Spread: Germany (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74a7f06ae84a54f9cc7c4d18aaaef48a7adcaabc9e9e0695a6fbcff0ac846b11

Rebuilt 49 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Germanyof Germany, Finland
Resolved: Jun 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $54,084
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $57,657

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,084 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xee67…ef38backed Germany	50c	20,000$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,000	93	23.7%22 W · 71 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Finland	50c	18,058$9,029 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,028.87	84	40.5%34 W · 50 L	-6.4wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Finland	49c	5,465$2,679 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,679.38	292	32.9%96 W · 196 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Germany	58c	4,955$2,889 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,065.9	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Finland	54c	3,799$2,037 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,037.48	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Germany	52c	2,442$1,270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,172.27	617	50.6%312 W · 305 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd54a…f538backed Finland	54c	1,500$806 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$806.23	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Germany	48c	1,030$494 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$535.59	100	42%42 W · 58 L	-5.2wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Finland	51c	1,000$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	52	42.3%22 W · 30 L	-3.6wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32aa…c56ebacked Finland	52c	1,000$515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$515	34	50%17 W · 17 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Germany	50c	865.61$430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$435.16	114	48.2%55 W · 59 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed Finland	53c	842.17$449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.28	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+2.5wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Finland	47c	775.69$366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$365.94	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Germany	52c	730.38$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$350.58	765	51.6%395 W · 370 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x814e…40b1backed Germany	68c	695.31$476 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$219.45	30	60%18 W · 12 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Germany	50c	600$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	374	51.6%193 W · 181 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Finland	49c	581.54$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.84	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Germany	73c	521.14$381 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.21	294	63.3%186 W · 108 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	66cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Finland	50c	507.81$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.96	239	49.4%118 W · 121 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Germany	43c	476.41$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$269.26	216	30.1%65 W · 151 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Germany	49c	455.98$223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$233.07	105	39%41 W · 64 L	+5.0wins	+0.05per pick	34cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f9f…da7bbacked Germany	51c	434.31$221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213.01	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Finland	48c	418.06$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.67	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Germany	44c	409.09$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$229.09	121	41.3%50 W · 71 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	0%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf052…bedebacked Germany	50c	388$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2666…ade6backed Germany	44c	386.36$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.36	63	46%29 W · 34 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Germany	49c	360$176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183.6	136	43.4%59 W · 77 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Finland	50c	324.14$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.64	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Germany	49c	312$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.12	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e87…e93dbacked Germany	50c	249.99$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c9e…3a21backed Germany	52c	249.36$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.69	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9759…cb52backed Germany	48c	208.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.33	100	13%13 W · 87 L	-9.1wins	-0.09per pick	22cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Germany	48c	205.35$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.78	64	53.1%34 W · 30 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc162…40bbbacked Finland	50c	201.47$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	72	43.1%31 W · 41 L	+5.2wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Finland	51c	201.19$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.61	481	52.4%252 W · 229 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Germany	51c	192.67$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.41	71	35.2%25 W · 46 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Germany	54c	185.56$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.56	479	35.1%168 W · 311 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Germany	49c	179.99$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.8	1,616	51.2%827 W · 789 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Finland	56c	178.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	246	49.2%121 W · 125 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Germany	51c	168$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.55	815	54.8%447 W · 368 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Finland	53c	160.38$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	68	45.6%31 W · 37 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Germany	67c	149.88$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.88	551	53%292 W · 259 L	+11.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Finland	59c	140$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.91	935	42.2%395 W · 540 L	-27.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Finland	51c	131.14$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.88	847	51%432 W · 415 L	+10.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf22b…8f84backed Finland	59c	130.22$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.83	73	52.1%38 W · 35 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Germany	53c	120.53$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.25	418	57.9%242 W · 176 L	+14.9wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Germany	45c	107.05$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.35	226	56.6%128 W · 98 L	+18.9wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+29.8%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Finland	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	470	49.4%232 W · 238 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Germany	51c	98.03$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.03	95	35.8%34 W · 61 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+51.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0542…0a81backed Finland	50c	96.71$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a61…bbb2backed Germany	42c	95.24$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.24	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e02…9136backed Germany	51c	94.86$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.48	101	46.5%47 W · 54 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32be…6da7backed Germany	52c	91.6$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.97	103	49.5%51 W · 52 L	+5.1wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Finland	27c	77.89$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.22	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64de…25a1backed Finland	68c	74.81$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Finland	52c	64.73$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.97	631	51.5%325 W · 306 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Germany	52c	63.99$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.72	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6347…b0febacked Finland	50c	62.04$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Germany	43c	60.08$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.5	518	59.8%310 W · 208 L	+26.7wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Germany	48c	59.98$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.19	237	32.1%76 W · 161 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6780…41ccbacked Germany	53c	56.6$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.6	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe77…b4c4backed Finland	53c	56.6$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	35	60%21 W · 14 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Germany	52c	52.68$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.29	111	35.1%39 W · 72 L	-9.4wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xef34…1d61backed Germany	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.2	132	62.9%83 W · 49 L	+9.4wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Finland	48c	49.42$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.72	385	26.8%103 W · 282 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdecb…e058backed Germany	50c	48$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	28	50%14 W · 14 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfccf…2aefbacked Germany	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	50	56%28 W · 22 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x10e5…b4e9backed Finland	51c	39.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	110	46.4%51 W · 59 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39b2…9460backed Finland	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	356	19.4%69 W · 287 L	-21.4wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0739…aba8backed Germany	52c	38.34$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.21	197	42.6%84 W · 113 L	-7.2wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed Germany	54c	37.69$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.46	55	40%22 W · 33 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x470b…f050backed Germany	51c	35.35$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.32	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+96.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed Finland	57c	35.08$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	180	53.3%96 W · 84 L	-10.9wins	-0.06per pick	59cpaid	-16%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Finland	59c	35.07$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.69	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd3c…fc78backed Germany	53c	30.33$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.26	225	60.4%136 W · 89 L	+7.7wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacee…afddbacked Germany	50c	30.16$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.16	123	34.1%42 W · 81 L	-7.9wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Germany	49c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.3	373	48.3%180 W · 193 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc84…4871backed Finland	53c	30$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.9	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2827…64f6backed Germany	50c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4573…2c90backed Germany	50c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	47	29.8%14 W · 33 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Germany	50c	29.06$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.6	2,231	49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L	-21.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef66…e6c8backed Finland	69c	28.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72bd…d37abacked Finland	50c	26$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	181	39.2%71 W · 110 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc1c…debbbacked Germany	50c	26$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13	90	47.8%43 W · 47 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0b…5720backed Germany	63c	25$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.17	220	52.3%115 W · 105 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Finland	58c	25$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.5	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a18…7df1backed Germany	48c	21$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.92	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b91…27dcbacked Germany	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x554a…74d2backed Finland	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1d8…cf06backed Germany	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	74	48.6%36 W · 38 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Germany (-2.5)this page
Germany vs. Finland: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Germany vs. Finland: O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Finland: O/U 1.5Over won
Germany vs. Finland: O/U 2.5Over won
Germany vs. Finland: O/U 3.5Over won
Germany vs. Finland: O/U 4.5Under won
Germany vs. Finland: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: Germany (-1.5)Germany won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Germany (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event