TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3ac5…852c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
152
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Champions League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 53 out of 100; worst Lol at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT6420.3%13 W · 51 L-8.6wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-34.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Lol — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.86
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.26
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.35
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.76
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$35.66
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$31.68
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$35.16
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.73
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.49
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.71
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.33
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-Inbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+89%+$16.03
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.05
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT5523.6%13 W · 42 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick21cpaid+29.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.11
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 2 Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.3
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.97
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$398.57
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$154.24
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 2 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.32
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$271.33
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$366.67
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT2416.7%4 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.95
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.21
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$114.4
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.11
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.52
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.65
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$59
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+221.5%+$34.45
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.6
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.8
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on April 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.06
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on April 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on April 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on April 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.66
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.99
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$20.33
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.3
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on March 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.69
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$567Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$567.47
All 24 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-53.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.5
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.