MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f7053f45a4b4fdfc0af2cddbb92938b55dbe80428609c00c659d11e8c869ff6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Red Soxof Boston Red Sox, Pittsburgh Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,675
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,675 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43ca…c219backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 35,459$16,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,665.63 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 14,044$7,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,600.46 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 9,399$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,399.02 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Boston Red Sox | 78c | 8,281$6,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,842.82 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 33c | 6,715$2,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,243.6 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 5,879$2,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,704.19 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Boston Red Sox | 73c | 4,866$3,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.73 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 21c | 4,762$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 4,025$2,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,796.15 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 2,808$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.66 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 2,618$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.01 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 29c | 1,945$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.97 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 1,673$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.58 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 31c | 1,467$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.5 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68c5…0322backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 1,444$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.28 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 1,415$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.09 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 1,296$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.3 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 31c | 1,141$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.66 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Boston Red Sox | 53c | 924.53$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.53 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb25…62edbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 833$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.84 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 648.95$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.77 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 603$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.38 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a26…1589backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 524.91$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.96 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 403$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.38 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 25c | 378.88$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.34 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8b…5e36backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ac…b7c1backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 375.02$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.26 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 354.21$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.02 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Boston Red Sox | 74c | 350$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Boston Red Sox | 69c | 346.16$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.6 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…c332backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 16c | 327.13$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.68 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 326$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.22 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…e4f6backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 311.08$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.21 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 310$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.7 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d14…663fbacked Boston Red Sox | 53c | 306$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.82 | 168 | 56.5%95 W · 73 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 294.23$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.23 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Boston Red Sox | 67c | 285$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaea…b079backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 8c | 284.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 79 | 24.1%19 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Boston Red Sox | 79c | 278.55$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 263$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 303 | 40.6%123 W · 180 L | -16.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Boston Red Sox | 53c | 244.07$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.71 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Boston Red Sox | 53c | 240$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 230.76$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 33c | 227.09$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.74 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 223.98$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.07 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 213$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.11 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3814…17bcbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Boston Red Sox | 71c | 196.4$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.96 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 195.01$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.65 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Boston Red Sox | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 185.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.18 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Boston Red Sox | 70c | 183.47$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.94 | 349 | 52.7%184 W · 165 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked Boston Red Sox | 66c | 181.01$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.43 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Boston Red Sox | 78c | 179.33$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.45 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Boston Red Sox | 53c | 169$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.43 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 169$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.74 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 167.33$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.97 | 375 | 46.9%176 W · 199 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d91…3578backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 166.04$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.04 | 140 | 64.3%90 W · 50 L | +11.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 164.66$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.46 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 158.37$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.61 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 14c | 156.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x750c…d430backed Boston Red Sox | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e7…af6bbacked Boston Red Sox | 53c | 142$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.74 | 447 | 50.6%226 W · 221 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Boston Red Sox | 53c | 133$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.51 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…b051backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 130$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 173 | 46.2%80 W · 93 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Boston Red Sox | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2561…ce3ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 122.02$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.09 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…38bfbacked Boston Red Sox | 53c | 118$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.46 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 30c | 117.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.41 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c78…7d67backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 114.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 113$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.11 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 29c | 111.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0609…e235backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 26c | 109.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e53…922dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Boston Red Sox | 75c | 104.15$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…836abacked Boston Red Sox | 53c | 103.04$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.43 | 213 | 23.5%50 W · 163 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef8…c4a7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78c0…5ea6backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 94.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.3 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | -16.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…e5b4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 32c | 90.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 446 | 51.6%230 W · 216 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…aa9dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 23c | 86.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 94 | 24.5%23 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0460…7137backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94eb…fcdfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 80.46$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.01 | 278 | 52.2%145 W · 133 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Boston Red Sox | 66c | 78.78$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.01 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | -14.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11a5…2fa8backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 222 | 54.1%120 W · 102 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Piratesthis page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 4.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh PiratesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.