Fifa International · resolved market
Will England win on 2026-06-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb23a292a5ec0004e9c080fc4e2a4efe08e9b7aaef68886a5beb62ebda1f3f553
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $281,935
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $298,290
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $281,935 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 14c | 25,968$3,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,735.85 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 16c | 19,066$3,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,001.64 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0e…6afdbacked No | 15c | 13,578$2,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,075.13 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 14c | 13,259$1,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,856.32 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 14c | 7,562$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.38 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 16c | 7,248$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.41 | 263 | 30%79 W · 184 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 14c | 6,012$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.64 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed No | 14c | 5,957$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.48 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 14c | 5,781$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.9 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed No | 13c | 5,370$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.08 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 14c | 5,362$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.66 | 319 | 45.1%144 W · 175 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 14c | 5,006$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.82 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 14c | 4,984$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.71 | 472 | 35%165 W · 307 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 14c | 4,568$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.52 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 16c | 4,200$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 4c | 3,648$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.11 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 14c | 3,571$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.92 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 14c | 3,104$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.63 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 14c | 3,064$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.68 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ca…7895backed No | 14c | 2,690$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.57 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 14c | 2,346$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.48 | 436 | 35.8%156 W · 280 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…8bebbacked No | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1db…1619backed No | 15c | 1,571$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.94 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…acc4backed No | 16c | 1,447$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.28 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked No | 5c | 1,376$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.61 | 365 | 43.3%158 W · 207 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 10c | 1,022$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.94 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed No | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 144 | 33.3%48 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 3c | 967.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb22…8186backed No | 14c | 900$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…74debacked No | 17c | 743.08$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.22 | 72 | 15.3%11 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x348c…c8efbacked No | 5c | 732.86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.18 | 332 | 45.5%151 W · 181 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed No | 12c | 722.95$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.73 | 244 | 41.8%102 W · 142 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 15c | 635$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.09 | 148 | 36.5%54 W · 94 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf17…97ebbacked No | 4c | 625$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed No | 14c | 600$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…021fbacked No | 15c | 586.8$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.02 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 16c | 543.37$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.86 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 7c | 538.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 184 | 38%70 W · 114 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed No | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed No | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed No | 5c | 499.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed No | 14c | 491.5$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.96 | 143 | 42.7%61 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 7c | 489.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 15c | 471.18$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.68 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked No | 4c | 449.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 147 | 15.6%23 W · 124 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Yes | 71c | 443$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.47 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 14c | 416.04$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…7204backed No | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 173 | 39.3%68 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461b…7360backed No | 15c | 310.63$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.59 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed No | 14c | 306.26$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.94 | 333 | 50.5%168 W · 165 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 15c | 305.63$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6759…a913backed No | 14c | 300.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.07 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 14c | 299.92$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.91 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed No | 15c | 275.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 184 | 35.3%65 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 14c | 268.83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 13c | 256$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…f72abacked No | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked No | 16c | 247.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.67 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 29c | 243$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.47 | 681 | 41.1%280 W · 401 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No | 14c | 233.54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed No | 15c | 230.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 356 | 19.4%69 W · 287 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 10c | 206.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6e…c865backed No | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2f…fe3fbacked No | 15c | 195.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 14c | 174$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 14c | 174$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 14c | 174$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23b3…fe59backed No | 16c | 158.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 8c | 152.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 199 | 39.7%79 W · 120 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked No | 15c | 142.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 709 | 48.9%347 W · 362 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 15c | 138.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 254 | 54.7%139 W · 115 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 12c | 135.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 459 | 47.7%219 W · 240 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked No | 13c | 134.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 271 | 54.6%148 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed No | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 176 | 30.1%53 W · 123 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37eb…6bf7backed No | 15c | 116.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.33per pick | 29cpaid | +206.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked No | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 235 | 40.4%95 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a60…2889backed No | 14c | 99.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2a…7682backed No | 16c | 99.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 285 | 45.6%130 W · 155 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 15c | 95.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 14c | 90.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 307 | 51.1%157 W · 150 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked No | 14c | 72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will England win on 2026-06-10?this page
- Will Costa Rica win on 2026-06-10?No won
- Will England vs. Costa Rica end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.