TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Liquidof BetBoom Team, Team Liquid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$122,357
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$156,094

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,357 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked BetBoom Team37c19,045$7,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,130.872,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Liquid57c16,592$9,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,187.455157%314 W · 237 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed BetBoom Team43c8,781$3,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,741.7232854.9%180 W · 148 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x500f…94bfbacked Team Liquid60c8,200$4,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,28013558.5%79 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x084b…3de6backed BetBoom Team49c7,012$3,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,460.4910741.1%44 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Team Liquid54c6,506$3,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,990.5296557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb63…a71dbacked Team Liquid55c6,000$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,70020159.7%120 W · 81 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5454…ceadbacked BetBoom Team47c4,641$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2008543.5%37 W · 48 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked BetBoom Team37c4,564$1,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,668.381,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb555…0c4bbacked BetBoom Team39c4,324$1,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,669.6610342.7%44 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed BetBoom Team49c4,277$2,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,097.8733746.3%156 W · 181 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66fb…9f72backed Team Liquid49c4,205$2,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,137.3754556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked BetBoom Team43c4,038$1,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,726.251,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe375…dadfbacked Team Liquid63c3,700$2,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.0412948.1%62 W · 67 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x60f1…9562backed Team Liquid68c3,658$2,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.932060%12 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Team Liquid46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,619.9979959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed BetBoom Team37c2,915$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.8577941.1%320 W · 459 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed BetBoom Team44c2,678$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.4771454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed BetBoom Team43c2,161$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.2466662.2%414 W · 252 L+60.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb04b…e2d4backed BetBoom Team46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92016142.9%69 W · 92 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf459…7a53backed Team Liquid62c1,233$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.1910260.8%62 W · 40 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b1…19bbbacked BetBoom Team41c1,207$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.734156.1%23 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed BetBoom Team44c1,200$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.9958744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbc2…514cbacked BetBoom Team45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50033845.6%154 W · 184 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd679…9ccfbacked Team Liquid63c950$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.514058.6%82 W · 58 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f04…5fc4backed Team Liquid54c900$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41431545.4%143 W · 172 L-19.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c52…e75fbacked Team Liquid49c900$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46013732.8%45 W · 92 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x00a1…5062backed Team Liquid49c818.7$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.721346.5%99 W · 114 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Team Liquid56c804.99$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.9955251.6%285 W · 267 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed BetBoom Team36c639.84$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.42,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Team Liquid48c629.38$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.3833850.9%172 W · 166 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0738…6392backed Team Liquid64c624.02$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.7821264.2%136 W · 76 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5554…98f9backed Team Liquid67c596.79$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.796066.7%40 W · 20 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed BetBoom Team56c577.81$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.061,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x53a5…fc83backed Team Liquid60c572$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.85446.3%25 W · 29 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked Team Liquid72c522.46$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.4653844.4%239 W · 299 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed BetBoom Team60c520$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.845061.6%277 W · 173 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed10…15edbacked Team Liquid66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17088166.7%588 W · 293 L+76.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed BetBoom Team52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26036054.4%196 W · 164 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28f5…2035backed Team Liquid56c479$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.6633265.4%217 W · 115 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf3be…f543backed Team Liquid65c461.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.5425457.9%147 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Team Liquid68c455.94$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.2256848.8%277 W · 291 L-1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Team Liquid52c449.98$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.391,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x649d…ec03backed Team Liquid54c425.93$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.933941%16 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3260…85ddbacked Team Liquid55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1806454.7%35 W · 29 L+7.9wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+16.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed BetBoom Team40c395.96$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.4274549.3%367 W · 378 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed BetBoom Team39c382.16$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.821,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60b4…6313backed Team Liquid69c360.87$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.8716160.2%97 W · 64 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed Team Liquid57c343.9$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.780742.6%344 W · 463 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf2…a469backed Team Liquid59c339.