TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb374…02bc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst MLB at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3542.9%15 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+33.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+495.2%+$495.24
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$52.5
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$141.82
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$85
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+136.5%+$40.95
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+116.2%+$116.22
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+81%+$20.25
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$32.64
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$81.58
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$54.07
Will Sweden win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick31cpaid+35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+1,052.3%+$242.03
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+471.4%+$235.71
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+174.7%+$69.89
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-3 be the exact series outcome?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-3 be the exact series outcome?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+262.9%+$1,183.22
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$288.94
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
All 19 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$51.08
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$43.08
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationalsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 15 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$48.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.