Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Game Master - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabf2a0da001d1827a9f5d7817b6b2499bd76481931a3dc133453933ca1539f54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Game Masterof Vici Gaming, Game Master
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,120
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,386
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,120 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Vici Gaming | 45c | 2,728$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.96 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2521…7f2bbacked Vici Gaming | 2c | 1,011$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Game Master | 56c | 909.64$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.82 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Game Master | 30c | 857.18$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.03 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Game Master | 49c | 610.85$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.85 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Vici Gaming | 5c | 550.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Vici Gaming | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed Vici Gaming | 46c | 434.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.09 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Vici Gaming | 14c | 411.22$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked Vici Gaming | 6c | 366.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Game Master | 64c | 350.5$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.82 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Vici Gaming | 10c | 226.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Vici Gaming | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Vici Gaming | 44c | 196.88$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.41 | 47 | 10.6%5 W · 42 L | -12.0wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Game Master | 59c | 124.05$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.14 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Vici Gaming | 11c | 113.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 328 | 6.4%21 W · 307 L | -102.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xf056…b5dfbacked Game Master | 50c | 100.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.26 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b47…25d3backed Game Master | 30c | 97.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.91 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Vici Gaming | 52c | 95.37$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Game Master | 33c | 92.65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Vici Gaming | 68c | 90.5$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.54 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Game Master | 27c | 80$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.4 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Vici Gaming | 73c | 80$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Vici Gaming | 28c | 78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd11…79a5backed Game Master | 33c | 63.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…2071backed Vici Gaming | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Game Master | 76c | 39.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Vici Gaming | 47c | 35.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…922ebacked Vici Gaming | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c80…aa9abacked Game Master | 53c | 21.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79d1…f1a3backed Game Master | 57c | 21.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Game Master - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Game Master (BO3)Vici Gaming won
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Game Master - Game 1 WinnerVici Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.