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.2113455.2%74 W · 60 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xebd9…ff12backed BetBoom Team5c330$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.550%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdca4…1c68backed Team Liquid61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8764149.9%320 W · 321 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1709…c148backed Team Liquid53c326.78$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.0248352.4%253 W · 230 L-2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c9…e194backed Team Liquid61c325.71$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.714035%14 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed Team Liquid49c306.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.1226453%140 W · 124 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed BetBoom Team60c300$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18061548.8%300 W · 315 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x703a…e12dbacked BetBoom Team38c263.34$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-54.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc43c…1310backed Team Liquid64c255.94$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed BetBoom Team44c250.2$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.0134063.2%215 W · 125 L+38.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x772c…3539backed BetBoom Team41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005543.6%24 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb97e…262bbacked Team Liquid49c243.07$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.0752649.2%259 W · 267 L+21.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x380c…951cbacked Team Liquid67c240.54$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.694973.5%36 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbda6…6ae0backed BetBoom Team50c218$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.0736051.9%187 W · 173 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc6e…d043backed Team Liquid74c217.35$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.511560%9 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac93…0cfcbacked Team Liquid61c210.85$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.9558152.5%305 W · 276 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fe6…5d3fbacked Team Liquid55c202.27$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919430.9%29 W · 65 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4867…e1dcbacked Team Liquid47c199.99$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.994639.1%18 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked BetBoom Team53c186.27$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7285851.3%440 W · 418 L+30.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77f2…eec6backed BetBoom Team35c179.6$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.1955457.8%320 W · 234 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78db…4d37backed Team Liquid63c176.46$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.296944.9%31 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f03…7551backed Team Liquid73c164.38$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.382560%15 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed BetBoom Team29c150$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8359250.5%299 W · 293 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b47…25d3backed Team Liquid68c136.49$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.686334.9%22 W · 41 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-25.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x30db…07c3backed Team Liquid62c131.24$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8754445.8%249 W · 295 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa750…0d0fbacked BetBoom Team45c127$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1537754.9%207 W · 170 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b0e…eca9backed BetBoom Team50c117.13$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594461.4%27 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a4…4249backed Team Liquid74c111.87$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1819664.8%127 W · 69 L+0.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac06…9594backed BetBoom Team48c105.28$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.651020%2 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-65.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked BetBoom Team41c104.92$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8786949%426 W · 443 L-3.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18fe…a4a0backed BetBoom Team48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506450%32 W · 32 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1532…1dadbacked Team Liquid45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5522654.4%123 W · 103 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc91…67a6backed Team Liquid62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383633.3%12 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked BetBoom Team35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3556243.2%243 W · 319 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac5d…d45fbacked BetBoom Team27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279535.8%34 W · 61 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe99e…0084backed Team Liquid57c99.99$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4387645.7%400 W · 476 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe64b…3499backed Team Liquid61c99.99$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395052%26 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e5e…67c5backed BetBoom Team45c95.63$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8614039.3%55 W · 85 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked BetBoom Team54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014965.8%98 W · 51 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f46…cddbbacked Team Liquid54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5924052.1%125 W · 115 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c0…23d8backed BetBoom Team46c86.79$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4023957.3%137 W · 102 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e3e…e3ebbacked Team Liquid52c81.28$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7812061.7%74 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed BetBoom Team41c75$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3159556.6%337 W · 258 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd61b…3ae1backed Team Liquid67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.63425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-62.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team Liquid47c74.47$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4748539.2%190 W · 295 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66a2…e49cbacked BetBoom Team34c71.97$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8e6…a3b6backed BetBoom Team32c71.44$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1830%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x22f5…795bbacked BetBoom Team40c69.43$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286160.7%37 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d27…bd5abacked Team Liquid59c68.06$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0646872.2%338 W · 130 L+36.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7c7…24c2backed Team Liquid70c66.11$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6413061.5%80 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00fb…4442backed Team Liquid53c65.54$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.818763.2%55 W · 32 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.