Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95c4b7edf2e74482cf05855c242cb7818662bd947002ef3fcaeb4929a04694a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof Team Liquid, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,625
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,560
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,625 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac47…d234backed Team Liquid | 58c | 9,087$5,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,311.3 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e88…5ddabacked MOUZ | 31c | 7,726$2,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,318.31 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | +11.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ | 36c | 7,591$2,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,854.97 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ | 31c | 6,878$2,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,730.02 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ | 31c | 5,238$1,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,623.93 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked MOUZ | 43c | 4,205$1,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,401.93 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Liquid | 74c | 4,132$3,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,042.51 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc736…7255backed Team Liquid | 57c | 3,726$2,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,123.78 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked MOUZ | 41c | 3,673$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,162.15 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked MOUZ | 45c | 3,399$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,858.44 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed MOUZ | 51c | 2,693$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.59 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Liquid | 56c | 2,412$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.59 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Team Liquid | 13c | 2,384$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.57 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Team Liquid | 64c | 2,355$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.25 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed MOUZ | 42c | 2,038$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.21 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Team Liquid | 60c | 1,670$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76ef…561cbacked Team Liquid | 60c | 1,618$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.25 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…6313backed Team Liquid | 59c | 1,569$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…8ca3backed MOUZ | 47c | 1,561$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed MOUZ | 76c | 1,455$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.89 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed MOUZ | 42c | 1,385$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.36 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Team Liquid | 73c | 1,381$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.61 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed MOUZ | 41c | 1,381$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.42 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Team Liquid | 54c | 1,286$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.37 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2905…6255backed Team Liquid | 59c | 1,251$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.23 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Team Liquid | 53c | 1,181$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.1 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ | 26c | 1,158$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.86 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7b…0cc9backed Team Liquid | 61c | 1,156$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Team Liquid | 56c | 1,137$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.31 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Liquid | 45c | 1,104$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.58 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed MOUZ | 28c | 1,073$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.21 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed MOUZ | 44c | 1,042$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.52 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Liquid | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked Team Liquid | 13c | 864.48$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.97 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed Team Liquid | 43c | 860$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.8 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed Team Liquid | 59c | 847.5$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.03 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked MOUZ | 34c | 847.02$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.2 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed MOUZ | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed MOUZ | 24c | 755.83$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.76 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed MOUZ | 44c | 754$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.59 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed MOUZ | 35c | 723.58$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.68 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed MOUZ | 42c | 713.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.12 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bc…2f60backed MOUZ | 44c | 690$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.8 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked MOUZ | 38c | 645.32$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.25 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Team Liquid | 53c | 607.34$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.89 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked MOUZ | 11c | 572.73$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.73 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked MOUZ | 36c | 559.88$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.2 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf927…94b5backed Team Liquid | 57c | 517.02$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Liquid | 47c | 513.17$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.84 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Team Liquid | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed MOUZ | 39c | 492.25$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.25 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Team Liquid | 58c | 480$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.4 | 76 | 65.8%50 W · 26 L | +8.5wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed MOUZ | 45c | 479.35$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.64 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed MOUZ | 37c | 451.17$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.05 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed MOUZ | 68c | 424.38$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.29 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…339ebacked Team Liquid | 59c | 423.98$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…e68bbacked MOUZ | 11c | 411.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.52 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Team Liquid | 30c | 403$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.9 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Team Liquid | 64c | 396$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.33 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x309a…f474backed Team Liquid | 18c | 391.92$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.43 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Liquid | 10c | 381.88$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.19 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Team Liquid | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f99…db70backed Team Liquid | 15c | 343.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed MOUZ | 44c | 341.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.84 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1976…e363backed MOUZ | 36c | 307.76$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.75 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked MOUZ | 73c | 300.45$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.73 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8924…ab27backed Team Liquid | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Team Liquid | 52c | 291.82$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.75 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed MOUZ | 37c | 272.95$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.96 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed MOUZ | 41c | 267.67$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.92 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…0267backed Team Liquid | 59c | 266.1$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x031e…276dbacked Team Liquid | 52c | 254.8$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ | 45c | 229.83$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.2 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6d…f1c8backed MOUZ | 42c | 220$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.8 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Team Liquid | 37c | 216.36$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.1 | 138 | 27.5%38 W · 100 L | -15.0wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c25…87c0backed Team Liquid | 35c | 203.2$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa4…71c5backed Team Liquid | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Team Liquid | 69c | 200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 266 | 61.7%164 W · 102 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Team Liquid | 58c | 199.98$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.99 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…24c2backed Team Liquid | 64c | 189.99$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.9 | 130 | 61.5%80 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7c…bfd7backed Team Liquid | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd15e…db59backed Team Liquid | 55c | 182.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa388…76dcbacked Team Liquid | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aab…1536backed Team Liquid | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…b3d6backed MOUZ | 44c | 180$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed Team Liquid | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9147…baccbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Team Liquid | 59c | 166$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.94 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…c3dbbacked Team Liquid | 56c | 158.11$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.54 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed MOUZ | 53c | 150.49$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.63 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3a…4ecebacked Team Liquid | 54c | 149.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Team Liquid | 52c | 141.61$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.02 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…ee5abacked MOUZ | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Team Liquid | 58c | 137.93$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Liquid | 15c | 136.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed Team Liquid | 32c | 126.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e10…9c75backed MOUZ | 79c | 114.19$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Team Liquid | 74c | 114$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.55 | 500 | 32.2%161 W · 339 L | -47.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…c5adbacked Team Liquid | 60c | 113.73$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.24 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.