Mls · resolved market
Will Nashville SC vs. Los Angeles FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f35e028d9696fceac5aff6a6fcef94faf30d76797beaa2c0aa76a17b039ead4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,720
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,720 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 2,228$1,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.79 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 25c | 2,061$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.1 | 102 | 73.5%75 W · 27 L | +13.5wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 22c | 1,974$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.41 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 73c | 1,916$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.79 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 27c | 1,690$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.37 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 1,438$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.71 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 14c | 1,170$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.8 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…c55dbacked Yes | 28c | 1,089$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 77c | 977.99$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.19 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 78c | 938.92$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.42 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0574…3ee0backed Yes | 25c | 804.14$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 28c | 576.43$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.83 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed No | 73c | 552.18$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.09 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 76c | 432$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.68 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 76c | 405.07$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.4 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 20c | 299.12$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.87 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Yes | 11c | 290$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 25c | 288.69$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.6 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed No | 72c | 247.28$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.24 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 19c | 241.32$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 77c | 215.87$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.65 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…55bebacked Yes | 28c | 214.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 27c | 211.46$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.09 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbb…48f2backed Yes | 25c | 203$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Yes | 27c | 198.36$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 27c | 185.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 78c | 181.84$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.74 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7204…fcffbacked Yes | 24c | 181.54$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 76c | 166.61$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.33 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd5…d8d3backed Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…6b66backed Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x694c…eb70backed Yes | 25c | 140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 11c | 132$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 135 | 18.5%25 W · 110 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 75c | 117.83$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Yes | 14c | 110$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 27c | 108.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 27c | 107.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 27c | 103.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…b1cebacked Yes | 28c | 101$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 16c | 87.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 14c | 84.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | +18.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e60…536bbacked Yes | 26c | 80.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x836f…e56cbacked Yes | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 76c | 77$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf5…52adbacked Yes | 27c | 75.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 78c | 66$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 134 | 64.9%87 W · 47 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 61.86$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…6b83backed Yes | 26c | 53.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 27c | 51.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 73c | 48.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc93b…9e73backed Yes | 24c | 43.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a88…4e57backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 35.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 76c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 73c | 32.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 73c | 29.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7f…2015backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 78c | 15.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nashville SC vs. Los Angeles FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-05-17?No won
- Will Nashville SC win on 2026-05-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.