Fifa International · resolved market
Germany vs. Finland: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec2947b28551a10650d5bf0fd7f304f435b356118936cadeabcfa80613346c5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,013
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,013 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 4,460$3,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.76 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 24c | 4,169$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.57 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 24c | 1,100$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.42 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 42c | 920.85$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.76 | 436 | 35.8%156 W · 280 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed No | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 203 | 37.9%77 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4495…e6d7backed No | 74c | 492.2$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.05 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked No | 58c | 475.86$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.86 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +8.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 57c | 438.45$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.76 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 46c | 432.16$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.79 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Yes | 37c | 391.22$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.67 | 444 | 35.4%157 W · 287 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 63c | 383.22$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.79 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf08f…d167backed No | 54c | 347$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.62 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1f…f0d8backed No | 74c | 337.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.73 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 44c | 271.73$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.56 | 216 | 30.1%65 W · 151 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a1…7833backed No | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 43c | 232.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7b…eac6backed No | 65c | 216.52$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.86 | 174 | 59.8%104 W · 70 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Yes | 46c | 216.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes | 45c | 179.98$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.99 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed No | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 45c | 159.52$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.16 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 54c | 151.9$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.81 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…26febacked No | 58c | 150.62$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.26 | 135 | 48.1%65 W · 70 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Yes | 47c | 141.72$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.97 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeff…42fbbacked No | 56c | 135.09$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 53c | 132.79$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.37 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa902…d159backed No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked No | 79c | 124.19$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 294 | 63.3%186 W · 108 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79e1…982dbacked No | 72c | 119.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 21c | 107.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 162 | 40.1%65 W · 97 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 45c | 99.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.23 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4da5…e32ebacked Yes | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 17c | 82.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…c6bbbacked No | 55c | 72.37$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe40d…d654backed No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Yes | 46c | 67.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 29c | 59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 45c | 55.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…a4d7backed No | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 56c | 49.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe488…f2c0backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x455d…6011backed No | 56c | 45.86$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 78c | 45.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed No | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked No | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 311 | 47.9%149 W · 162 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Yes | 46c | 40.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x235b…af09backed No | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10e5…b4e9backed No | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b1…d4d4backed No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -10.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12ef…dda9backed No | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Yes | 46c | 35.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…5d56backed Yes | 38c | 32.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 56c | 31.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 370 | 57.3%212 W · 158 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 58c | 31.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…1903backed No | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Yes | 45c | 27.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57bd…1c8cbacked No | 56c | 23.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 78c | 23.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 1,459 | 53.9%787 W · 672 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0614…ff8bbacked No | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked No | 78c | 19.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 429 | 52%223 W · 206 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed No | 58c | 19.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 63c | 16.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 190 | 64.2%122 W · 68 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e4…3e88backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…e9c3backed No | 79c | 13.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.83 | 147 | 68.7%101 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae3…93c3backed No | 79c | 13.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.83 | 65 | 75.4%49 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Germany vs. Finland: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Germany vs. Finland: O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Finland: O/U 1.5Over won
- Germany vs. Finland: O/U 2.5Over won
- Germany vs. Finland: O/U 3.5Over won
- Germany vs. Finland: O/U 4.5Under won
- Germany vs. Finland: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Germany (-1.5)Germany won
- Spread: Germany (-2.5)Germany won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.