MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23890c3a22b4452038b1f190810427f5a9d7383e4806abdd5619085f862728c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,385
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,432
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,385 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Under | 59c | 15,000$8,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,892.32 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 44c | 10,082$4,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,693.31 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Over | 54c | 7,500$4,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,450 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 46c | 6,949$3,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,196.4 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 54c | 6,481$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,981.48 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 44c | 6,374$2,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.48 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Under | 46c | 5,123$2,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,356.8 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 47c | 4,590$2,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,147.79 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 52c | 4,243$2,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,210.39 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 44c | 4,147$1,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,334.48 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed Under | 47c | 3,847$1,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,808.09 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 2,907$1,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,652.07 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Over | 53c | 2,791$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.8 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 72c | 2,342$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.16 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 53c | 2,250$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.26 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 54c | 1,942$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.11 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Under | 48c | 1,917$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.95 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 51c | 1,709$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.45 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 47c | 1,289$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.69 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 53c | 1,279$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.18 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 53c | 997.17$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.67 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 52c | 867.94$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.61 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 38c | 810.5$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.51 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 49c | 750$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.5 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 47c | 638.28$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 50c | 622.63$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.47 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 52c | 560.37$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.98 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 51c | 530.15$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 299 | 50.5%151 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b94…b660backed Over | 54c | 506.99$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.22 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Under | 46c | 484.94$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.07 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Over | 54c | 463.64$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.64 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 51c | 345.45$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.26 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Over | 49c | 289.61$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.7 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 37c | 221.69$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.86 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 52c | 220.33$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.74 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 52c | 219$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.63 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Over | 49c | 201.41$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.72 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Over | 44c | 199.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.99 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 41c | 187.6$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.82 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2bfa…8b61backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ae…dc88backed Under | 47c | 159.56$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.44 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…2751backed Over | 38c | 151.19$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.74 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 37c | 151.19$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.68 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 37c | 148.25$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.74 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 54c | 126.15$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.16 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 47c | 121$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.87 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 50c | 120.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.45 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Over | 48c | 119$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.88 | 292 | 42.5%124 W · 168 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab7…6978backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 36c | 91.67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.67 | 313 | 43.5%136 W · 177 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 18c | 84.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 52c | 84.62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.62 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 43c | 80.76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.65 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 52c | 80.75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 48c | 79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 52c | 78.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…3806backed Over | 62c | 75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.65 | 177 | 52.5%93 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 276 | 46.7%129 W · 147 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bba…e4a7backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Over | 50c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff68…8379backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 34c | 48.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.89 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Over | 52c | 41.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…724dbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 51c | 38.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73d6…09edbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…a024backed Over | 53c | 30.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Under | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 192 | 52.6%101 W · 91 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa95a…6b78backed Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…6a58backed Over | 54c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x773e…7502backed Under | 53c | 28.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Over | 61c | 27.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf051…900ebacked Over | 46c | 26.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09a6…252abacked Under | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1486…cef3backed Over | 49c | 24.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c6…2d29backed Over | 49c | 24.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…5ff8backed Over | 49c | 24.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…0b91backed Over | 49c | 23.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Over | 55c | 22.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 47c | 22.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Under | 51c | 20.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 50c | 20.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 64c | 18.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 63c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5this page
- Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh PiratesMiami Marlins won
- Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 11.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh PiratesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.