CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed4f4efc641b2cc65d172115527298780c2763e38392411080446d00624de188
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof B8, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $387,735
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $450,718
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $387,735 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6df6…8458backed B8 | 14c | 30,830$4,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,401.73 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed B8 | 25c | 30,000$7,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,477.58 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 27,830$20,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,957.6 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed B8 | 25c | 26,103$6,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,542.71 | 821 | 43%353 W · 468 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed B8 | 17c | 13,547$2,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,291.02 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…e838backed Natus Vincere | 80c | 10,412$8,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,098.16 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed B8 | 11c | 9,868$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.38 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 9,000$6,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,789.99 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…41bebacked B8 | 23c | 8,598$2,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,007.44 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed B8 | 25c | 7,799$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.79 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…8352backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 6,435$5,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.08 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 6,140$4,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432 | 465 | 45.6%212 W · 253 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked B8 | 25c | 5,519$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.54 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked B8 | 18c | 5,332$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.75 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f7…e59bbacked B8 | 21c | 5,158$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.84 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked Natus Vincere | 79c | 4,478$3,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.5 | 210 | 42.9%90 W · 120 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked B8 | 22c | 4,322$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.84 | 327 | 52.3%171 W · 156 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…c324backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 3,700$2,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +28%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed B8 | 25c | 3,678$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.5 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 3,336$2,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.08 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked B8 | 31c | 3,146$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.3 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 3,049$2,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.68 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed B8 | 31c | 2,687$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.97 | 192 | 47.9%92 W · 100 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…de6bbacked Natus Vincere | 77c | 2,673$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.43 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e9a…5f9cbacked Natus Vincere | 74c | 2,244$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.48 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked B8 | 21c | 2,215$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.1 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…e150backed Natus Vincere | 76c | 2,122$1,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked B8 | 17c | 2,082$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.4 | 1,263 | 46.9%592 W · 671 L | +18.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 766 | 57.8%443 W · 323 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 1,949$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.49 | 317 | 57.7%183 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 1,744$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.78 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed B8 | 14c | 1,600$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 1,283 | 22%282 W · 1,001 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…f128backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 1,590$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.5 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked B8 | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.99 | 239 | 32.2%77 W · 162 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 1,432$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.28 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…1665backed B8 | 14c | 1,429$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f70…123dbacked B8 | 14c | 1,381$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed B8 | 31c | 1,365$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…8c1dbacked Natus Vincere | 74c | 1,349$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.79 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 1,349$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.15 | 152 | 49.3%75 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…44e5backed B8 | 23c | 1,326$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…46ddbacked B8 | 21c | 1,309$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed B8 | 26c | 1,247$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.14 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…964dbacked B8 | 3c | 1,100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 1,061$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.61 | 1,629 | 44.8%730 W · 899 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 983 | 52.4%515 W · 468 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 319 | 33.5%107 W · 212 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe161…4ebfbacked B8 | 21c | 999.98$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Natus Vincere | 78c | 974.77$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.07 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9c…bcfcbacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 928.79$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.45 | 152 | 55.3%84 W · 68 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Natus Vincere | 76c | 906.99$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.48 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked B8 | 24c | 800$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -7.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed B8 | 24c | 800$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…c40dbacked B8 | 14c | 733.82$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.15 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…86bebacked B8 | 11c | 673.17$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.37 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb819…cc67backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 665.36$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.36 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3050…da3ebacked B8 | 7c | 662.21$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.89 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb78f…3a77backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 654.92$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.14 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed B8 | 15c | 648.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 789 | 39.5%312 W · 477 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9559…9fd7backed B8 | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed B8 | 31c | 622.17$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.22 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.06 | 134 | 60.4%81 W · 53 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…b518backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 600.21$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.21 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed B8 | 31c | 600$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 600$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa485…92a5backed Natus Vincere | 76c | 527.63$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.63 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked B8 | 24c | 522.71$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b1…18ffbacked B8 | 16c | 507.69$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…3030backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked B8 | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 154 | 49.4%76 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed B8 | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed B8 | 23c | 499.98$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 97 | 34%33 W · 64 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…f2ffbacked B8 | 21c | 480$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 450$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 447.22$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.74 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe48…5895backed B8 | 10c | 432.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.62 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…7578backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd9…46d5backed B8 | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f8…54bdbacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 400$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 253 | 50.2%127 W · 126 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8d…210fbacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 399.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked B8 | 21c | 399.66$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.57 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x92e6…8222backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 388.03$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.36 | 222 | 59.9%133 W · 89 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…c6a8backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 360.18$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.28 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd4…ea9abacked Natus Vincere | 77c | 358$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.34 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Natus Vincere | 78c | 345.53$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.66 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4874…6fe9backed B8 | 26c | 342.31$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 299.98$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.6 | 365 | 55.9%204 W · 161 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b4…5193backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 293.33$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed B8 | 26c | 280$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed B8 | 28c | 277.75$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.77 | 157 | 43.3%68 W · 89 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…0d50backed B8 | 16c | 272.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1866…1325backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 262.67$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.67 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbb…55b0backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…d8e2backed B8 | 12c | 254.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 242.43$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.6 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc317…4f97backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 234.2$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae8…0e50backed B8 | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf376…953abacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 205.1$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.07 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked B8 | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 323 | 52%168 W · 155 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere (BO3)Natus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.