MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18779e4db92c739411a456ea63f080765d63a5d774419a0f1d74b1ba7e2b0db0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Marlinsof Miami Marlins, Pittsburgh Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $653,467
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $669,713
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $653,467 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 401 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 120,012$68,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,406.83 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37d3…709abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 1c | 103,512$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.6 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafac…8730backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 51,383$23,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,152.56 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 51,000$29,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,069.92 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…a70ebacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 49,517$21,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,224.43 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 36,000$15,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,520 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 25,000$10,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,250 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 24,762$10,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,976.51 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 24,150$12,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,902.27 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 23,845$12,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,846.71 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 20,520$10,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,583.91 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 15,999$6,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,119.22 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 15,000$7,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,263.88 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a4…32a8backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 11,628$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,627.91 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 11,365$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,364.93 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,699.98 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 7,355$4,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,001.08 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 7,000$3,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,990 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 6,609$2,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,825.41 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 5,282$2,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,098.36 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 5,166$2,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,944.6 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc233…0561backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 4,325$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 4,170$2,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,509 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 4,079$1,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,789.48 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 3,826$2,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,215.5 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…e551backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 3,775$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 3,758$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.33 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Miami Marlins | 77c | 3,526$2,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.86 | 717 | 50.1%359 W · 358 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 3,220$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,790.78 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 2,907$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.97 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…b386backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 2,721$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Miami Marlins | 32c | 2,628$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,786.86 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 2,381$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.14 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 2,372$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.64 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 2,250$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.65 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 2,228$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.42 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 2,211$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.39 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 1,947$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.77 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 1,937$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 1,907$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 1,800$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 1,800$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb459…3efdbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 1,703$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.83 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 1,650$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.49 | 389 | 56.8%221 W · 168 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 1,624$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.64 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 1,409$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.7 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 1,368$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.24 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 1,263$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.9 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 1,221$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.44 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 1,212$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.58 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 1,205$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.84 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 1,184$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.25 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 1,182$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.89 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf77e…b594backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 2c | 1,013$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 51 | 5.9%3 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +188.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…38e5backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 1,009$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.96 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 1,002$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.3 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5400…8a89backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 68 | 1.5%1 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Miami Marlins | 42c | 999.98$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.99 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba91…e999backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 971.65$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.84 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Miami Marlins | 42c | 900$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Miami Marlins | 64c | 896.68$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.89 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 884.09$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.09 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Miami Marlins | 34c | 814.71$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.71 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Miami Marlins | 77c | 807.67$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.8 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 800$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 2c | 799.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c73…6dafbacked Miami Marlins | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 763$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.91 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 749.99$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 739.98$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.49 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 2c | 700$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 106 | 25.5%27 W · 79 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 688.94$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.78 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7d…26c4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 681$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.98 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 679$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.43 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e70…582fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 7c | 678.57$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 657$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.49 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6862…8c75backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 655.17$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e0…826dbacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 619.01$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.09 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b54…d382backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 609.34$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.42 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 603.45$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 577.06$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.3 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 3c | 571.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…e875backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 569.32$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.66 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 560.19$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.41 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 553.78$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.6 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 24c | 542.06$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.28 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 520.32$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.96 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 511$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.27 | 143 | 58%83 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 502.64$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.57 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3c…5607backed Miami Marlins | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Miami Marlins | 34c | 499.98$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.98 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 499.95$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.47 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 494.32$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.83 | 324 | 50.9%165 W · 159 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a5…cd84backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…955abacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 454.43$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.19 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Piratesthis page
- Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 11.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh PiratesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.