Exact Score: Germany 1 - 0 Curaçao?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x090a23220fa3b68da8639b15b618710eca118b9342d8e4efe93dc4137b6edfa8

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $120,060
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $102,686

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,060 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	3c	25,131$735 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$735.16	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Yes	4c	8,827$362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$361.9	380	26.6%101 W · 279 L	-10.0wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	4c	5,466$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.86	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes	4c	4,727$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.43	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f4d…09febacked Yes	3c	4,665$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.29	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes	4c	3,527$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.26	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes	4c	2,895$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.91	1,045	29.3%306 W · 739 L	-10.8wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x725a…018abacked Yes	4c	2,237$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	21	19%4 W · 17 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5123…2f31backed Yes	4c	1,400$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.4	174	14.4%25 W · 149 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	+58.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes	4c	1,180$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.18	131	22.1%29 W · 102 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x778f…e824backed Yes	5c	1,024$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	20	15%3 W · 17 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+55.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x20cf…e421backed Yes	5c	1,000$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ad…dcacbacked Yes	6c	810.71$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	39	17.9%7 W · 32 L	-6.6wins	-0.17per pick	35cpaid	-70.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9e65…444cbacked Yes	5c	782.14$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.05	76	31.6%24 W · 52 L	-6.4wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x80f9…24a3backed Yes	6c	660.55$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	125	17.6%22 W · 103 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x235b…af09backed Yes	4c	656.4$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.55	15	40%6 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb6…6fe2backed Yes	4c	555.56$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	209	11%23 W · 186 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bf8…fb84backed Yes	5c	543.48$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	81	27.2%22 W · 59 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd06f…6719backed Yes	4c	501.5$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.03	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-85.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x52a4…ca72backed Yes	4c	465.12$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-74.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x480e…90c7backed Yes	7c	456.27$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	49	16.3%8 W · 41 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x951a…8c9dbacked Yes	4c	454.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	41	9.8%4 W · 37 L	-2.5wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-56.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes	4c	444.78$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.31	1,702	36.7%625 W · 1,077 L	-31.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa026…6d14backed Yes	5c	435.84$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	98	27.6%27 W · 71 L	+5.0wins	+0.05per pick	22cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8597…c24dbacked Yes	5c	427.97$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62ef…16fabacked Yes	5c	425.53$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.76	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6280…434abacked Yes	5c	416.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	86	24.4%21 W · 65 L	-8.9wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x75a8…d6f1backed Yes	5c	416.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	43	32.6%14 W · 29 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c67…a0e0backed Yes	5c	409.66$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	165	37.6%62 W · 103 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xceaa…e6c7backed Yes	5c	404.61$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.75	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes	4c	403$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.45	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a62…3df0backed Yes	5c	400$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.8	76	30.3%23 W · 53 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a21…e859backed Yes	4c	350$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.7	257	35%90 W · 167 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x945a…a881backed Yes	6c	333.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	116	47.4%55 W · 61 L	-6.6wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x35fc…c5cdbacked Yes	5c	326.09$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0026…a7febacked Yes	4c	315.61$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	27	3.7%1 W · 26 L	-2.1wins	-0.08per pick	11cpaid	-58.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c7…3c77backed Yes	5c	312.71$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	70	11.4%8 W · 62 L	-4.6wins	-0.07per pick	18cpaid	-55.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ba1…8eeebacked Yes	5c	312.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	41	22%9 W · 32 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacf2…917cbacked Yes	4c	308.93$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+2.5wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+59.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf31a…bfbabacked Yes	4c	300$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.3	246	16.3%40 W · 206 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Yes	4c	270.68$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.72	920	38.5%354 W · 566 L	-21.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x38de…f06cbacked Yes	5c	251.83$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	65	20%13 W · 52 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes	5c	250.89$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	1,019	31.6%322 W · 697 L	-10.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc271…1708backed Yes	4c	238.1$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x983a…ca05backed Yes	4c	238.1$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	48	31.3%15 W · 33 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3812…e4b0backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	44	25%11 W · 33 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-21%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb33d…28c3backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-2.4wins	-0.15per pick	34cpaid	-51.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe39a…efc1backed Yes	5c	189.23$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	71	26.8%19 W · 52 L	-4.8wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Exact Score: Germany 1 - 0 Curaçao?this page
Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes won
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 0 Curaçao?No won
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 1 Curaçao?No won
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 2 Curaçao?No won
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 3 Curaçao?No won
Exact Score: Germany 1 - 1 Curaçao?No won
Exact Score: Germany 1 - 2 Curaçao?No won
Exact Score: Germany 1 - 3 Curaçao?No won
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Curaçao?No won
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Curaçao?No won
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 2 Curaçao?No won
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 3 Curaçao?No won
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Curaçao?No won
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Curaçao?No won
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 2 Curaçao?No won
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 3 Curaçao?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Exact Score: Germany 1 - 0 Curaçao?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event