TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Germany vs. Finland: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,538
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,689

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,538 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3496…8fc4backed Under29c4,977$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,420.1417034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Over51c1,480$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.92742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under27c1,441$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.051,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Under32c1,079$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.3620150.7%102 W · 99 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaaa4…8968backed Over72c1,014$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.895062%31 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over66c887.56$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.154,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under43c717.58$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.562,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over78c641.03$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.0376551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Over78c600.81$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.1837451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over75c600$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.034843.8%21 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Under27c600$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.6722041.4%91 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under39c581.63$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.2693542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over66c519.56$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.1813253%70 W · 62 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Under30c519.26$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.1321630.1%65 W · 151 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over66c426.87$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.1422656.6%128 W · 98 L+18.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+29.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0bf0…72cebacked Under41c415.64$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.618643%37 W · 49 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x28e2…d3abbacked Under25c399.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017218.6%32 W · 140 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over75c393.82$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.224,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over72c374.16$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.772,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over75c347.43$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.8641857.9%242 W · 176 L+14.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Over67c314.53$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.798058.8%47 W · 33 L+7.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over63c296.84$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.073,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over68c292.6$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.6328964.4%186 W · 103 L+42.6wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+44.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over69c277.4$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.4435658.7%209 W · 147 L+35.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe99e…90ccbacked Over75c265.69$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.42250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9522…7af0backed Under29c260$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.41833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c9e…3a21backed Under24c250.93$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.612128.6%6 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fdc…47a4backed Over74c205$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.36844.1%30 W · 38 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+45.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4630463.5%193 W · 111 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under27c198$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9884844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Under40c192.62$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.816925.4%43 W · 126 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over72c173$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.442,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1575…3d32backed Over59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.491546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick62cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under25c152.89$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.972,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9118…4db8backed Over53c149.34$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.232100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+129.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over55c144.99$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.850450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over75c136.99$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.823,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bcb…f3afbacked Over63c133.14$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.268646.5%40 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3c…fc78backed Under23c113.17$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0322560.4%136 W · 89 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed Under44c104.02$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7710549.5%52 W · 53 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa2e…c5d2backed Over73c101$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.275761.4%35 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick64cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x306b…179ebacked Over66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345549.1%27 W · 28 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508048.8%39 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x75f1…907dbacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Under25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518926.5%50 W · 139 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Over61c84.74$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0556541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f76…9798backed Under31c80.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518243.4%79 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39b2…9460backed Under25c79.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2035619.4%69 W · 287 L-21.4wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe40d…d654backed Under45c79.37$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.714652.2%24 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa5b…9b61backed Under22c76.93$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.922441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6399…b12dbacked Over72c73.13$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.473100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+54.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Under22c70$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.441344.1%182 W · 231 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f9e…c96bbacked Over74c67.56$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.576750.7%34 W · 33 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9410…b32ebacked Under23c60.87$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144047.5%19 W · 21 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4ba…10d5backed Over49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.66851.5%35 W · 33 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x604e…f1cdbacked Over75c60$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154257.1%24 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf05b…3c59backed Over58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7216547.9%79 W · 86 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over66c51.64$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.463151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1519958.3%116 W · 83 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd9f…f8ddbacked Over75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.51353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Over76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1218371%130 W · 53 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under23c47.6$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9583153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21a2…abb3backed Under42c47.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+28.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Under23c47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8126631.2%83 W · 183 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0739…aba8backed Under24c46.69$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2819742.6%84 W · 113 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over73c46$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.421,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under33c45.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530642.8%131 W · 175 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72bd…d37abacked Under25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1018139.2%71 W · 110 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under28c38.79$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8648152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cfc…5f4fbacked Over75c34.24$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.48771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Over75c33.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3366745%300 W · 367 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Over69c33.33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3314047.9%67 W · 73 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over69c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.337348.3%180 W · 193 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4711…ce32backed Over78c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.67342.5%31 W · 42 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab9b…3483backed Over59c28.31$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.614047.5%19 W · 21 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7863152.9%334 W · 297 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6780…41ccbacked Over78c25.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.57560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x216b…8528backed Over59c25.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.427665.8%50 W · 26 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6a4…cda5backed Over70c21.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Over63c20.37$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5817760.5%107 W · 70 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2031…5ee7backed Over60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x491c…b765backed Over75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521955.3%121 W · 98 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over77c19.98$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.72,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over76c19.06$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.518,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb676…2dbbbacked Over70c14.29$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.294146.3%19 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.