Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Curaçao?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58ea4f94c2f6c83682ab3f80e557338182ec74568222c3564aa8bf041faa6a17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $403,571
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $410,117
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $403,571 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 15c | 100,216$15,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,393.43 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 16c | 29,292$4,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,656.72 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 16c | 17,257$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.8 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Yes | 16c | 10,200$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Yes | 16c | 9,999$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.84 | 320 | 29.4%94 W · 226 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 15c | 6,500$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.39 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 14c | 5,348$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.27 | 405 | 15.3%62 W · 343 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 16c | 5,335$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.65 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa40…9e37backed Yes | 14c | 4,713$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.34 | 222 | 47.7%106 W · 116 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad9…7e66backed Yes | 16c | 3,829$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.7 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…2b5ebacked Yes | 16c | 3,125$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd34a…78c7backed Yes | 16c | 3,117$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 137 | 21.2%29 W · 108 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Yes | 14c | 2,200$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…914ebacked Yes | 14c | 1,900$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x778f…e824backed Yes | 16c | 1,875$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc88e…f3e1backed Yes | 15c | 1,680$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.7 | 71 | 14.1%10 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63a7…3bb2backed Yes | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…3287backed Yes | 16c | 1,213$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.11 | 210 | 48.6%102 W · 108 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a8…d6f1backed Yes | 16c | 1,141$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.6 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x830b…32fdbacked Yes | 16c | 1,125$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.99 | 237 | 47.3%112 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2767…7defbacked Yes | 14c | 1,094$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…ffc3backed Yes | 15c | 1,033$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4377…6563backed Yes | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9edd…6fe3backed Yes | 17c | 770.26$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.38 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 15c | 740.48$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.07 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0245…a8bfbacked Yes | 16c | 715.56$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…ca73backed Yes | 14c | 713.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 16c | 687.5$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc217…fd5abacked Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11ab…4f65backed Yes | 16c | 641.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb0…6205backed Yes | 16c | 635.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 15c | 634.81$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.74 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc54…4582backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 163 | 19.6%32 W · 131 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…b3d0backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 208 | 19.7%41 W · 167 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…513ebacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0f…fb6fbacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e53…cb8cbacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…1695backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 372 | 23.9%89 W · 283 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85ff…c587backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2429…60ecbacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df7…6d8abacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf51a…7e42backed Yes | 16c | 612.5$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a6…3463backed Yes | 16c | 594.88$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.83 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…ec81backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 286 | 26.9%77 W · 209 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a6…995cbacked Yes | 17c | 572.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 15c | 558.33$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.75 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…e406backed Yes | 16c | 547.92$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 109 | 18.3%20 W · 89 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…645bbacked Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5802…0aedbacked Yes | 15c | 499.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 239 | 44.8%107 W · 132 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f8…36dbbacked Yes | 16c | 468.75$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 14c | 450$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 561 | 51%286 W · 275 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 11c | 423.89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.01 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7979…753abacked Yes | 16c | 412.5$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe3…ac98backed Yes | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…a7febacked Yes | 15c | 366.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…c332backed Yes | 14c | 339.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 203 | 34%69 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b1…e789backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +14.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99b7…fd89backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1abe…f19fbacked Yes | 15c | 330$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 229 | 31%71 W · 158 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf69…04a0backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 14.4%18 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5f…b5bdbacked Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb629…14dbbacked Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b8…5278backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x852f…b882backed Yes | 17c | 293.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.54 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…748fbacked Yes | 16c | 293.03$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.77 | 324 | 22.5%73 W · 251 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd2…d736backed Yes | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff04…d971backed Yes | 15c | 267.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 94 | 18.1%17 W · 77 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba1…8eeebacked Yes | 17c | 264.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f8…a9efbacked Yes | 16c | 262.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 114 | 22.8%26 W · 88 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes | 16c | 254.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 357 | 14%50 W · 307 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a37…9a35backed Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca9…d17cbacked Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 14c | 249.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4953…bd5ebacked Yes | 16c | 243.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 81 | 19.8%16 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Yes | 16c | 243.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 282 | 58.2%164 W · 118 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…ac8ebacked Yes | 16c | 241.06$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c7…3c77backed Yes | 15c | 233.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 70 | 11.4%8 W · 62 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…9e76backed Yes | 13c | 230$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 36cpaid | +117.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 10c | 222.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7a…f619backed Yes | 16c | 218.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4499…943bbacked Yes | 16c | 218.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x575e…be3abacked Yes | 16c | 218.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a9…5a84backed Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 118 | 28.8%34 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes | 16c | 207.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 121 | 28.1%34 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8c…0bb0backed Yes | 14c | 205.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a99…e614backed Yes | 16c | 205.16$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 80 | 25%20 W · 60 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc2…74d6backed Yes | 15c | 203.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…6719backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a6…37b9backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 114 | 14.9%17 W · 97 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…9404backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 157 | 19.1%30 W · 127 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b84…bbabbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x352c…940dbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3e…2fa0backed Yes | 15c | 195.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -36%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5f…c8e1backed Yes | 15c | 193.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a62…3df0backed Yes | 16c | 192$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc68…46cbbacked Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e8…39d3backed Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Curaçao?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes won
- Exact Score: Germany 0 - 0 Curaçao?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 0 - 1 Curaçao?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 0 - 2 Curaçao?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 0 - 3 Curaçao?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 1 - 0 Curaçao?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 1 - 1 Curaçao?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 1 - 2 Curaçao?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 1 - 3 Curaçao?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Curaçao?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Curaçao?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 2 - 2 Curaçao?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 2 - 3 Curaçao?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Curaçao?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 3 - 2 Curaçao?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 3 - 3 Curaçao?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.