Serie A · resolved market
Udinese Calcio vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa23f3d1f7dd44ad71785eaa8ec01b9e37ac71c20dbc4d55e5770d482f6999a60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,745
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,745 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3450…6793backed Over | 47c | 5,686$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,036.66 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 65c | 4,790$3,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,131.28 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 64c | 2,254$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.76 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 71c | 2,250$1,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.44 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Over | 33c | 1,539$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.39 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 67c | 1,469$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.04 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 60c | 1,407$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.08 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Over | 38c | 1,361$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.53 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a33…28e8backed Over | 42c | 899.9$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.94 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 33cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Over | 29c | 800$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 64c | 796.3$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.96 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Over | 34c | 735.29$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1901…21c8backed Under | 77c | 645.27$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Over | 28c | 529.89$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.89 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Over | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Under | 68c | 500$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Under | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 222 | 37.4%83 W · 139 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Over | 33c | 440$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.89 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Over | 29c | 345$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.95 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 38c | 326.32$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.32 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 70c | 322.81$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.48 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6636…bf37backed Over | 31c | 300$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over | 26c | 299.97$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.48 | 156 | 23.7%37 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 114 | 29.8%34 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced5…71c2backed Under | 80c | 286.48$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.18 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75ef…cb71backed Over | 35c | 285.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.55 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f8…09f7backed Over | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +144.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 27c | 274.08$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.83 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over | 34c | 265.26$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.07 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 40c | 249.66$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.44 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Under | 78c | 228.21$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 38c | 187.03$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.03 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 63c | 173.9$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.12 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb19a…3808backed Over | 34c | 168.29$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Over | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Over | 34c | 150$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc40f…1950backed Under | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…51f7backed Over | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc994…f4ebbacked Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7774…4f13backed Under | 64c | 109$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 67cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 62c | 104.66$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.89 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 66c | 100.8$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.09 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df8…475cbacked Over | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.62 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Under | 67c | 91.15$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.13 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Over | 33c | 89.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Over | 32c | 87.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.83 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cbf8backed Over | 36c | 82.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.35 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Over | 50c | 79.11$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.63 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +6.1wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x83c9…bacfbacked Under | 60c | 74.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Under | 66c | 66$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x119f…2c27backed Under | 68c | 60.29$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…bec2backed Over | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Over | 41c | 54.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.69 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed Under | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Over | 33c | 49.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Under | 64c | 46.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…3432backed Under | 67c | 41.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.42per pick | 54cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Over | 38c | 34.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f02…c594backed Under | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c8…c5d9backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 35c | 29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 171 | 42.7%73 W · 98 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…1bcfbacked Under | 65c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Under | 60c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…daabbacked Under | 67c | 20.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Under | 68c | 18.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed Under | 58c | 18.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Under | 62c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Under | 62c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Udinese Calcio vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Udinese Calcio (-1.5)Genoa CFC won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.