Fifa International · resolved market
Will Costa Rica win on 2026-06-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4eca66e755b209299012bb9d3ce195ffa1c1f9b47b473e442c111678b589c9e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $240,739
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $232,708
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $240,739 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Yes | 1c | 88,881$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.85 | 216 | 31%67 W · 149 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68c…5366backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 4c | 9,295$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.9 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Yes | 1c | 7,331$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 146 | 12.3%18 W · 128 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 4c | 6,600$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.2 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x987c…cd13backed Yes | 5c | 6,461$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Yes | 4c | 6,000$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.26 | 128 | 25.8%33 W · 95 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 5c | 5,500$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.5 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 4c | 5,320$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.36 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 4c | 4,253$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.05 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 2c | 3,128$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.98 | 387 | 34.4%133 W · 254 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…78d8backed Yes | 1c | 2,126$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 227 | 52.4%119 W · 108 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 4c | 1,341$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.37 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 3c | 1,264$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 4c | 1,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 331 | 49.5%164 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Yes | 4c | 1,200$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 4c | 722.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Yes | 5c | 720.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0f…b9d0backed Yes | 4c | 623.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4431…5650backed Yes | 4c | 581.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x461b…7360backed Yes | 4c | 432$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Yes | 4c | 378.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 462 | 43.5%201 W · 261 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Yes | 4c | 356.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 360 | 45.3%163 W · 197 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 4c | 339.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 4c | 320$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…6021backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…0d19backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75eb…ce0bbacked Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -74%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 4c | 247.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed Yes | 4c | 238.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4def…06e6backed Yes | 5c | 229.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca69…c952backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d16…e22fbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Costa Rica win on 2026-06-10?this page
- Will England vs. Costa Rica end in a draw?No won
- Will England win on 2026-06-10?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.