Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf1b4734ffffe6c84a8c67a500a14445ad2e3f2d073ccc302dbe39d9926b2fec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tundra Esportsof Tundra Esports, PARIVISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $207,296
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $239,326
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $207,296 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Tundra Esports | 55c | 24,519$13,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,997.84 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked PARIVISION | 54c | 15,849$8,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,629.97 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Tundra Esports | 30c | 10,624$3,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,398.08 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…09a8backed PARIVISION | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed PARIVISION | 44c | 9,400$4,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,106.25 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd56b…342dbacked Tundra Esports | 59c | 7,034$4,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,868.22 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…5f73backed PARIVISION | 59c | 6,535$3,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,883.25 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed PARIVISION | 47c | 5,849$2,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,758.14 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Tundra Esports | 48c | 5,660$2,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,954.01 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Tundra Esports | 57c | 5,566$3,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,374.88 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed PARIVISION | 53c | 5,559$2,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,971.48 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed PARIVISION | 65c | 4,640$3,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,037.85 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b91…06c4backed PARIVISION | 62c | 4,040$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed PARIVISION | 52c | 3,876$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked PARIVISION | 42c | 3,394$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.19 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x533e…47f4backed Tundra Esports | 34c | 2,933$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,933.29 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5454…ceadbacked Tundra Esports | 26c | 2,566$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.06 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed PARIVISION | 68c | 2,494$1,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,704.19 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed PARIVISION | 79c | 2,018$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.96 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked PARIVISION | 40c | 1,830$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.79 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked Tundra Esports | 55c | 1,826$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.99 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Tundra Esports | 60c | 1,786$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.61 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Tundra Esports | 39c | 1,735$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.58 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed PARIVISION | 69c | 1,288$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c29…21aabacked Tundra Esports | 55c | 1,257$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.57 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed PARIVISION | 55c | 1,176$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Tundra Esports | 62c | 1,150$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.46 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked PARIVISION | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed PARIVISION | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked PARIVISION | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…9ccfbacked PARIVISION | 68c | 1,000$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.99 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed PARIVISION | 54c | 993.91$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.56 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed PARIVISION | 44c | 980.23$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Tundra Esports | 20c | 928$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.11 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd49d…f05cbacked PARIVISION | 43c | 885.04$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.57 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 871.56$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.56 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Tundra Esports | 45c | 865.26$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.14 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59cf…2d48backed PARIVISION | 63c | 863.29$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Tundra Esports | 25c | 809.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.6 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…0715backed PARIVISION | 66c | 618.59$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.27 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed PARIVISION | 49c | 610.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed PARIVISION | 48c | 600$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.43 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x245e…3cedbacked Tundra Esports | 45c | 586.03$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.89 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Tundra Esports | 34c | 554.15$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.28 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed PARIVISION | 57c | 527.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed PARIVISION | 59c | 525$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.95 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Tundra Esports | 45c | 514.55$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.61 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed PARIVISION | 2c | 509.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed PARIVISION | 43c | 506.21$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.49 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed PARIVISION | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.19 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…89d0backed PARIVISION | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Tundra Esports | 22c | 499.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.99 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked PARIVISION | 44c | 477.05$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.9 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 451.1$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.99 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed PARIVISION | 32c | 438.27$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.98 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Tundra Esports | 54c | 433.39$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.36 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…d212backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 405.82$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.82 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Tundra Esports | 27c | 400$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Tundra Esports | 47c | 393.74$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.33 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e0…0d61backed PARIVISION | 20c | 380.5$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.1 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x772c…3539backed Tundra Esports | 33c | 371.93$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.66 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Tundra Esports | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.85 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da2…8c2bbacked PARIVISION | 60c | 336.52$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.05 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f03…7551backed PARIVISION | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed PARIVISION | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked PARIVISION | 47c | 296.14$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked PARIVISION | 75c | 285.25$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.38 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…6313backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 271.1$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked PARIVISION | 69c | 246.98$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 269 | 58.7%158 W · 111 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Tundra Esports | 30c | 237$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.9 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed PARIVISION | 46c | 220$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed PARIVISION | 62c | 204.48$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.78 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed PARIVISION | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3260…85ddbacked Tundra Esports | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Tundra Esports | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.13 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 194$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.74 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…24c2backed PARIVISION | 78c | 188.49$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.11 | 130 | 61.5%80 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed PARIVISION | 28c | 176.91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.32 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked PARIVISION | 57c | 173.61$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.96 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed PARIVISION | 72c | 168.06$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 165.31$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.06 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78db…4d37backed PARIVISION | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bef…be32backed PARIVISION | 46c | 142.15$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed PARIVISION | 56c | 140$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 332 | 65.4%217 W · 115 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Tundra Esports | 36c | 140$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.2 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89bc…a463backed PARIVISION | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…dc5abacked Tundra Esports | 28c | 138.89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.45per pick | 25cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…6ae0backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 134.87$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.57 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e6…a3b6backed PARIVISION | 50c | 123.64$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed PARIVISION | 65c | 120$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…1b61backed PARIVISION | 51c | 119.61$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.7 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53a5…fc83backed Tundra Esports | 46c | 117$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.18 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed PARIVISION | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f78…b642backed Tundra Esports | 41c | 110$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.9 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed PARIVISION | 57c | 107.47$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.22 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…2071backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed PARIVISION | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…ea16backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2Tundra Esports won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PARIVISION - Game 2 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.