NBA · resolved market
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x414ca07f8900b427b5941f50fcb04563a65402dff6062559e4ffbfe3ba4886d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,868
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,868 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf410…ca73backed No | 72c | 14,246$10,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,979.02 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5c…4960backed Yes | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x635c…45c6backed Yes | 23c | 6,400$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No | 69c | 6,348$4,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,948.92 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +6.5wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +82%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 25c | 5,138$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.36 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 73c | 4,182$3,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.08 | 250 | 45.6%114 W · 136 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked No | 70c | 2,994$2,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.26 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 70c | 2,957$2,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.15 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4555…220cbacked Yes | 35c | 2,839$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 69c | 2,566$1,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.23 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…0d1ebacked Yes | 10c | 2,245$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.74 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd877…c974backed Yes | 34c | 2,031$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…4073backed Yes | 20c | 1,976$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.83 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 66c | 1,968$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.39 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6d…9575backed Yes | 37c | 1,665$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…b22dbacked Yes | 24c | 1,232$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 15c | 1,191$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.37 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…afe2backed Yes | 33c | 1,177$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.9 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 74c | 1,077$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.4 | 190 | 47.4%90 W · 100 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 74c | 1,075$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.1 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75a3…8275backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 72c | 978.89$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.15 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…fc69backed Yes | 34c | 969.49$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.31 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 70c | 915.28$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.56 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 72c | 910$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.68 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4651…2943backed Yes | 37c | 811.95$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 787.21$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.14 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x798c…e64cbacked Yes | 33c | 752.6$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac12…7f97backed Yes | 26c | 706.15$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +149.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 70c | 672.4$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.15 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Yes | 18c | 600$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1092…9cfabacked Yes | 37c | 596.04$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x926f…f72ebacked Yes | 31c | 577.36$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes | 26c | 545.5$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.02 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed No | 72c | 545.39$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.21 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…adc6backed Yes | 37c | 541.22$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 147 | 27.9%41 W · 106 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…b452backed Yes | 37c | 532.09$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f3…2568backed Yes | 37c | 505.71$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.02 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5345…666abacked Yes | 21c | 504.53$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.39 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 69c | 496$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcafc…09ffbacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…1a03backed Yes | 23c | 449.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x366e…dc73backed Yes | 34c | 434.92$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 74c | 431$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.73 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558d…b8dcbacked Yes | 35c | 415.07$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 27c | 404.77$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 73c | 387.21$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.15 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c79…fdf7backed Yes | 10c | 380.59$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938d…19fcbacked Yes | 15c | 379$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.57 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11bc…2674backed Yes | 27c | 372.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 71c | 360.06$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.07 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4e…0a4bbacked Yes | 18c | 356.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.11 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 32c | 353.51$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.2 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80f7…b746backed Yes | 29c | 350.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc63a…26a0backed Yes | 21c | 341.87$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.63 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 71c | 326$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked No | 69c | 308.57$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.66 | 171 | 62.6%107 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 63c | 305$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.85 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 28c | 304.83$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.96 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -6.9wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x782c…38c2backed Yes | 35c | 289.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f296backed Yes | 14c | 284$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcba9…ff6abacked Yes | 35c | 283.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7286…223abacked Yes | 22c | 280.14$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.63 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…6564backed Yes | 23c | 279$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.46per pick | 37cpaid | +133.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x064b…9990backed Yes | 39c | 275.87$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1666…00e2backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb6…e3bbbacked Yes | 40c | 252.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 23c | 251.73$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.82 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 16c | 250.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.16 | 122 | 27%33 W · 89 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f3…af78backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 68c | 246$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.6 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked No | 63c | 246$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.02 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 72c | 242.47$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.77 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…7f20backed Yes | 21c | 235.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe972…f8cfbacked Yes | 21c | 232.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 23cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 77c | 230.2$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.95 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +115.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x385e…d6bdbacked Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd2…aafebacked Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 78c | 222.88$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.16 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 72c | 211.63$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.55 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 33c | 206$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.01 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb374…02bcbacked Yes | 32c | 204.88$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f23…441fbacked Yes | 19c | 204.02$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 72c | 199.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 633 | 53.1%336 W · 297 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 28c | 194$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.56 | 89 | 29.2%26 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed No | 78c | 192$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed No | 68c | 175.5$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.31 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 26c | 172.05$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.48 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd15b…ce17backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 70c | 160.66$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.97 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…9bb3backed Yes | 31c | 160$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…0fc0backed Yes | 31c | 159.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b45…077ebacked Yes | 32c | 157.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -13.6wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…b244backed Yes | 32c | 157.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e96…0d3ebacked Yes | 34c | 153$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed No | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 27c | 148.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.92 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome?this page
- Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-0 be the exact series outcome?No won
- Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?Yes won
- Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-3 be the exact series outcome?No won
- Will Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-0 be the exact series outcome?No won
- Will Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?No won
- Will Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome?No won
- Will Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-3 be the exact series outcome?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.