Serie A · resolved market
Udinese Calcio vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12a0cfa65f58f2d9eb500fa95c8e3d36203f9637823ae3c264bdf750239f7b09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,832
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,832 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 9,794$5,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,116 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Yes | 48c | 8,462$4,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,431 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Yes | 49c | 1,065$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.29 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 53c | 695$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.5 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 53c | 653.23$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.76 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 46c | 652.37$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.28 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 51c | 565.91$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.62 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 52c | 536.23$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.02 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 45c | 455.96$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.62 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 56c | 392.29$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.95 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 56c | 357.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.16 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…b0a5backed Yes | 46c | 252.74$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.99 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 46c | 142.62$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.62 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 44c | 111.3$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.33 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b47…25d3backed Yes | 48c | 105$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Yes | 41c | 99.64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.24 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Yes | 44c | 80$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked No | 54c | 77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 44c | 75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…bec2backed No | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2897…0004backed Yes | 45c | 66.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.73 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5309…1975backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Yes | 73c | 48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +6.1wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Yes | 48c | 47.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Yes | 47c | 47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed No | 56c | 45.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +6.8wins | +0.24per pick | 35cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x760d…deaabacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 43c | 43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked No | 54c | 38.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Yes | 47c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Yes | 44c | 32.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Yes | 43c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 54c | 24.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked No | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +15.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a6…bbd5backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…ae41backed No | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed No | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Udinese Calcio vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Udinese Calcio (-1.5)Genoa CFC won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.