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Premier League · resolved market

Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-08-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$634,149
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$631,248

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $634,149 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 353 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes34c77,610$26,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,496.56,22545.6%2,836 W · 3,389 L-34.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No42c66,800$28,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,531.621852.3%114 W · 104 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes40c34,196$13,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,630.161,02836.2%372 W · 656 L-19.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes39c30,000$11,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,685.514,89241.5%2,028 W · 2,864 L+25.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes12c28,022$3,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,362.6720557.1%117 W · 88 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed No67c27,386$18,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,037.321566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+31.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Yes46c21,075$9,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,671.810541%43 W · 62 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Yes46c20,875$9,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,565.622714.8%4 W · 23 L-6.7wins-0.25per pick40cpaid-72.9%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Yes14c18,604$2,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,604.533438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae7f…6f49backed No35c16,839$5,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,945.34666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ba…da22backed No41c15,500$6,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,221.76850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes14c10,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.9920441.2%84 W · 120 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f98…0aa1backed Yes32c9,118$2,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,928.341729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x298b…f406backed Yes35c8,114$2,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8401250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Yes15c7,179$1,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,076.792133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-49.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e3a…e974backed Yes23c7,030$1,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,628.384542.2%19 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86f4…bd70backed No38c6,720$2,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,166.45425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x820a…ca12backed No39c5,747$2,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,500.9966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+33.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes5c5,699$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.02120%0 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No63c5,257$3,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,959.311,82134.6%630 W · 1,191 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Yes15c4,400$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.533060%18 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96d7…3a17backed No34c4,105$1,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,702.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+192.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes29c3,882$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.161,42644.3%632 W · 794 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No66c3,497$2,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,194.8315676.9%120 W · 36 L+28.8wins+0.18per pick58cpaid+40.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes15c3,333$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003531.4%11 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x92f5…458fbacked Yes15c3,220$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4832934.5%10 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+38%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x654a…cc32backed Yes63c3,175$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick39cpaid-79%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90c6…0d13backed Yes33c3,030$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96c2…5741backed Yes67c2,494$1,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,671.081464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+52.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb89a…5f21backed Yes23c2,312$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed Yes3c2,089$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.01560%3 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick22cpaid+131.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2cd8…199ebacked No58c2,081$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eef…83aabacked No41c2,000$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.171145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5003852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+51.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Yes35c1,991$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.0210757%61 W · 46 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes8c1,970$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.9679836%287 W · 511 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed Yes30c1,960$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.59633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-33.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No74c1,946$1,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.0768932.9%227 W · 462 L-32.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe954…1ef1backed Yes15c1,928$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.141346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes35c1,923$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.4110454.8%57 W · 47 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe502…4924backed Yes15c1,888$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.250%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes11c1,758$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.3777241.6%321 W · 451 L+11.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc336…1296backed Yes23c1,742$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Yes33c1,629$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.1117648.9%86 W · 90 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No77c1,519$1,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.2142744%188 W · 239 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes15c1,500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22530%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed No67c1,496$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.655251.9%27 W · 25 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+47.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbcba…c950backed Yes26c1,414$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.541050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked No74c1,359$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.345362.3%33 W · 20 L+7.5wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+37.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed No76c1,315$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.586761.2%41 W · 26 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+26.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No77c1,297$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.439061.1%55 W · 35 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked No78c1,281$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.878360.2%50 W · 33 L+7.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xad52…990fbacked Yes39c1,258$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.52425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-51.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9c7…147abacked Yes15c1,247$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.011145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes15c1,232$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.7537638.3%144 W · 232 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3a3…8bb5backed Yes27c1,203$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.94540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+67%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2398…8894backed Yes34c1,200$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-27.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2afc…317abacked No33c1,200$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8041435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6a6…7971backed Yes41c1,163$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.997748.1%37 W · 40 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No76c1,150$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.35263.5%33 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed No70c1,126$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked Yes33c1,115$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.379772.2%70 W · 27 L+17.6wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+48.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xcdfa…d143backed No54c1,098$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.922536%9 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick31cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Yes33c1,091$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+37.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No69c1,091$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.7310038%38 W · 62 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Yes15c1,050$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.51250%6 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+104.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6daf…a17cbacked No46c1,047$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.362356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48c9…e829backed Yes38c1,019$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.59850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes34c1,017$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.736536.9%24 W · 41 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8030724.4%75 W · 232 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Yes15c999.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011419.3%22 W · 92 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick16cpaid-15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes27c989.02$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.5131843.1%137 W · 181 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb38a…3293backed No63c968.62$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.39450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+78.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Yes5c931.98$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.12757.1%4 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick29cpaid+84.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed No44c903.11$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.116640.9%27 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Yes37c860.33$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.0711441.2%47 W · 67 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No43c858.23$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.699438.3%36 W · 58 L+0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80cf…30aabacked No66c852.5$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.021050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+85.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0b0…5294backed Yes30c830$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2491258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes12c807.87$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9186748.7%422 W · 445 L-12.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked Yes44c795.45$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52e9…c2c1backed Yes50c779.52$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes15c757$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.5522847.8%109 W · 119 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26ad…8c4ebacked Yes7c745$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.22650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+22.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeddb…41bcbacked No69c724.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.643100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+96.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes15c708$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.29636.5%35 W · 61 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes27c705.31$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.6956044.6%250 W · 310 L-15.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3814…17bcbacked Yes15c700$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-60.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5db…5800backed Yes52c673.08$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd3d…742fbacked Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019128.8%55 W · 136 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb032…6977backed Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No60c666$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.432758.4%191 W · 136 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed No46c652.17$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.171861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xae2b…44b2backed Yes31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e75…50d7backed Yes31c634.1$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.57250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5609…2020backed Yes33c606.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc70…8be9backed No56c600$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2642100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+54.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf3c…f5ffbacked No67c599.99$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1981100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Yes26c594.37$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.242020%4 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0527…a978backed Yes43c592.53$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.792871.4%20 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.