Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Curaçao?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10519cdaaa9780813b78b348f971aabec8a6fb65362214fe8608010a206b173a

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $200,560
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $193,158

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,560 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	6c	44,383$2,622 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,621.59	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes	4c	15,413$645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$644.57	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes	4c	10,010$397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396.85	564	10.5%59 W · 505 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Yes	4c	10,000$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390	380	26.6%101 W · 279 L	-10.0wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	4c	9,920$442 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$441.59	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes	4c	4,218$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.91	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x778f…e824backed Yes	25c	3,418$850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$850	20	15%3 W · 17 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+55.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x725a…018abacked Yes	4c	2,526$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	21	19%4 W · 17 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes	9c	2,355$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.46	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8056…9507backed Yes	5c	2,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	109	40.4%44 W · 65 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb880…2b03backed Yes	7c	1,429$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	+1.7wins	+0.08per pick	15cpaid	+54.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf69…04a0backed Yes	4c	1,316$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	125	14.4%18 W · 107 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-29%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9c5…926dbacked Yes	4c	1,250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	25	12%3 W · 22 L	-3.8wins	-0.15per pick	27cpaid	-66.3%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc88e…f3e1backed Yes	12c	1,225$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.09	71	14.1%10 W · 61 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	+30.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f63…f247backed Yes	4c	1,111$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.33	123	25.2%31 W · 92 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b46…85cebacked Yes	4c	1,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e65…444cbacked Yes	4c	925.5$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.02	76	31.6%24 W · 52 L	-6.4wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x11ab…4f65backed Yes	11c	892.03$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	39	15.4%6 W · 33 L	-3.6wins	-0.09per pick	25cpaid	-69.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	4c	875$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	535	14.6%78 W · 457 L	+8.8wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccc5…f8a5backed Yes	5c	842.77$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.11	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.16per pick	28cpaid	+41.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes	3c	829.1$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.69	1,045	29.3%306 W · 739 L	-10.8wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49f0…1759backed Yes	4c	750$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-67.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x740f…9facbacked Yes	4c	746.25$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.85	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9a5f…b5bdbacked Yes	3c	571.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	32	18.8%6 W · 26 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes	5c	567.77$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.99	1,019	31.6%322 W · 697 L	-10.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Yes	7c	558.33$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.2	1,063	31.7%337 W · 726 L	-33.7wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe2b…d127backed Yes	12c	500$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes	14c	500$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	344	38.4%132 W · 212 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f0…e406backed Yes	4c	500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	109	18.3%20 W · 89 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-25%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0813…f498backed Yes	4c	500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1973…f17fbacked Yes	8c	498.38$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a881backed Yes	4c	495.53$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	116	47.4%55 W · 61 L	-6.6wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Yes	5c	488.03$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.89	396	44.7%177 W · 219 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x592c…ab4dbacked Yes	4c	465.75$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.63	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b8b…2512backed Yes	14c	458.72$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.71	332	37.3%124 W · 208 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb6…6fe2backed Yes	4c	431.82$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	209	11%23 W · 186 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c9c…aec8backed Yes	4c	391.36$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	55	25.5%14 W · 41 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	22cpaid	+39%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed No	46c	382.23$176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.02	135	52.6%71 W · 64 L	+25.9wins	+0.19per pick	33cpaid	+129%equal weight	68+0.16 edge/pick
0x4129…4dc9backed Yes	4c	375$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	25	0%0 W · 25 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22d4…5ee8backed Yes	4c	375$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	44	18.2%8 W · 36 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x45d5…17fcbacked Yes	6c	361.4$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	97	30.9%30 W · 67 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Yes	4c	358.25$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.45	920	38.5%354 W · 566 L	-21.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a21…e859backed Yes	4c	350$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	257	35%90 W · 167 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes	14c	345$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.92	351	36.8%129 W · 222 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0026…a7febacked Yes	4c	325$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	27	3.7%1 W · 26 L	-2.1wins	-0.08per pick	11cpaid	-58.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a62…3df0backed Yes	6c	302.24$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.94	76	30.3%23 W · 53 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa318…77cfbacked Yes	4c	300$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.7	110	9.1%10 W · 100 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b9d…ea44backed Yes	4c	300$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4163…1286backed Yes	4c	282.04$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf31a…bfbabacked Yes	4c	260$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	246	16.3%40 W · 206 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb114…1b7bbacked Yes	4c	250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	192	19.8%38 W · 154 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbf9…29bfbacked Yes	4c	250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-23%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b47…f367backed Yes	4c	250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	22	0%0 W · 22 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc11d…d63ebacked Yes	4c	250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	44	11.4%5 W · 39 L	-3.3wins	-0.07per pick	19cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x69ad…dcacbacked Yes	12c	250$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	39	17.9%7 W · 32 L	-6.6wins	-0.17per pick	35cpaid	-70.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbc1b…b3a1backed Yes	4c	250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cd4…05d1backed Yes	4c	250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0c9e…fd82backed Yes	4c	250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	213	34.3%73 W · 140 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc2a6…37b9backed Yes	4c	250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	114	14.9%17 W · 97 L	+4.4wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	+37.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ce6…311ebacked Yes	4c	250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	26	15.4%4 W · 22 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51bb…4231backed Yes	4c	250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.9wins	-0.23per pick	36cpaid	-81.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x92ab…3a6fbacked Yes	4c	250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2006…154cbacked Yes	4c	250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-2.0wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8cdd…a9a4backed Yes	6c	219.98$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.98	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-2.7wins	-0.21per pick	36cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x00d7…cfe0backed Yes	12c	199.99$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	63c	199.33$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.35	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20cf…e421backed Yes	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Yes	14c	149.4$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.36	981	34.8%341 W · 640 L	-7.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x488d…845dbacked Yes	11c	136.36$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	70	15.7%11 W · 59 L	-4.7wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf94…dfe2backed Yes	15c	132.45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	58	58.6%34 W · 24 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4d4…5c5ebacked Yes	14c	131.39$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	57	45.6%26 W · 31 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd855…9796backed Yes	12c	108.33$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	33cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd520…7db7backed Yes	13c	80$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Curaçao?this page
Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes won
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 0 Curaçao?No won
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 1 Curaçao?No won
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 2 Curaçao?No won
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 3 Curaçao?No won
Exact Score: Germany 1 - 0 Curaçao?No won
Exact Score: Germany 1 - 1 Curaçao?No won
Exact Score: Germany 1 - 2 Curaçao?No won
Exact Score: Germany 1 - 3 Curaçao?No won
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Curaçao?No won
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 2 Curaçao?No won
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 3 Curaçao?No won
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Curaçao?No won
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Curaçao?No won
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 2 Curaçao?No won
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 3 Curaçao?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Curaçao?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event