Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab313fa0ba65a50b0610a10a2dd638f78c4bf36ee1419d69e5dee6a28b29a08b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,003,897
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,093,016
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,003,897 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 967 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1c27…b1babacked No | 34c | 181,840$62,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,550 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked No | 34c | 157,213$53,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,269.67 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 66c | 150,000$99,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,000 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbf…107abacked No | 34c | 79,982$27,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,193.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 36c | 75,543$27,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,192.8 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Yes | 66c | 72,845$48,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,767.24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 24c | 60,942$14,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,619.93 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 66c | 60,860$40,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,712.39 | 219 | 47%103 W · 116 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked No | 34c | 43,455$14,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,604.73 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 44c | 42,962$18,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,268.19 | 1,012 | 36%364 W · 648 L | -20.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked No | 22c | 36,367$8,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,008.98 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -5.9wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked No | 5c | 36,170$1,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,853.46 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 34c | 35,299$12,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,001.66 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…5706backed No | 34c | 27,688$9,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,413.86 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed No | 69c | 27,048$18,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,636.92 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 34c | 26,867$9,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,134.77 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 65c | 26,834$17,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,376.02 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076b…57afbacked Yes | 66c | 26,000$17,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,880 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 25c | 24,625$6,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,158.53 | 4,874 | 41.5%2,021 W · 2,853 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 46c | 22,874$10,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,442.22 | 6,217 | 45.6%2,834 W · 3,383 L | -33.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 38c | 22,497$8,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,869.55 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 34c | 20,721$7,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,032.55 | 1,358 | 48.3%656 W · 702 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 66c | 20,000$13,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,800 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3170…c6a0backed Yes | 66c | 20,000$13,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,799.95 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5901…63a2backed Yes | 67c | 18,699$12,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,170.82 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…9c9abacked No | 34c | 18,495$6,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,288.2 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Yes | 66c | 17,576$11,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,975.76 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 50c | 17,498$8,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,772.06 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x620b…2e9fbacked No | 34c | 17,000$5,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,779.98 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Yes | 65c | 16,322$10,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,656.14 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 33c | 15,547$5,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,130.52 | 323 | 44.3%143 W · 180 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0f…9304backed Yes | 66c | 15,218$10,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,157.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 64c | 14,784$9,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,461.07 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x472d…a11bbacked Yes | 19c | 14,168$2,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,476.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +175.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa099…b806backed Yes | 52c | 14,107$7,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,719.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee8…89debacked No | 31c | 14,030$4,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,309.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Yes | 66c | 13,636$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,636.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f00…73cebacked Yes | 41c | 13,001$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,701.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 41c | 12,546$5,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,357.54 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 34c | 12,138$4,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,128.34 | 160 | 48.8%78 W · 82 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 66c | 10,147$6,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,448.76 | 347 | 39.2%136 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed Yes | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 57c | 9,457$5,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,092.53 | 1,190 | 32.5%387 W · 803 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed No | 3c | 8,229$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.42 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 62c | 7,692$4,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,783.21 | 426 | 44.1%188 W · 238 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 66c | 7,618$5,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,590.17 | 660 | 40%264 W · 396 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 34c | 7,573$2,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,574.99 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 21c | 6,343$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.27 | 986 | 45.6%450 W · 536 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1660…5598backed Yes | 68c | 6,300$4,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 66c | 6,012$3,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,044.06 | 643 | 47.7%307 W · 336 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed No | 59c | 6,000$3,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,525.25 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes | 58c | 6,000$3,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,515.01 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c81…98b7backed Yes | 67c | 5,970$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,970.15 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca3…590fbacked No | 62c | 5,954$3,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,691.6 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 21c | 5,517$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.56 | 207 | 39.6%82 W · 125 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 38c | 5,416$2,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,371.16 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6876…8dc9backed Yes | 71c | 5,360$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 62c | 5,320$3,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,310.77 | 1,786 | 34.9%623 W · 1,163 L | -34.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1602…fbb0backed Yes | 40c | 5,013$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,012.53 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 23c | 4,681$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,586.01 | 583 | 48.5%283 W · 300 L | +21.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Yes | 66c | 4,517$2,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.8 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99fb…acbabacked Yes | 66c | 4,453$2,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.94 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac69…3c46backed No | 4c | 4,450$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.22 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked No | 35c | 4,410$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543.5 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x580e…88c8backed Yes | 61c | 4,373$2,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,684.71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked No | 55c | 4,367$2,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,409.48 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 44cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 66c | 4,127$2,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.18 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…7c4ebacked No | 34c | 4,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.99 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…4ee4backed Yes | 65c | 4,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.99 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…e48ebacked No | 63c | 3,829$2,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,419.43 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 54c | 3,827$2,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,776.44 | 180 | 33.9%61 W · 119 L | -13.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a95…3a16backed Yes | 66c | 3,788$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.88 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 64cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 34c | 3,745$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.22 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 34c | 3,671$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.15 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Yes | 66c | 3,556$2,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.85 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 34c | 3,498$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.28 | 585 | 51.6%302 W · 283 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x087d…b872backed Yes | 68c | 3,457$2,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.68 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Yes | 66c | 3,310$2,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.54 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -5.0wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed No | 68c | 3,283$2,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,248.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9766…a41dbacked No | 27c | 3,260$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 34c | 3,244$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.1 | 2,606 | 47.7%1,242 W · 1,364 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd3…47b6backed Yes | 31c | 3,226$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,225.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 49c | 3,208$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.18 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +46%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7349…cc3abacked No | 72c | 3,174$2,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,283.39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed Yes | 36c | 3,065$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,972.01 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 46c | 3,053$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.97 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 66c | 3,030$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.3 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 33c | 3,028$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.35 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes | 34c | 2,986$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,964.65 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed No | 7c | 2,929$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510b…795bbacked No | 58c | 2,916$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,691.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +118.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaedb…91fdbacked Yes | 63c | 2,728$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.68 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 66c | 2,698$1,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.56 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 51c | 2,611$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.48 | 660 | 32.9%217 W · 443 L | -32.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…5e52backed No | 33c | 2,580$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.4 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed No | 75c | 2,555$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed Yes | 25c | 2,508$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,871.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 22cpaid | +131.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 14c | 2,506$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.53 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Yes | 66c | 2,500$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Yes | 41c | 2,300$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23?this page
- Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-08-23?No won
- Will Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.