Fifa International · resolved market
Will England vs. Costa Rica end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8232fac7934e5610b7a6839a4b84b5d0f2bdfa44c32e85fb4c7c45e9d3c10005
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,636
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,590
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,636 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5039…946dbacked Yes | 12c | 11,484$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.24 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e5…753abacked Yes | 12c | 11,188$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.53 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fe…3ee3backed Yes | 11c | 6,025$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.51 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 7c | 5,515$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.78 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9372…3b1abacked Yes | 11c | 4,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 10c | 3,725$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.47 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 11c | 3,665$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.7 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 10c | 2,412$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.25 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf48a…68b9backed Yes | 11c | 2,173$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes | 12c | 1,633$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…6e8ebacked Yes | 10c | 1,030$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 127 | 29.9%38 W · 89 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Yes | 2c | 609.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0766…77dcbacked Yes | 12c | 578.58$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.43 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd43b…5c6ebacked Yes | 3c | 501$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 237 | 29.1%69 W · 168 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Yes | 4c | 499.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1486…cef3backed Yes | 12c | 414.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.69 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 11c | 282$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Yes | 9c | 269.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fb…90c7backed Yes | 4c | 266.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x171a…0b46backed Yes | 5c | 258.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77f1…9a0dbacked Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 10c | 240$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 11c | 177.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 11c | 168.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7420…4567backed Yes | 12c | 166.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…5c86backed Yes | 11c | 160$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Yes | 10c | 139$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 11c | 129$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Yes | 10c | 127.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 356 | 19.4%69 W · 287 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98bf…c046backed Yes | 11c | 110$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f54…79d2backed Yes | 11c | 107.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…fa2ebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…276abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc78e…fa04backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07d9…c160backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 150 | 43.3%65 W · 85 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4def…06e6backed Yes | 11c | 95.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will England vs. Costa Rica end in a draw?this page
- Will Costa Rica win on 2026-06-10?No won
- Will England win on 2026-06-10?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.