TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Udinese Calcio vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,530
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$92,779

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,530 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3450…6793backed Over64c7,707$4,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,805.79580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+60.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under37c6,850$2,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,546.121,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under29c3,942$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143.233357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ef2…f473backed Under38c3,202$1,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,216.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c7…bd87backed Over60c3,200$1,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.86250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under38c2,568$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.8538744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Over64c2,344$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.757145.1%32 W · 39 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over62c2,294$1,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.652748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under35c1,989$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.1796942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Over61c1,630$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.32425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-59.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under36c1,609$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.6993252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under38c1,500$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57036630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over62c1,054$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.5533357.4%191 W · 142 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ef5…325ebacked Over70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+45.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3db3…932fbacked Under52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under38c884.04$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.682,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e58…efdabacked Over61c819.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.67250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over65c769.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.238757.5%50 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eca…fc20backed Over63c763.67$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.56683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick73cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Over59c694$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.545556.4%31 W · 24 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+28.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Under39c558.56$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.0815550.3%78 W · 77 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under38c526$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.8810152.5%53 W · 48 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89b8…5cf9backed Over55c490$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.5850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over66c454.55$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.554872.9%35 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1901…21c8backed Under23c347.83$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over70c328.74$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.8259240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over63c315$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.551764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd45…59b2backed Under37c302.62$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.091827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-56.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d9d…992bbacked Over68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.122055%11 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+49.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed Under37c224$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.5110039%39 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked Over63c222.73$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.233080%24 W · 6 L+6.1wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+46.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc450…f2f7backed Over60c215.85$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.852860.7%17 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under38c210$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.828556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6723…a540backed Over61c210$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.91442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over54c200$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9115623.7%37 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6636…bf37backed Under28c183.36$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.841323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick31cpaid+21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07ce…75e0backed Over60c164.02$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.611163.6%7 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick73cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Over63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.73955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Over63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.736350.8%32 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under38c157$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6625556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under38c157$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.666443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under38c157$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6618459.2%109 W · 75 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdf88…3ed6backed Over68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.06988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick61cpaid+54.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8ef2…50e0backed Over60c146.17$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.47966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5b3…0476backed Over57c146.14$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Over70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.863056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec54…a03dbacked Over63c141.85$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.11666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Over61c133.67$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1310951.4%56 W · 53 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x727c…c1f5backed Over61c132.7$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.751040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-27.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under38c131$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7813648.5%66 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over59c128.37$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.6312452.4%65 W · 59 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Over59c126.98$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.063537.1%13 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc40f…1950backed Over70c120$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365251.9%27 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over61c114.75$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.755754.4%31 W · 26 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under34c113.87$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7231441.4%130 W · 184 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5279…a8dbbacked Over61c110$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-48%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa40d…f4d0backed Over66c106.06$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.065742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fc9…fa88backed Over61c106.04$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.581163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under38c105$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.98948.3%43 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under38c105$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.911550.4%58 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Under38c105$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.97445.9%34 W · 40 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under38c105$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.915459.1%91 W · 63 L+11.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under38c105$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.928458.1%165 W · 119 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Under38c105$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.97948.1%38 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x426a…128bbacked Under41c104.7$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.734727.7%13 W · 34 L-6.1wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-39.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0a83…9c87backed Over61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9270…7c9ebacked Under38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.592356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6da8…d660backed Under38c87.03$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.04633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-38.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2af4…e06cbacked Over64c85$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under38c78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6415847.5%75 W · 83 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under38c78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6412048.3%58 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under38c78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6416851.2%86 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.767464.9%48 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d16…85f3backed Under36c75$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+17.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe71f…09f2backed Over62c62.9$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf94c…8a42backed Under39c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.41040%4 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01fa…c2edbacked Over48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.21855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over56c53.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4817058.2%99 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under38c52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.769445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under38c52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7611551.3%59 W · 56 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under38c52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.768852.3%46 W · 42 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Under38c52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.768552.9%45 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under38c52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.768148.1%39 W · 42 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under38c52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7612453.2%66 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Under38c52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.768456%47 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Under38c52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.767353.4%39 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Under38c52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7611354%61 W · 52 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under38c52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.769252.2%48 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Under38c52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.767653.9%41 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Under38c52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.768151.9%42 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under38c52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.767746.8%36 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under38c52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7610252%53 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Under38c52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7611652.6%61 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under38c52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7614155.3%78 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Under38c52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.767255.6%40 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under38c52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7611953.8%64 W · 55 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under38c52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7611655.2%64 W · 52 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under38c52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7612454.8%68 W · 56 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under38c52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.769447.9%45 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.