MLB · resolved market

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbd99bea1431686a38998361d31a0156fb278c0f7154d6bc968a1fbb5db86284

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Philadelphia Philliesof Philadelphia Phillies, Toronto Blue Jays
Resolved: Jun 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $563,075
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $599,355

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $563,075 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 306 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb91a…3987backed Philadelphia Phillies	55c	65,988$36,294 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29,694.69	135	61.5%83 W · 52 L	+15.2wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	61+0.09 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Toronto Blue Jays	40c	59,024$23,652 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,651.69	1,385	49.5%685 W · 700 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Philadelphia Phillies	57c	51,000$29,070 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,929.94	770	53.9%415 W · 355 L	+8.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Philadelphia Phillies	62c	46,388$28,907 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,481.56	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Toronto Blue Jays	45c	44,444$20,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,000	238	46.6%111 W · 127 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Toronto Blue Jays	41c	36,418$14,985 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,985.41	4,279	47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L	-83.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a4c…1f30backed Toronto Blue Jays	44c	25,500$11,155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,155	89	43.8%39 W · 50 L	-5.5wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Toronto Blue Jays	45c	22,000$9,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,900	981	49.9%490 W · 491 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Toronto Blue Jays	34c	19,188$6,547 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,547.39	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc1…b33cbacked Toronto Blue Jays	34c	18,045$6,135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,135.34	260	56.9%148 W · 112 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Toronto Blue Jays	45c	16,258$7,316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,316	1,660	50.1%832 W · 828 L	-22.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Philadelphia Phillies	55c	15,000$8,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,749.91	604	51%308 W · 296 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Philadelphia Phillies	56c	14,487$8,113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,374.21	865	48.7%421 W · 444 L	-8.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Toronto Blue Jays	0c	13,556$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.56	406	29.1%118 W · 288 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Philadelphia Phillies	76c	13,378$10,109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,268.61	950	45.2%429 W · 521 L	-12.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Philadelphia Phillies	68c	10,174$6,869 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,304.42	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Philadelphia Phillies	56c	10,000$5,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,400	448	51.6%231 W · 217 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Philadelphia Phillies	55c	10,000$5,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,499.92	381	48.6%185 W · 196 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Toronto Blue Jays	1c	8,742$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.7	979	44.4%435 W · 544 L	-22.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-18%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Toronto Blue Jays	44c	8,031$3,534 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,533.66	1,402	48.8%684 W · 718 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Toronto Blue Jays	43c	7,500$3,225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,225	272	54.4%148 W · 124 L	+12.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5762…90eebacked Philadelphia Phillies	56c	7,143$4,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,142.86	65	52.3%34 W · 31 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Toronto Blue Jays	43c	7,000$3,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,010	246	51.6%127 W · 119 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Toronto Blue Jays	0c	6,611$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.07	876	2.9%25 W · 851 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Philadelphia Phillies	54c	5,596$3,028 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,567.61	319	58.6%187 W · 132 L	+27.3wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Toronto Blue Jays	45c	5,285$2,381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,381.09	2,291	52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L	+24.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf11…c679backed Toronto Blue Jays	45c	4,037$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,800	289	44.3%128 W · 161 L	-12.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Toronto Blue Jays	7c	3,908$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.83	600	43.3%260 W · 340 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Toronto Blue Jays	44c	3,904$1,718 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,717.79	172	48.8%84 W · 88 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc667…34cebacked Toronto Blue Jays	5c	3,821$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	+156.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Blue Jays	43c	3,608$1,534 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,534.35	5,401	50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L	+17.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Toronto Blue Jays	44c	3,459$1,522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,522.16	501	53.5%268 W · 233 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b44…3992backed Toronto Blue Jays	34c	3,008$1,023 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,022.56	156	59%92 W · 64 L	+5.1wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Philadelphia Phillies	56c	3,000$1,680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,320	779	51.1%398 W · 381 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Toronto Blue Jays	14c	2,931$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416.01	660	50.2%331 W · 329 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Toronto Blue Jays	44c	2,752$1,211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,210.92	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Toronto Blue Jays	41c	2,666$1,089 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,088.69	1,499	58.9%883 W · 616 L	+75.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	-2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Toronto Blue Jays	12c	2,509$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.33	2,021	39.5%798 W · 1,223 L	-25.7wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Toronto Blue Jays	43c	2,400$1,026 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,025.99	2,104	51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L	+11.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Philadelphia Phillies	59c	2,388$1,398 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$989.87	2,369	47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed Philadelphia Phillies	56c	2,321$1,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,021.43	192	50%96 W · 96 L	+12.7wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x418d…88a3backed Philadelphia Phillies	56c	2,300$1,288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,012	122	55.7%68 W · 54 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Toronto Blue Jays	11c	2,279$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.41	522	28%146 W · 376 L	-57.7wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Toronto Blue Jays	44c	2,222$978 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$977.68	1,352	50.8%687 W · 665 L	+13.3wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Blue Jays	22c	2,207$482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$482.13	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Toronto Blue Jays	45c	2,000$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	1,063	48.2%512 W · 551 L	-11.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Toronto Blue Jays	43c	1,888$821 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$820.68	1,515	51.1%774 W · 741 L	+7.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Philadelphia Phillies	55c	1,834$1,009 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$825.41	1,572	48.3%759 W · 813 L	-6.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Toronto Blue Jays	44c	1,800$792 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$792	866	53%459 W · 407 L	+16.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b12…5ee4backed Philadelphia Phillies	55c	1,784$981 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$802.8	285	53.3%152 W · 133 L	+11.4wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Philadelphia Phillies	57c	1,628$932 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$696.29	1,345	47.7%642 W · 703 L	+10.