TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Germany vs. Finland: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,760
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$103,435

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,760 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x890e…db10backed Over57c17,311$9,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,452.642835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under42c8,294$3,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,509.643,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Under1c6,220$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.237242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under44c6,000$2,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,639.9838526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under1c3,622$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2221314.1%30 W · 183 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+135.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x21d5…442bbacked Over45c2,219$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.8610949.5%54 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over51c2,083$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.6112146.3%56 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Under61c1,967$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20013953.2%74 W · 65 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under43c1,608$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.7713643.4%59 W · 77 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c1,528$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.784,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under46c1,200$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.9914433.3%48 W · 96 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Under51c795.55$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.571968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over35c600$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39043826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over54c599.99$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2764843.8%21 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0527…a978backed Over57c561.03$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.039359.1%55 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Under48c557.31$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.9122041.4%91 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc56d…c484backed Under55c553.92$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.661643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-34%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under44c528.38$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.092,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed Under47c487.44$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.12657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over57c485.14$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.078955.1%49 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa902…d159backed Under70c428.57$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004744.7%21 W · 26 L-7.3wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-27.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Over39c424$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.64742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Over80c313.18$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1829463.3%186 W · 108 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52a1…7833backed Under65c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001560%9 W · 6 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over58c300.5$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.5641857.9%242 W · 176 L+14.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under43c296.67$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.383,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74a3…3b73backed Under57c245.75$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1405040%20 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Over54c240$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.823732.1%76 W · 161 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Over54c237.16$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.0985851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over51c234.69$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11510539%41 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under47c227.59$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.2684844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8345…5928backed Under44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under45c225.27$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.3716758.7%98 W · 69 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under51c218.85$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.591,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf95e…1816backed Over52c213.46$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.464656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb253…26febacked Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013548.1%65 W · 70 L-9.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under45c202.07$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.931,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Under49c193.88$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956845.6%31 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Over58c167.97$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5537451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bbb…48f2backed Under53c162.74$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.678758.6%51 W · 36 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe21c…3fd3backed Over47c161.02$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.344233.3%14 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Over55c159.79$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9161750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under60c148$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.2893542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under48c145.77$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.1848152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d29…65e7backed Under53c141.51$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-66%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under42c128.91$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.691,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under30c126.03$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5523940.6%97 W · 142 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under43c120.03$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.13,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over47c113.97$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.612,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa658…f93ebacked Under49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014766%97 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over58c101.34$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5638439.8%153 W · 231 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23e2…9ecdbacked Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4912636.5%46 W · 80 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508048.8%39 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Under45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4518926.5%50 W · 139 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dd7…28d2backed Over57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4311750.4%59 W · 58 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fa9…9945backed Under37c92.52$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.16738.8%26 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe40d…d654backed Over55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.914652.2%24 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over52c88.26$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.163,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x11b0…fe15backed Over54c87.73$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.611952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under48c86.92$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8584751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf22b…8f84backed Under53c82.49$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.727352.1%38 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over51c80.82$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.64,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f76…9798backed Under52c76.51$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4018243.4%79 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1d8…cf06backed Over56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.437448.6%36 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72bd…d37abacked Under45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018139.2%71 W · 110 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Under47c61.87$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2915543.9%68 W · 87 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2897…0004backed Under49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303650%18 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under45c60.58$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.258,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over54c59.97$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.591,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over56c59$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9628162.6%176 W · 105 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7251045.3%231 W · 279 L+21.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd958…f975backed Over57c50.88$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.941573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+20.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Under43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.521630.1%65 W · 151 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e15…bdb2backed Under49c49.78$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.391428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-54.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under27c46.88$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5523345.1%105 W · 128 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over54c46.58$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3876551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8a4…a4d7backed Under46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205446.3%25 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Under49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2031147.9%149 W · 162 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under45c35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6543653.7%234 W · 202 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Over45c33.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2746243.5%201 W · 261 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31d6…b5c9backed Over55c33.11$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.91118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick38cpaid-62.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8956…755fbacked Under46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1518947.6%90 W · 99 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2827…64f6backed Under46c32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.723253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb305…a400backed Over56c30.36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3633345.3%151 W · 182 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1537348.3%180 W · 193 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x94fc…ac00backed Over35c29.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.491315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-68.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa807…cc2ebacked Over52c27.83$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.369443.6%41 W · 53 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over49c26.91$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8163745.4%289 W · 348 L-2.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Under44c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1126631.2%83 W · 183 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Over53c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.752,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over50c24.06$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.031,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under45c23.44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6111755.6%65 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f25…4f11backed Under55c23.35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.853158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Under46c22.19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.313412.9%10 W · 331 L-132.4wins-0.39per pick42cpaid-94%equal weight10-0.36 edge/pick
0x0593…5118backed Over56c20.54$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.041855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Under51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.212252.5%64 W · 58 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.