937.7%60 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Niels Visker53c45.84$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5431463.1%198 W · 116 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.