Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Game Master - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23a8f7260a1fccac937790412c96fa4c4c6a2ac7a5e6230628fbd19bd91e039b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vici Gamingof Vici Gaming, Game Master
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,750
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,750 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Vici Gaming | 69c | 4,792$3,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.98 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Game Master | 30c | 4,679$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Game Master | 4c | 3,273$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.75 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Game Master | 25c | 989.26$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.42 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…339ebacked Vici Gaming | 42c | 882.51$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.51 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Game Master | 6c | 848.81$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.93 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc76e…caa5backed Game Master | 3c | 749.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Game Master | 14c | 562.86$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.42 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x334d…45c4backed Game Master | 51c | 431.31$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Vici Gaming | 70c | 390.91$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.67 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2521…7f2bbacked Game Master | 51c | 135.4$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.37 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Game Master | 51c | 104.83$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.35 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb59b…916bbacked Vici Gaming | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Vici Gaming | 50c | 55.51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Vici Gaming | 50c | 55.51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.64 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1d06backed Game Master | 28c | 48.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd11…79a5backed Game Master | 32c | 43.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Game Master | 50c | 40.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fac…bdd8backed Vici Gaming | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Vici Gaming | 77c | 13.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.04 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Game Master - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Game Master (BO3)Vici Gaming won
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Game Master - Game 2 WinnerGame Master won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.