Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9262d122ab5ad030ffafd857eaf212d7334b63a94ef5758984256da35da5eed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $328,987
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $339,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $328,987 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 275 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 55c | 71,644$39,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,205.9 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 38c | 17,420$6,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,670.86 | 6,217 | 45.6%2,834 W · 3,383 L | -33.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa099…b806backed Yes | 32c | 13,497$4,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,292.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 64c | 12,770$8,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,587.11 | 792 | 36.1%286 W · 506 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes | 72c | 12,558$9,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,045.13 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6daf…a17cbacked Yes | 29c | 12,500$3,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,595.39 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked Yes | 31c | 12,082$3,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,745.33 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5901…63a2backed Yes | 33c | 10,605$3,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,503 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed Yes | 78c | 9,284$7,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,277.06 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 59c | 4,737$2,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,939.59 | 660 | 32.9%217 W · 443 L | -32.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…abb2backed No | 24c | 4,476$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,410.36 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 48c | 4,353$2,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,247.52 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 14c | 3,744$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.97 | 1,424 | 44.3%631 W · 793 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e42…f5bbbacked No | 71c | 3,466$2,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.87 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 43c | 3,285$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.12 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…1b86backed No | 76c | 3,021$2,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.28 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68b9…1664backed Yes | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3a…e974backed No | 46c | 2,860$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.9 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee6…a1efbacked Yes | 24c | 2,658$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 50c | 2,484$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.44 | 207 | 39.6%82 W · 125 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…b422backed Yes | 33c | 2,273$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 31c | 2,254$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.66 | 762 | 41.9%319 W · 443 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 76c | 2,236$1,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.46 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 69c | 2,127$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.69 | 426 | 44.1%188 W · 238 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 57c | 2,037$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.32 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x11cd…e5a8backed Yes | 67c | 1,900$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3814…17bcbacked Yes | 77c | 1,894$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.31 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 19c | 1,794$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.78 | 851 | 52.9%450 W · 401 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes | 4c | 1,750$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 80c | 1,686$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.16 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5db…5800backed Yes | 71c | 1,680$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde8b…4cd5backed Yes | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 73c | 1,582$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.99 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 73c | 1,516$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.34 | 986 | 45.6%450 W · 536 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 18c | 1,405$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.1 | 1,190 | 32.5%387 W · 803 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.18 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 26c | 1,318$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.26 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40f0…b9bdbacked Yes | 24c | 1,250$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x753d…2ce0backed No | 59c | 1,249$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +108.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Yes | 42c | 1,227$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.09 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddd…c933backed No | 80c | 1,222$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 75c | 1,213$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.18 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…ae4abacked Yes | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5141…ea1cbacked Yes | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes | 30c | 1,131$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.44 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x319f…500bbacked Yes | 25c | 1,084$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Yes | 30c | 1,036$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.19 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 78c | 1,035$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.95 | 750 | 56.5%424 W · 326 L | +44.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Yes | 19c | 1,028$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.41 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dab…55dabacked Yes | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…732ebacked Yes | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed Yes | 32c | 999.99$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes | 33c | 967.78$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.37 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 69c | 960$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.6 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 42c | 950.24$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.11 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…3364backed Yes | 33c | 909.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 31c | 898.23$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.63 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe502…4924backed Yes | 19c | 887.97$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.72 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 20c | 863.41$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.68 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 55c | 801.65$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.28 | 1,012 | 36%364 W · 648 L | -20.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…e48ebacked No | 71c | 800$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 31c | 790.31$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.29 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Yes | 33c | 772.73$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 19c | 766.97$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.06 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…794ebacked Yes | 13c | 744.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Yes | 34c | 735.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 50c | 724.8$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.4 | 156 | 76.9%120 W · 36 L | +28.8wins | +0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Yes | 59c | 720.62$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.64 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4161…e71dbacked Yes | 35c | 720.59$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked No | 78c | 661.56$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.57 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 70c | 525.63$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.16 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…98bebacked Yes | 29c | 504.89$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.17 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0817…de6fbacked Yes | 33c | 503.86$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.38 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 34.5%60 W · 114 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2993…431fbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 68c | 462.06$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.8 | 1,786 | 34.9%623 W · 1,163 L | -34.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 43c | 448.67$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.94 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 43c | 443.5$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.85 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 17c | 427.06$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.08 | 557 | 44.7%249 W · 308 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…a351backed No | 64c | 426.59$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…d246backed Yes | 56c | 423.48$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed No | 71c | 414.91$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.88 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 52c | 386.27$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 700 | 72.3%506 W · 194 L | +83.3wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…486dbacked Yes | 21c | 378.63$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.88 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 42c | 374.68$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.99 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Yes | 69c | 367.04$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.82 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Yes | 30c | 363.15$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 68c | 340$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.5 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked No | 68c | 334.24$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.96 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…01e5backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 67c | 332.99$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.1 | 325 | 58.8%191 W · 134 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 53c | 319.11$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.65 | 4,874 | 41.5%2,021 W · 2,853 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xded4…1e6dbacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 34c | 312.39$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 32c | 310$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -13.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 30c | 309.96$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.52 | 395 | 32.9%130 W · 265 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d22…2bafbacked Yes | 29c | 307.34$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.13 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…3ed7backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?this page
- Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-08-23?No won
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.