CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f3f8ff14318356bef98ddba15f39b59c1927d7a5029b354cea34f48accbb18d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof B8, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,441
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,441 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6df6…8458backed B8 | 11c | 8,317$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…8352backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 5,020$3,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.91 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed B8 | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 3,368$2,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.39 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…c324backed B8 | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +28%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Natus Vincere | 78c | 2,920$2,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.22 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed B8 | 19c | 2,703$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.57 | 265 | 49.1%130 W · 135 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…de6bbacked Natus Vincere | 77c | 2,200$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.05 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed B8 | 9c | 1,810$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.9 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked B8 | 19c | 1,753$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.36 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 1,576$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.32 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked B8 | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 239 | 32.2%77 W · 162 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e9a…5f9cbacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 1,457$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.59 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 1,410$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.29 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3050…da3ebacked B8 | 5c | 1,321$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed B8 | 10c | 1,192$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 225 | 54.2%122 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed B8 | 33c | 858.75$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.39 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9784…e452backed B8 | 4c | 822.22$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked B8 | 2c | 821.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed B8 | 32c | 753.08$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.08 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked B8 | 21c | 703.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.6 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 700$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.15 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7289…8d16backed B8 | 41c | 665.83$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.99 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…97b8backed B8 | 40c | 621.49$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.62 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 613.99$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.38 | 134 | 60.4%81 W · 53 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf376…953abacked B8 | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed B8 | 35c | 599.82$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.32 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9c…bcfcbacked B8 | 17c | 589.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 152 | 55.3%84 W · 68 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 479.83$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.18 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed B8 | 32c | 451.43$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.46 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b4…5193backed B8 | 16c | 445.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed B8 | 35c | 428.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581a…c986backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 421.53$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked B8 | 32c | 397.81$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.3 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe48…5895backed B8 | 13c | 379.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…b0a5backed B8 | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed B8 | 22c | 329.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe145…42d5backed B8 | 18c | 328.06$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2286…3ccfbacked B8 | 13c | 315.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…0d50backed B8 | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…f2ffbacked B8 | 9c | 300$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…44adbacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 299.99$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 253.99$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 245.71$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.46 | 154 | 49.4%76 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf632…02aabacked B8 | 35c | 239.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.05 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef1a…d048backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 212.12$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.12 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked B8 | 20c | 203.1$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked B8 | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…b7aabacked B8 | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf88…3ed6backed Natus Vincere | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 199.99$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a28…c2e1backed B8 | 10c | 199.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc8…f527backed B8 | 28c | 187.22$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.88 | 488 | 26.2%128 W · 360 L | -44.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x332f…b8b6backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 180.76$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.57 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…ec07backed B8 | 21c | 166.65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…8911backed B8 | 22c | 149.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1866…1325backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 149.81$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.94 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…04dabacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b0…b21dbacked B8 | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd431…87c1backed B8 | 23c | 141.27$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfced…6116backed B8 | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x916c…669abacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 132.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x976c…7634backed Natus Vincere | 80c | 120$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +35%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x95ee…e28cbacked B8 | 39c | 115.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.06 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf532…0f70backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 114.57$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +81%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…aad4backed Natus Vincere | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab43…4180backed B8 | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 87.83$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…ca77backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed B8 | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca82…997bbacked B8 | 32c | 78.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 66.68$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…a5bebacked B8 | 27c | 59.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56d3…cff9backed B8 | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked B8 | 29c | 56.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 36cpaid | -87%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49da…0f6abacked B8 | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x554a…09c8backed B8 | 37c | 54.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…6937backed B8 | 36c | 52.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…01a9backed B8 | 23c | 51.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x047a…941ebacked B8 | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fd…5b3cbacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 49.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6334…ddf4backed B8 | 37c | 45.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b47…25d3backed B8 | 38c | 45.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x194b…41b4backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -36%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c78…1af0backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 44.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked B8 | 28c | 43.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 213 | 43.7%93 W · 120 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed B8 | 38c | 34.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 365 | 54.8%200 W · 165 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed B8 | 34c | 32.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 31.03$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1071…42cebacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…1b46backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 27.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4241…6eebbacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 25.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x687c…8c91backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa2…dfc1backed Natus Vincere | 80c | 20.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…3c6fbacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 19.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere (BO3)Natus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.