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Philadelphia Phillies	58c	1,534$893 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$640.63	206	47.1%97 W · 109 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4861…3aaebacked Toronto Blue Jays	32c	1,504$481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$481.2	127	59.1%75 W · 52 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0075…5f10backed Philadelphia Phillies	55c	1,500$825 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$675	42	66.7%28 W · 14 L	+6.2wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2f55…8956backed Philadelphia Phillies	69c	1,450$999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$451.42	148	58.8%87 W · 61 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2354…20d0backed Toronto Blue Jays	2c	1,402$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	404	3.5%14 W · 390 L	-19.4wins	-0.05per pick	8cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Toronto Blue Jays	4c	1,382$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.16	158	40.5%64 W · 94 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Toronto Blue Jays	44c	1,250$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	159	42.1%67 W · 92 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Toronto Blue Jays	44c	1,226$545 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$545.41	186	49.5%92 W · 94 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Philadelphia Phillies	58c	1,203$698 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$505.45	294	49.7%146 W · 148 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Toronto Blue Jays	44c	1,200$528 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$528	619	47.7%295 W · 324 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Toronto Blue Jays	44c	1,120$493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492.8	694	53.6%372 W · 322 L	+14.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Philadelphia Phillies	71c	1,077$764 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$313.16	3,792	45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L	-5.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf590…382dbacked Philadelphia Phillies	58c	1,000$580 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$420	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-2.6wins	-0.16per pick	54cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8e6…d471backed Philadelphia Phillies	56c	999.99$560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$440	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2911…4581backed Philadelphia Phillies	57c	999.98$570 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$429.99	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.25per pick	50cpaid	+52%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf77e…b594backed Toronto Blue Jays	2c	977.96$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.56	51	5.9%3 W · 48 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	2cpaid	+188.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Toronto Blue Jays	10c	929.95$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.99	707	44.7%316 W · 391 L	-22.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays	44c	861.96$378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$377.85	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Toronto Blue Jays	35c	831.03$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.86	1,137	42.6%484 W · 653 L	+10.0wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Philadelphia Phillies	59c	818.78$484 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$334.29	4,478	48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L	-47.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd733…5e1ebacked Toronto Blue Jays	12c	805.5$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.77	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.08per pick	21cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Philadelphia Phillies	58c	800$464 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$336	859	52.6%452 W · 407 L	+7.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13b7…c98fbacked Philadelphia Phillies	66c	788$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$267.92	39	41%16 W · 23 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Philadelphia Phillies	77c	783.4$605 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178.29	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf930…e346backed Philadelphia Phillies	56c	750$420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$330	133	54.9%73 W · 60 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Philadelphia Phillies	55c	749.98$412 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$337.49	210	52.9%111 W · 99 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Philadelphia Phillies	56c	728.57$408 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$320.57	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Philadelphia Phillies	56c	727.27$407 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$320	383	53.5%205 W · 178 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f86…ef4ebacked Philadelphia Phillies	56c	710.79$398 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$312.75	53	56.6%30 W · 23 L	+6.8wins	+0.13per pick	44cpaid	+41.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb865…c1d1backed Toronto Blue Jays	43c	700$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Toronto Blue Jays	43c	669.91$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.06	614	50.8%312 W · 302 L	+9.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x43f3…293cbacked Philadelphia Phillies	56c	638.82$358 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$281.08	195	50.8%99 W · 96 L	+5.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb767…d848backed Philadelphia Phillies	73c	605$442 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.83	116	62.9%73 W · 43 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Toronto Blue Jays	43c	601.19$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.51	362	50.3%182 W · 180 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2de9…5289backed Philadelphia Phillies	56c	600.06$335 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265.53	549	45.4%249 W · 300 L	-16.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x085c…99e3backed Philadelphia Phillies	55c	599.97$333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$266.99	244	48.4%118 W · 126 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Toronto Blue Jays	37c	595.76$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.38	430	43%185 W · 245 L	-13.6wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Toronto Blue Jays	29c	559.93$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.41	6,303	48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L	+181.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x056b…303ebacked Philadelphia Phillies	56c	535.71$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.71	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-2.3wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked Philadelphia Phillies	56c	535.71$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.71	221	53.4%118 W · 103 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb60…137abacked Philadelphia Phillies	56c	535.71$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.71	94	35.1%33 W · 61 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3afb…0004backed Philadelphia Phillies	56c	534.5$299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.18	106	50%53 W · 53 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Toronto Blue Jays	26c	500$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	367	29.4%108 W · 259 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x53cd…11b3backed Toronto Blue Jays	11c	500$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	111	34.2%38 W · 73 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked Philadelphia Phillies	55c	500$275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225	514	49.2%253 W · 261 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Toronto Blue Jays	9c	449.88$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.37	4,169	50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L	+92.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcda3…36cfbacked Toronto Blue Jays	43c	440$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.2	1,310	43.6%571 W · 739 L	+13.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Toronto Blue Jays	44c	410$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.4	1,402	43.1%604 W · 798 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Philadelphia Phillies	63c	408.53$257 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.53	1,725	50.1%864 W · 861 L	-4.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysthis page
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 10.5Over won
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 11.5Under won
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5Over won
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Over won
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Over won
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5Over won
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-4.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue JaysYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event