Middle East · resolved market
U.S. military action against Iran before November?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf55d2f81238a7cca0879dc152c4a5a51566c7a27f5fa4e65f7a04ce2ec039492
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,070,645
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $885,896
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,070,645 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d23…8f86backed Yes | 14c | 70,340$9,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,944.24 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 7c | 57,984$4,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,316.12 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5310…a500backed Yes | 24c | 52,343$12,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,795.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ed…7716backed Yes | 2c | 43,717$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…5208backed Yes | 8c | 35,173$2,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,734.06 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6116…f247backed Yes | 17c | 28,452$4,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,779.94 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbeb…e6e0backed Yes | 4c | 27,190$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc5…61fdbacked Yes | 15c | 26,536$4,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,001.97 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05c3…3f7fbacked Yes | 10c | 19,107$1,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,971.11 | 46 | 8.7%4 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4930…d78dbacked Yes | 9c | 18,616$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,684.45 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe410…de46backed Yes | 10c | 17,782$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784.92 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4987…804bbacked Yes | 7c | 17,554$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.48 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d9…0e65backed Yes | 9c | 10,611$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.92 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f0…719ebacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…0f73backed Yes | 6c | 9,545$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.59 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 8c | 8,474$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.16 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 5c | 8,238$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.41 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 3c | 7,503$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.21 | 264 | 23.9%63 W · 201 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18b0…2354backed Yes | 1c | 7,058$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.8 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b93…3c34backed Yes | 4c | 7,053$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.92 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x831e…8db9backed Yes | 9c | 6,590$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +41%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c54…7e8cbacked Yes | 4c | 6,181$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.78 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3efb…244bbacked Yes | 3c | 6,166$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d3…ea4ebacked Yes | 9c | 5,511$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.07 | 60 | 0%0 W · 60 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f6…3cd9backed Yes | 7c | 5,359$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…d1d1backed Yes | 20c | 5,066$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Yes | 9c | 5,000$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.86 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +115.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93d4…babdbacked Yes | 7c | 4,924$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked Yes | 16c | 4,380$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.58 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 19c | 4,000$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.8 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd68…746abacked Yes | 21c | 3,980$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.46 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75bb…0ac5backed Yes | 8c | 3,773$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.97 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb940…3d84backed Yes | 8c | 3,773$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc964…11a7backed Yes | 4c | 3,768$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6d…3c85backed Yes | 7c | 3,645$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.82 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacc1…6a67backed Yes | 12c | 3,561$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Yes | 15c | 3,000$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2705…a12abacked Yes | 17c | 3,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5335…0b0fbacked Yes | 11c | 2,951$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.51 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 4c | 2,796$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 284 | 27.8%79 W · 205 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…d4a6backed No | 77c | 2,780$2,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.56 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…81c4backed Yes | 16c | 2,703$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.68 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d2…f302backed Yes | 8c | 2,666$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd10…0d30backed Yes | 3c | 2,222$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04e…77dfbacked Yes | 16c | 2,210$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.95 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd049…5de7backed Yes | 16c | 2,014$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.22 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked Yes | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +73%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x906e…a4e0backed Yes | 6c | 1,962$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…9765backed Yes | 6c | 1,898$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4297…8a8bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,855$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.76 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f5…1d41backed Yes | 16c | 1,777$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.48 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4a…ac42backed No | 69c | 1,700$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f8…c282backed Yes | 3c | 1,536$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +181%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…3e88backed Yes | 13c | 1,503$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.2 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65fb…92cabacked Yes | 3c | 1,500$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd221…a44bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,299$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4e…4984backed Yes | 15c | 1,291$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4c…54e7backed Yes | 8c | 1,242$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.59 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe14…a1aebacked Yes | 32c | 1,135$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.3 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed Yes | 7c | 1,119$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ec…29cdbacked Yes | 23c | 1,096$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c3aabacked No | 55c | 1,088$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +695.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x518b…c470backed Yes | 8c | 1,071$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.54 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4df…7f8ebacked Yes | 12c | 1,046$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd22c…5525backed Yes | 23c | 1,000$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac0…f261backed Yes | 17c | 1,000$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +495.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…58a0backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…30f1backed Yes | 18c | 989.4$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.78 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Yes | 3c | 925.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d4b…e337backed Yes | 5c | 913.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…bbe6backed Yes | 5c | 907.93$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.22 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f62…38fcbacked Yes | 26c | 902.92$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.04 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba1…ef5abacked Yes | 13c | 869.69$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x996b…1e9cbacked Yes | 12c | 800.52$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.9 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b2…4e48backed Yes | 13c | 800$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8967…1e9bbacked Yes | 3c | 700$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefed…fc7ebacked Yes | 9c | 699.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Yes | 23c | 690.63$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.6 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…56eebacked Yes | 13c | 640.01$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…f7c0backed Yes | 21c | 639.61$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.79 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9ff5backed Yes | 16c | 631.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce0c…1a4ebacked Yes | 2c | 625$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…62b1backed Yes | 8c | 584.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…5191backed Yes | 17c | 565$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…b599backed Yes | 9c | 551.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14af…376dbacked Yes | 9c | 550.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7c…1b5abacked Yes | 9c | 536.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +139.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x836c…0a67backed Yes | 6c | 533.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…a0d7backed Yes | 22c | 500$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…aa81backed Yes | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2433…8fe3backed Yes | 9c | 498.53$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fac…574ebacked Yes | 15c | 493.42$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…f7a7backed Yes | 3c | 479.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…fc3abacked Yes | 5c | 465.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50da…0b82backed Yes | 6c | 462.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2132…4a90backed Yes | 9c | 456.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…b347backed Yes | 28c | 452.75$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 19c | 450$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.