Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic (BO3) - DreamLeague South America Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4da19bbc55684703da78de5e8c928f9d344d8479a6c27af6ba1161a9843f0683
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof South America Rejects, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $496,413
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $517,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $496,413 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed South America Rejects | 39c | 378,745$146,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146,425.06 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Heroic | 64c | 371,530$236,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134,557.72 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Heroic | 70c | 17,814$12,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,386.59 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed Heroic | 69c | 10,658$7,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,264.5 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2539…1f2cbacked South America Rejects | 41c | 9,134$3,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,709.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Heroic | 59c | 7,405$4,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,036.08 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b97…5521backed South America Rejects | 2c | 5,065$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.07 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked South America Rejects | 29c | 2,676$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.51 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed South America Rejects | 30c | 2,603$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.12 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed South America Rejects | 33c | 2,450$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.47 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked South America Rejects | 32c | 2,263$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.35 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed South America Rejects | 30c | 1,849$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.77 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed South America Rejects | 30c | 1,849$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.77 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed South America Rejects | 30c | 1,849$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.77 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Heroic | 65c | 1,691$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.5 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed South America Rejects | 30c | 1,603$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Heroic | 69c | 1,543$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.6 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…67f7backed Heroic | 66c | 1,494$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.75 | 191 | 62.8%120 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb110…21eabacked Heroic | 66c | 1,478$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.22 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -7.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Heroic | 65c | 1,466$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.69 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked South America Rejects | 34c | 1,449$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.75 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d2ffbacked Heroic | 67c | 1,211$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.75 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5615…3199backed Heroic | 67c | 1,160$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.02 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa11c…e96fbacked Heroic | 70c | 1,124$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.1 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked Heroic | 73c | 1,072$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.01 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked South America Rejects | 17c | 1,069$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.53 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed South America Rejects | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…ab65backed Heroic | 65c | 979$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.65 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Heroic | 72c | 867.46$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.8 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked South America Rejects | 34c | 828.96$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.72 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Heroic | 74c | 787.29$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.15 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Heroic | 66c | 742.6$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.81 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Heroic | 67c | 731.49$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.39 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Heroic | 72c | 696.67$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.92 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf4…181ebacked Heroic | 74c | 668.31$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.22 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b62…12edbacked Heroic | 71c | 645.7$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.98 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked South America Rejects | 28c | 643.1$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.68 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked South America Rejects | 30c | 638.67$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked South America Rejects | 15c | 627.07$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.91 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Heroic | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked South America Rejects | 37c | 552.96$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.35 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5051…82a6backed South America Rejects | 35c | 480.27$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.65 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Heroic | 65c | 452.15$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.46 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…b9ecbacked Heroic | 70c | 407.8$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.31 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 50cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Heroic | 72c | 347.73$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.89 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd8…099dbacked South America Rejects | 34c | 338.71$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Heroic | 62c | 312.04$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.1 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Heroic | 61c | 251.99$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Heroic | 67c | 245.4$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.98 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x523b…cd5abacked Heroic | 66c | 238.7$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.16 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Heroic | 76c | 230.27$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.37 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90e…107abacked Heroic | 65c | 210.64$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked South America Rejects | 29c | 165.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked South America Rejects | 29c | 160.74$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed South America Rejects | 36c | 160.25$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.35 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6e…271bbacked South America Rejects | 30c | 159.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…ec56backed Heroic | 62c | 153.69$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.76 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c0…f389backed South America Rejects | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Heroic | 73c | 148.44$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.09 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed Heroic | 69c | 143.54$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.17 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed Heroic | 70c | 140.29$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…ae70backed Heroic | 70c | 139.92$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Heroic | 65c | 138.65$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Heroic | 73c | 137.01$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.55 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…fb90backed South America Rejects | 23c | 132.29$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…0270backed South America Rejects | 36c | 129.48$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…15c2backed South America Rejects | 29c | 127.97$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf456…3855backed South America Rejects | 11c | 124.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 173 | 37.6%65 W · 108 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac8…45c4backed South America Rejects | 39c | 123.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Heroic | 66c | 123.42$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.06 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Heroic | 65c | 115$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.25 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed South America Rejects | 31c | 111.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa15f…ad19backed Heroic | 67c | 109.72$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked Heroic | 67c | 108.26$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.73 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed South America Rejects | 33c | 105$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 136 | 36%49 W · 87 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed South America Rejects | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…cb28backed South America Rejects | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae9…a6d5backed South America Rejects | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -46%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Heroic | 76c | 98.87$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Heroic | 77c | 98.27$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5a…4a26backed Heroic | 65c | 93.38$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed South America Rejects | 31c | 93.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked South America Rejects | 17c | 90.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Heroic | 67c | 89.67$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.78 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Heroic | 63c | 89.5$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 138 | 54.3%75 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d58…de06backed South America Rejects | 40c | 88.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06d9…7cfbbacked Heroic | 65c | 88.37$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.93 | 201 | 51.2%103 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1863…6174backed Heroic | 64c | 88.06$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 304 | 60.2%183 W · 121 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa507…2689backed Heroic | 74c | 87.59$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…6d55backed South America Rejects | 29c | 82.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Heroic | 60c | 81.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x059c…01a5backed Heroic | 61c | 80.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -59%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Heroic | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 227 | 52.9%120 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…5a1dbacked Heroic | 62c | 78.41$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9901backed Heroic | 62c | 77.52$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Heroic | 64c | 76.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed South America Rejects | 39c | 76.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Heroic | 73c | 75.44$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Heroic | 66c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Heroic | 78c | 71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic (BO3) - DreamLeague South America Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic - Game 1 WinnerHeroic won
- Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic - Game 2 WinnerSouth America Rejects won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.