Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x307e2fffe64bae2836d4708f90e433b40af04078ea4320bba18319c1a4880cee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,718
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 24c | 7,483$1,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,802.51 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Yes | 76c | 7,298$5,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752.56 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Yes | 76c | 3,835$2,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.49 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked No | 26c | 3,700$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.99 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 24c | 2,995$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.72 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…4c92backed No | 25c | 2,787$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…3377backed Yes | 75c | 2,735$2,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed No | 24c | 2,636$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.92 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 25c | 2,562$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.59 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 24c | 2,288$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.02 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…0901backed Yes | 74c | 1,886$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.97 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 64cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed No | 26c | 1,407$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.6 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.35 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes | 76c | 1,254$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.9 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4af1…ef00backed No | 27c | 1,204$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.11 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Yes | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed No | 25c | 999.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…42f9backed Yes | 75c | 953.09$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…c510backed Yes | 75c | 928.17$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed No | 26c | 909.27$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.91 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 25c | 770.45$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.61 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 15c | 733.75$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.99 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf848…03abbacked Yes | 73c | 711$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 24c | 700$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…5076backed No | 26c | 699.79$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 25c | 538.49$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.68 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0585…cfccbacked Yes | 75c | 502.57$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -59%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73b7…9360backed Yes | 75c | 455.06$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.76 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Yes | 74c | 434.7$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.7 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed No | 25c | 409.2$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x620e…0775backed Yes | 74c | 400.01$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…f3e7backed Yes | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 75c | 344.6$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.15 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 11c | 295.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…d647backed Yes | 75c | 286.63$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.63 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ca…09a4backed Yes | 75c | 277$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.25 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -4.9wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 76c | 266.55$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.97 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb737…f72ebacked Yes | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 26c | 222$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 75c | 201.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.02 | 90 | 27.8%25 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Yes | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…9908backed Yes | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb90e…5794backed Yes | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…2529backed No | 26c | 189.49$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.27 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 74c | 179.44$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.65 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Yes | 74c | 163$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.38 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…9661backed Yes | 73c | 150$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 25c | 149.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9d…deb3backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 74c | 135$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x269d…33e0backed Yes | 75c | 125.48$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d71…1ceebacked Yes | 76c | 109.7$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 25c | 105$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde1…187fbacked Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb04c…b6ccbacked Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x028f…c9cbbacked Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 80c | 93.75$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -12.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…32d0backed Yes | 75c | 93$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +10.6wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3a30…30cfbacked Yes | 76c | 92.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…8a7cbacked Yes | 76c | 88.03$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c2…da93backed No | 25c | 88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca1…35b3backed No | 25c | 81.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddfa…4678backed Yes | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…ea79backed Yes | 76c | 78.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38df…47d1backed No | 25c | 78.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf30…8c02backed Yes | 77c | 74.03$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…d20ebacked Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -9.4wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed Yes | 73c | 72$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda81…29c0backed Yes | 74c | 70.38$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd9…2d3fbacked No | 27c | 70.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49a7…2261backed Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d2…3c90backed Yes | 75c | 68.77$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fab…5e80backed No | 25c | 68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05e9…39b7backed Yes | 76c | 67.43$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -5.1wins | -0.27per pick | 58cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xad3c…5b6ebacked Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a8…6b00backed Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…b250backed Yes | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…eb16backed Yes | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Yes | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed Yes | 74c | 58.18$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 75c | 58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef17…6583backed Yes | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0239…7690backed Yes | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 71cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Yes | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe534…bfafbacked Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…fc69backed Yes | 73c | 49.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb13…1918backed Yes | 75c | 47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d31…1d0bbacked Yes | 75c | 46.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb029…51f0backed No | 26c | 46.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf03c…8bf1backed Yes | 74c | 45.2$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d86…6a3fbacked No | 26c | 43.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x621c…5d9abacked Yes | 76c | 42.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e5…4e33backed No | 25c | 41.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dad…f0dcbacked No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed1f…3462backed Yes | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…3d20backed Yes | 76c | 36.45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-04?this page
- Will Southampton vs. Chelsea end in a draw?No won
- Will Southampton win on 2024-12-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.