MLB · resolved market
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84c15a85ffdd93c9bf9e2a3eb5e72aab9d6a9e8c5c44fb9b9dea98a1734e22ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Red Soxof Boston Red Sox, Pittsburgh Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 4,672$2,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,803.09 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Boston Red Sox | 39c | 3,886$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,370.56 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Boston Red Sox | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 1,785$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.55 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 1,215$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.76 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 1,205$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.33 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 1,084$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.52 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Boston Red Sox | 41c | 951.63$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.06 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 785$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.85 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 775.2$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.87 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 750.04$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.89 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…9854backed Boston Red Sox | 40c | 716.66$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.5 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked Boston Red Sox | 45c | 620.98$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.67 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 467.18$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.31 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Boston Red Sox | 41c | 455.15$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.54 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 453$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.39 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 375.65$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.8 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 367.04$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.64 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 320$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 151 | 53%80 W · 71 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 317.26$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.53 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Boston Red Sox | 41c | 310.02$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.91 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 303.16$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.46 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Boston Red Sox | 39c | 276$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.98 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 270$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.7 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf3…50a8backed Boston Red Sox | 40c | 238.09$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.35 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -29%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 228.09$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.11 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 228.07$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.43 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 221.72$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 221.67$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.09 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 170$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.7 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Boston Red Sox | 40c | 169.85$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.91 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Boston Red Sox | 26c | 168$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.32 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Boston Red Sox | 41c | 166.95$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.5 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Boston Red Sox | 38c | 166.29$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.1 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Boston Red Sox | 41c | 143.05$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.4 | 473 | 45.7%216 W · 257 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Boston Red Sox | 41c | 141.44$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.45 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Boston Red Sox | 44c | 139$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.34 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Boston Red Sox | 40c | 137.51$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.51 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 134.61$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Boston Red Sox | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 133 | 44.4%59 W · 74 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Boston Red Sox | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 151 | 47.7%72 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…09dcbacked Boston Red Sox | 39c | 128.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Boston Red Sox | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.43 | 146 | 45.9%67 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd60…3927backed Boston Red Sox | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…ea41backed Boston Red Sox | 40c | 119.04$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.45 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf04b…049abacked Boston Red Sox | 40c | 119.04$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.42 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…f527backed Boston Red Sox | 40c | 119.04$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.8 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 115$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Boston Red Sox | 37c | 104.93$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.1 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 99.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…ba78backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Boston Red Sox | 39c | 93.3$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.45 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 79c | 93.28$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.69 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Boston Red Sox | 37c | 84.31$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed Boston Red Sox | 39c | 83.33$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 66c | 78$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.14 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 76.23$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…62eabacked Boston Red Sox | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Boston Red Sox | 39c | 64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Boston Red Sox | 40c | 61.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.06 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Boston Red Sox | 39c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 52.37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 250 | 53.2%133 W · 117 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x366f…f952backed Boston Red Sox | 39c | 51.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x232f…8002backed Boston Red Sox | 39c | 50.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fd…9994backed Boston Red Sox | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -5.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d5…ab77backed Boston Red Sox | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…dff0backed Boston Red Sox | 39c | 48.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc915…2b84backed Boston Red Sox | 39c | 48.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 45.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 41.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Boston Red Sox | 40c | 40.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.54 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 39.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 380 | 53.2%202 W · 178 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 38.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x256a…8fb4backed Boston Red Sox | 39c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.21per pick | 45cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Boston Red Sox | 45c | 34.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 639 | 54.5%348 W · 291 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 33.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 32.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 32.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 30.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | -14.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6240…54c0backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58d3…5651backed Boston Red Sox | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 22.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 406 | 58.4%237 W · 169 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 22.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 552 | 59.6%329 W · 223 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 64c | 17.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)this page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh PiratesBoston Red Sox won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 4.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh PiratesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.