NBA · resolved market
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe976680d160dd6eac34f582082f4df51a861efc92a7a6edcf667dcb48f671a4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $189,897
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $176,107
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $189,897 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 35c | 36,523$12,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,566.04 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…858dbacked Yes | 36c | 20,000$7,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,889.98 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed No | 63c | 17,142$10,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,870.04 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -88.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes | 62c | 5,218$3,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,985.4 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeba4…69fbbacked No | 75c | 4,467$3,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,357.29 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f3…2568backed Yes | 36c | 4,299$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,734.59 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…fc69backed Yes | 17c | 4,107$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,392.06 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa4…8fa5backed Yes | 19c | 3,832$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,103.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +227.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…b97dbacked Yes | 19c | 3,610$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,924.04 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4555…220cbacked Yes | 25c | 3,248$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,434.61 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0997…c238backed No | 73c | 3,108$2,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,268.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…3c74backed No | 77c | 2,967$2,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,284.89 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 73c | 2,890$2,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,108.41 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 70c | 2,673$1,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,883.41 | 250 | 45.6%114 W · 136 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 67c | 2,344$1,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,568.69 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…0d1ebacked No | 22c | 2,267$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.08 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c79…fdf7backed Yes | 14c | 2,225$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,910.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2824…4aacbacked Yes | 36c | 2,194$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +172.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…adc6backed Yes | 26c | 2,178$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611 | 147 | 27.9%41 W · 106 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 24c | 1,983$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.8 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked No | 23c | 1,970$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.38 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad35…4047backed Yes | 25c | 1,872$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +298.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…50f5backed Yes | 36c | 1,343$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +174.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 30c | 1,270$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.25 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 10c | 1,121$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 74c | 915.29$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.57 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…4073backed Yes | 37c | 900$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 31c | 835.76$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.38 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 68c | 825.14$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.01 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed Yes | 10c | 815.05$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.1 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4651…2943backed Yes | 37c | 800.08$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac12…7f97backed Yes | 21c | 783.29$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +149.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb0…bd65backed No | 66c | 779.84$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.15 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48d3…4320backed Yes | 24c | 697.31$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +194.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…6a92backed Yes | 30c | 675.31$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.2 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked Yes | 29c | 674.12$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.01 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes | 10c | 652.37$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.13 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 13c | 614.94$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.69 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 20c | 554.63$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.97 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 36c | 538.99$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.99 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcafc…09ffbacked Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0539…70f9backed Yes | 20c | 525$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x926f…f72ebacked Yes | 24c | 525$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.02 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 18c | 520.58$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.71 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +37%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 71c | 520.32$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.46 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Yes | 64c | 500$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.18 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9af…40c4backed Yes | 31c | 450.87$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 69c | 445$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.93 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4b…f9bfbacked Yes | 63c | 435.51$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 63c | 431$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.52 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc298…8c51backed Yes | 7c | 427.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +462.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1092…9cfabacked Yes | 36c | 418.8$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.8 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…0fc0backed Yes | 12c | 406.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.23 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 18c | 402.3$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.95 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…06a2backed Yes | 23c | 392.29$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.94 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 44cpaid | +148.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 70c | 390.13$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.63 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb380…921ebacked Yes | 36c | 382.28$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 28cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeec3…6bd2backed Yes | 20c | 373.92$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.4 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7899…ba87backed Yes | 36c | 371.62$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.35 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78c5…f623backed No | 3c | 366.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39e5…24f1backed Yes | 24c | 360.17$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 48c | 358.17$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.86 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -6.9wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 20c | 346.3$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.68 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd877…c974backed Yes | 20c | 343.28$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 77c | 343$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.4 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 79c | 335.42$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.84 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb6…e3bbbacked Yes | 30c | 332.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.53 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 77c | 326$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.09 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f4…7a5bbacked Yes | 23c | 322.68$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b7…5ee3backed Yes | 19c | 316.26$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.89 | 113 | 33.6%38 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…c052backed No | 64c | 310.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39ae…86d4backed No | 64c | 300$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7286…223abacked Yes | 19c | 298.89$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.1 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4b…4e5fbacked Yes | 27c | 294.8$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +268.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 20c | 285.28$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.22 | 66 | 21.2%14 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa0…5a01backed Yes | 37c | 273.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 19c | 271.7$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35c0…03cbbacked Yes | 37c | 268.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.94 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.7wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +129.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdc59…df13backed Yes | 18c | 268.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.9 | 123 | 63.4%78 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53f1…ae68backed Yes | 38c | 265.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.47 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd2…aafebacked Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.16 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 61c | 260.94$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 21c | 254.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.09 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…c0edbacked No | 64c | 252.88$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…3d65backed Yes | 24c | 251.64$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +319.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x385e…d6bdbacked Yes | 21c | 243.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec6…2ad1backed Yes | 29c | 242.29$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +206.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f296backed Yes | 9c | 237.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.52 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 72c | 221.98$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.52 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 67c | 216.58$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.42 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292b…697dbacked Yes | 11c | 215.21$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c73…8989backed Yes | 36c | 207$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +175.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63a…26a0backed Yes | 24c | 197.64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.65 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 10c | 189.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.61 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 74c | 181$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.34 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3089…92f6backed Yes | 37c | 179.5$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.97 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5955…a279backed Yes | 63c | 175.06$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.06 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +225.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 27c | 169.87$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.78 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +24.4wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 68c | 162$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.57 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?this page
- Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-0 be the exact series outcome?No won
- Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome?No won
- Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-3 be the exact series outcome?No won
- Will Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-0 be the exact series outcome?No won
- Will Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?No won
- Will Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome?No won
- Will Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-3 be the exact series outcome?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.