Tennis · resolved market
ITF M25 Taipei Men: Manish Sureshkumar vs Hiromasa Koyama
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x961d065f534b036bc579b1556f393b2122143a38ace6bab7dbe606739b175f35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hiromasa Koyamaof Manish Sureshkumar, Hiromasa Koyama
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,975
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,975 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hiromasa Koyama | 39c | 5,772$2,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,547.65 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce1b…977dbacked Hiromasa Koyama | 9c | 3,747$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,409.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 12cpaid | +466.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Manish Sureshkumar | 76c | 2,471$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,876.2 | 635 | 56.7%360 W · 275 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa107…e6a1backed Hiromasa Koyama | 73c | 2,235$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.79 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Hiromasa Koyama | 70c | 2,200$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.18 | 641 | 47.7%306 W · 335 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Manish Sureshkumar | 41c | 2,156$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.26 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…2cb1backed Hiromasa Koyama | 7c | 824.52$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.49 | 104 | 25%26 W · 78 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Manish Sureshkumar | 68c | 700$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476 | 1,745 | 48.1%840 W · 905 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Hiromasa Koyama | 15c | 670.48$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.96 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Hiromasa Koyama | 70c | 535.93$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.93 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Hiromasa Koyama | 35c | 523.57$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.34 | 1,314 | 39%512 W · 802 L | -23.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Manish Sureshkumar | 53c | 429.57$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.56 | 355 | 50.7%180 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb25…62edbacked Manish Sureshkumar | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked Hiromasa Koyama | 6c | 347.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.13 | 162 | 30.9%50 W · 112 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Hiromasa Koyama | 40c | 283$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.04 | 256 | 52%133 W · 123 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Hiromasa Koyama | 29c | 235.83$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.44 | 792 | 38.3%303 W · 489 L | -15.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked Hiromasa Koyama | 28c | 170.37$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.3 | 213 | 51.6%110 W · 103 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Manish Sureshkumar | 61c | 170$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.7 | 1,008 | 57.7%582 W · 426 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Hiromasa Koyama | 44c | 153.2$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.79 | 1,066 | 50.1%534 W · 532 L | +48.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55a8…e802backed Manish Sureshkumar | 58c | 151.36$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 363 | 42.1%153 W · 210 L | -16.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Manish Sureshkumar | 59c | 139$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.01 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Manish Sureshkumar | 28c | 113$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 2,135 | 56%1,195 W · 940 L | +41.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Hiromasa Koyama | 39c | 109.66$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.02 | 285 | 43.5%124 W · 161 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Hiromasa Koyama | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.33 | 1,766 | 45.9%810 W · 956 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked Hiromasa Koyama | 18c | 98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Hiromasa Koyama | 32c | 93.37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.37 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Manish Sureshkumar | 36c | 92.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Manish Sureshkumar | 57c | 82.17$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…f02dbacked Hiromasa Koyama | 39c | 70.8$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Manish Sureshkumar | 18c | 65.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 569 | 26%148 W · 421 L | -23.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Hiromasa Koyama | 36c | 62.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 471 | 48.2%227 W · 244 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Hiromasa Koyama | 71c | 55.63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 471 | 66.5%313 W · 158 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Manish Sureshkumar | 76c | 50.2$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Manish Sureshkumar | 53c | 48.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…d67fbacked Manish Sureshkumar | 27c | 48.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Hiromasa Koyama | 35c | 45.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.84 | 236 | 40.7%96 W · 140 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0107…3f71backed Manish Sureshkumar | 48c | 44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -7.4wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Hiromasa Koyama | 46c | 36.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 433 | 59.6%258 W · 175 L | +26.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Manish Sureshkumar | 58c | 36.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Manish Sureshkumar | 29c | 35.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Hiromasa Koyama | 69c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b1…f5e7backed Manish Sureshkumar | 76c | 19.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.