TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-05-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,183
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,862

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,183 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9495…9a27backed No71c11,100$7,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,218.8813553.3%72 W · 63 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes29c8,792$2,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,584.153040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes27c7,584$2,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,053.351,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes29c5,066$1,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.0199340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed Yes25c3,108$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.121947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes29c2,550$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.55916.9%10 W · 49 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No73c2,362$1,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.7423858%138 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Yes29c2,271$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.59560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+32.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcc9…4534backed Yes29c2,150$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.5742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+27.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No70c1,918$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.0980358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.1921547.9%103 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No76c1,423$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.210273.5%75 W · 27 L+13.5wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+28.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No73c1,408$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.117258.1%100 W · 72 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No73c1,200$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32412263.1%77 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes31c1,102$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.71540%6 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+27.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes14c1,058$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15313518.5%25 W · 110 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid+15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed No69c1,033$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.16851.5%35 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cbf…c53cbacked Yes10c992.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefa3…d08bbacked No71c885$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.96100%6 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+49.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No69c796.69$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.9753046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No73c700$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18912661.1%77 W · 49 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2003…af6fbacked Yes19c666.21$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.583040%12 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes20c642.6$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.5225851.2%132 W · 126 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed No71c600$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1742128.6%6 W · 15 L-4.7wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-52.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes27c485.77$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.3898945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked No74c429.64$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.592755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cbc…faebbacked Yes19c417.62$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-66%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No73c400$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10816960.9%103 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No69c381.19$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.9272850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No77c380.75$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.1754949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Yes14c360$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.410319.4%20 W · 83 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes29c333.79$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.842947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe465…7f38backed Yes15c317.3$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+73.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No70c304.19$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.270249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes34c299.97$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.055326.4%14 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7a7…55bebacked No72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.781250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked Yes28c250.25$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes13c250$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.552639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Yes8c248.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204528.9%13 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked Yes23c245$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.517564%48 W · 27 L+8.8wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No72c243.24$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.2918651.6%96 W · 90 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes31c241$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.8873438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5546…e3cfbacked Yes29c226.58$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.53633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed No73c199.88$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.971154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No72c166.74$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9417858.4%104 W · 74 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0378…030bbacked No71c164.79$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.79862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-3.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No71c160$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.512343.9%54 W · 69 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c7…1942backed Yes14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202010%2 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No72c142.58$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.5845140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No73c140$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.816955.6%94 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed Yes29c130$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.71735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7053…25e4backed Yes31c129.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No69c127.58$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.5537649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x628d…a012backed Yes16c122.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+26.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8cb…3e3fbacked Yes35c119.61$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb69c…2a0dbacked Yes19c112.25$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.82343.5%10 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.17per pick27cpaid+60.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x982e…add6backed Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa299…ac77backed Yes31c103.23$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326746.3%31 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d5…13eebacked No72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282373.9%17 W · 6 L+0.1wins0.00per pick73cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee6e…ad3dbacked Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2713560.7%82 W · 53 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No69c98.86$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6518655.4%103 W · 83 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e16…4698backed No63c93.65$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.65425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-60.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No79c86.62$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1920252%105 W · 97 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2709…9e3bbacked Yes29c86.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255846.6%27 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Yes18c83$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.942147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe84c…5269backed Yes18c82.84$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes13c81.36$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4637249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Yes22c80$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.45552.7%29 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed No74c65$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.96065%39 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed No66c62.1$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.117974.7%59 W · 20 L+10.7wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+26.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed No72c61$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.088760.9%53 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd93d…27a0backed Yes26c60.54$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.743023.3%7 W · 23 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No70c58.53$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5626150.2%131 W · 130 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1535149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc67e…ed46backed No69c49.28$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98bd…781ebacked Yes29c44$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.76875%6 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78d7…291dbacked Yes31c44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.641338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes28c43.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.321,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No73c41.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2316657.2%95 W · 71 L+12.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0dc…ffadbacked Yes31c41$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7111563.5%73 W · 42 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed No73c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.88469%58 W · 26 L+11.0wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+24.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed No71c39$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3114560.7%88 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d5b…acdcbacked Yes26c38.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.01837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-42.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No73c37.07$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0110755.1%59 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55e9…bf34backed Yes29c36.24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+51.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9af2…3784backed No70c35.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.712100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed No70c35.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.517263.9%46 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60e6…1279backed Yes30c35$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51540%6 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed No71c31$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.994250%21 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbbf…388ebacked No73c30.41$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.06560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf99a…df76backed No70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.572657.7%15 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51d0…2e99backed No70c28.37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.37333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-52.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d27…c38cbacked No73c25.83$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.975742.1%24 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x41d8…7233backed No72c22.76$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.371163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No70c21.96$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6510644.3%47 W · 59 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked No75c21.85$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.465464.8%35 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+1.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb500…426fbacked No72c20.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.832100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa150…44ebbacked No72c20.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.