CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9faab0b46637061a13c9477faf01a16451632afcb8c7e5ba221d1e2a0cc33916
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,000
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,320
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,000 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3df8…a696backed Over | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.6 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 69c | 4,023$2,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.65 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 17c | 2,373$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.31 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Over | 13c | 1,468$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.83 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Under | 73c | 1,000$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bd…b05abacked Over | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 198 | 34.8%69 W · 129 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58bc…1fdbbacked Over | 5c | 580$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Over | 44c | 554.95$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.18 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…44adbacked Under | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…2ab9backed Under | 69c | 258.67$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.19 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 42c | 207.05$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.96 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x331a…ff18backed Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef1a…d048backed Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed Under | 63c | 168$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.16 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x600f…4392backed Under | 74c | 122.58$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.87 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 52c | 118.29$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Under | 56c | 116.07$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.07 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Over | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…ca77backed Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Over | 43c | 87.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…8184backed Under | 71c | 87.07$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 23c | 68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Under | 56c | 55.3$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 134 | 60.4%81 W · 53 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4168…8d0fbacked Under | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5f59backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x062d…500fbacked Under | 61c | 48.62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11c1…7fe5backed Under | 69c | 45.7$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 200 | 52.5%105 W · 95 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…fc20backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 331 | 56.5%187 W · 144 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93a…8a46backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Under | 55c | 31.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 208 | 55.3%115 W · 93 L | +18.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d1…4cb7backed Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed Under | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Under | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere (BO3)Natus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.