MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4404634263da742681b88c3f3b7009a4d9138d5fe8676c27020b5f6c6ebe181
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburgh Piratesof Minnesota Twins, Pittsburgh Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $310,310
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $349,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $310,310 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 276 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a0e…5e62backed Minnesota Twins | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 22,232$13,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,015.22 | 771 | 53.8%415 W · 356 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 21,500$9,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,030 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Minnesota Twins | 3c | 15,065$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.94 | 901 | 46.3%417 W · 484 L | +25.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 14,539$8,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,069.89 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Minnesota Twins | 26c | 13,863$3,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,663.54 | 980 | 45%441 W · 539 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Minnesota Twins | 7c | 13,703$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 13,609$8,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,481.69 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 13,132$8,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,017.64 | 1,692 | 50.2%849 W · 843 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 12,500$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 252 | 45.6%115 W · 137 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.97 | 544 | 51.1%278 W · 266 L | +23.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 9,484$5,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,793.54 | 1,436 | 49.3%708 W · 728 L | -6.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 9,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 7,500$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 6,250$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 6,084$2,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,463.58 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Minnesota Twins | 1c | 5,858$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 5,843$3,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,314.08 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Minnesota Twins | 36c | 5,017$1,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,807.36 | 3,107 | 48.1%1,495 W · 1,612 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 3,806$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.17 | 3,541 | 51%1,805 W · 1,736 L | +53.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 3,787$2,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.65 | 904 | 53.5%484 W · 420 L | +24.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 3,677$2,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.82 | 1,537 | 51.2%787 W · 750 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 3,020$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.51 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Minnesota Twins | 30c | 2,823$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.3 | 9,862 | 46.4%4,579 W · 5,283 L | +40.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Minnesota Twins | 41c | 2,484$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.42 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Minnesota Twins | 4c | 1,800$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 175 | 17.1%30 W · 145 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 1,499$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.68 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4c…fc89backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 1,492$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.53 | 298 | 43.6%130 W · 168 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 1,358$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.2 | 928 | 54%501 W · 427 L | +22.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 1,356$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.4 | 718 | 53.3%383 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6862…8c75backed Minnesota Twins | 26c | 1,347$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 1,313$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.09 | 2,064 | 39.2%810 W · 1,254 L | -29.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Minnesota Twins | 41c | 1,280$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19bd…ae36backed Minnesota Twins | 10c | 1,278$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.67 | 186 | 52.7%98 W · 88 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Minnesota Twins | 4c | 1,250$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 269 | 19%51 W · 218 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 1,080$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.82 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 1,017$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.51 | 4,524 | 48.9%2,214 W · 2,310 L | -42.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 1,005$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9906…7d46backed Minnesota Twins | 3c | 990$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -6.9wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8c73…6dafbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 74c | 945.15$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.15 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 899.99$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Twins | 19c | 885.15$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.84 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 800$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.89 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 800$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f73…8d13backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 800$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Minnesota Twins | 2c | 795.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Minnesota Twins | 3c | 775$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Minnesota Twins | 35c | 769.49$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.81 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 670$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 64c | 663.56$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.42 | 2,058 | 53.8%1,107 W · 951 L | +33.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 626.93$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.38 | 8,251 | 46.3%3,820 W · 4,431 L | +41.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 599.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Minnesota Twins | 41c | 599.99$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 575.98$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.63 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 75c | 568.89$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.55 | 1,530 | 59.4%909 W · 621 L | +82.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Minnesota Twins | 20c | 554.62$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.36 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…38e5backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 509.93$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.97 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…26dcbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 488$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.08 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 487$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.93 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Minnesota Twins | 41c | 456$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.96 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Minnesota Twins | 27c | 453.53$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.8 | 2,150 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,071 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Minnesota Twins | 5c | 443.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 394.98$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.94 | 1,423 | 43.6%620 W · 803 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 382.3$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.92 | 2,349 | 49.9%1,172 W · 1,177 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Minnesota Twins | 14c | 333$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 319.98$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.39 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 299.98$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.56 | 7,046 | 50.5%3,560 W · 3,486 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 287$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.54 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…b8a1backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 251.25$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.01 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 80c | 250.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.98 | 42 | 76.2%32 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fa…9611backed Minnesota Twins | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 384 | 53.9%207 W · 177 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…9ea9backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Minnesota Twins | 41c | 249.97$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.49 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 245$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 923 | 50.1%462 W · 461 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Minnesota Twins | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 249 | 50.6%126 W · 123 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…d790backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 233$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.53 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Minnesota Twins | 41c | 230$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.3 | 1,331 | 44.1%587 W · 744 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 229.92$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.67 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x523c…2c05backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 216.67$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.67 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | -11.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x680a…0a15backed Minnesota Twins | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 74c | 202.76$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.76 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb00…2b37backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe73…6d77backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef9a…f58dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a9…769ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…afdabacked Minnesota Twins | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…a0a7backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66d5…ee81backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Minnesota Twins | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 3,314 | 46.3%1,533 W · 1,781 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 1,226 | 43.6%534 W · 692 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb63…bea4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…7469backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b91…b1fbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x195a…f955backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 1,298 | 43.6%566 W · 732 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Piratesthis page
- Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 11.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 12.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-4.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-7.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh PiratesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.