TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Nashville SC win on 2026-05-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$158,802
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$176,338

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,802 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 231 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No9c16,678$1,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,579.7310945%49 W · 60 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes45c15,050$6,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,339.0553040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Yes44c12,500$5,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,951.85560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+32.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No51c11,859$6,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,095.387549.3%37 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa36f…180bbacked No56c9,408$5,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,268.492948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Yes45c8,889$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,888.887949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No55c6,872$3,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,806.71,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed No55c5,900$3,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2454942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No55c5,028$2,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,778.5821547.9%103 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No55c4,827$2,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,670.598946.1%41 W · 48 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes69c3,581$2,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,123.7252639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No56c3,570$1,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,983.0998945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No56c3,500$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,960.0626345.2%119 W · 144 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes45c3,262$1,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,800.2318655.4%103 W · 83 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No33c2,902$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.931,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No54c2,849$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,530.0877751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes61c2,740$1,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.0792346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf00c…f4febacked Yes64c2,327$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.97450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked Yes48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.331376.9%10 W · 3 L+4.0wins+0.31per pick46cpaid+62.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Yes45c2,011$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.284959.2%29 W · 20 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2895…2c58backed Yes44c1,872$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.313100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+92.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No40c1,715$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.1999340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No56c1,568$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.0823858%138 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No55c1,535$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.3653046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes65c1,359$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.221,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes75c1,355$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.1222946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed No57c1,301$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.593033.3%10 W · 20 L-4.7wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-36.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No56c1,286$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.653,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d57…18ddbacked Yes47c1,227$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.441060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0afb…d23dbacked Yes45c1,202$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.13683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+63.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Yes44c1,136$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.365042%21 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes45c1,100$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6052100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+165.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No32c1,049$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.3511454.4%62 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed No56c1,041$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5831060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+29%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8884…f29bbacked Yes58c1,039$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.483100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+67.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefa3…d08bbacked Yes46c1,001$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.566100%6 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+49.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked No28c999.99$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.192927.6%8 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x840e…b9edbacked No38c999.97$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.99757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes45c981.22$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.6768150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x934e…f045backed Yes44c972.59$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+31.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No54c925.91$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9910450%52 W · 52 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed No35c891.85$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.645326.4%14 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No56c849.96$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.9835149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed No55c831.03$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.171181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick59cpaid+39.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf845…a493backed Yes44c803.18$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes63c786.92$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.3816657.2%95 W · 71 L+12.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes45c733.15$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.873438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes45c698.07$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.943865.8%25 W · 13 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+35.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes64c682.98$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.5919347.2%91 W · 102 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Yes44c681.82$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.82666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+24%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c72…46dbbacked Yes62c646.15$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Yes45c639$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.45650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes44c638.99$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.7832848.8%160 W · 168 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No55c596.83$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.2680358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No55c592$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.611055.5%61 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b0c…c8adbacked Yes44c577.32$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.3475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick38cpaid+65.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked No56c560.71$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3141752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No26c524.21$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.2910273.5%75 W · 27 L+13.5wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+28.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf459…a1ebbacked Yes68c518.53$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed No41c500$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.4710319.4%20 W · 83 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed No55c500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2756851.5%35 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No40c482.33$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19354949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b8b…8cb3backed Yes44c471.09$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.81560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No55c469$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.871,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No55c460$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2539457.4%54 W · 40 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe662…8954backed Yes44c456.89$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.89250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes80c426.81$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.231446.5%146 W · 168 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed Yes72c420.25$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.747974.7%59 W · 20 L+10.7wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+26.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked No15c420$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632040%8 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes72c411.2$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.6144350.6%224 W · 219 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes45c406.71$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.6911046.4%51 W · 59 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f1e…f21ebacked Yes46c398$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cca…c457backed Yes52c386$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1862100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Yes44c380$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.81675%12 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Yes73c373.79$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.811877.8%14 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+27.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No36c362.68$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.9145140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdaaa…ca7dbacked Yes71c359.41$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.41955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes45c347.19$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.0519052.1%99 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No56c344.25$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.2637649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x898a…499abacked No57c343.82$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.9820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Yes44c328.14$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.7613553.3%72 W · 63 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes62c325.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.3880249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0832…9182backed Yes62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.58785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick54cpaid+82.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes62c313.07$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.6125851.2%132 W · 126 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3bbb…48f2backed Yes72c305.07$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.07250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf509…67b9backed Yes58c300$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Yes44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b85…c314backed Yes62c288.71$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.71580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No55c284.63$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.4197146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59b4…73e0backed Yes45c266.67$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.672123.8%5 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-48.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed No6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15100%0 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59ea…ce0bbacked Yes75c235.78$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.28520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-73.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes45c227.58$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.171346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x992b…5053backed Yes44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Yes44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.274528.9%13 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No56c223$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.8855750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No56c223$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.8868550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63f2…b224backed Yes45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.22475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+50.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18c…0350backed Yes45c213.33$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.33757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick34cpaid+59.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4d6…9357backed Yes67c211.44$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.