Serie A · resolved market
Udinese Calcio vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d15535a26f414cc28f9752551cfae797323a73c26bd9f8fc690c942bb2a83f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,809
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,626
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,809 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3450…6793backed Under | 78c | 2,852$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Over | 15c | 2,383$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.46 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 12c | 2,195$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.56 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Over | 26c | 1,912$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 8c | 758.45$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.74 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 21c | 627.5$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.78 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6636…bf37backed Over | 24c | 199.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 18c | 163.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 272 | 26.8%73 W · 199 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed Over | 16c | 132.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 17c | 121$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 15c | 82.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Over | 21c | 72.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 15c | 66.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +16.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Udinese Calcio vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Udinese Calcio (-1.5)Genoa CFC won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.