NHL · resolved market
KHL: Barys Astana vs. Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf409bce963cfb5397e4824499e3833fd38a2e3831d41628534ccfee4fd5dedb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avtomobilist Yekaterinburgof Barys Astana, Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,774
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,230
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,774 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x144f…a1fdbacked Barys Astana | 34c | 2,619$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2c…5933backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 66c | 2,556$1,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.99 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3097…a2cabacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 65c | 1,570$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.37 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x887a…c417backed Barys Astana | 35c | 1,568$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Barys Astana | 34c | 999.94$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.98 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Barys Astana | 35c | 800$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd018…cf6ebacked Barys Astana | 34c | 753$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3661…b27cbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 66c | 703$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…b134backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 66c | 697$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4f…4cd8backed Barys Astana | 34c | 647$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6e…d15bbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 66c | 600$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Barys Astana | 36c | 595.09$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.78 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd08c…5494backed Barys Astana | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e8…fbe3backed Barys Astana | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff59…afeabacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 66c | 400$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b47…25d3backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 58c | 344$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46aa…2e90backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 65c | 323$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Barys Astana | 11c | 321.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Barys Astana | 42c | 251.43$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 225 | 43.1%97 W · 128 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 65c | 135$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Barys Astana | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 65c | 120$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 65c | 107$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.45 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 65c | 107$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.45 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Barys Astana | 33c | 103.7$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 66c | 98$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +5.1wins | +0.28per pick | 49cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 65c | 91$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +9.8wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 65c | 83$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…a045backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 64c | 73$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 64c | 64$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5253…b898backed Barys Astana | 35c | 64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed Barys Astana | 35c | 63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…1000backed Barys Astana | 35c | 51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 274 | 45.6%125 W · 149 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 64c | 49.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…ddaebacked Barys Astana | 35c | 43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…1866backed Barys Astana | 35c | 39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Barys Astana | 35c | 38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa23c…ae92backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd253…14d9backed Barys Astana | 35c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…9cdabacked Barys Astana | 35c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb780…e7a2backed Barys Astana | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Barys Astana | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Barys Astana | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2999…50bcbacked Barys Astana | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed Barys Astana | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed Barys Astana | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…bc16backed Barys Astana | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacc…23c6backed Barys Astana | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…fcb4backed Barys Astana | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…668abacked Barys Astana | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked Barys Astana | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…41f0backed Barys Astana | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Barys Astana | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa029…c912backed Barys Astana | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed Barys Astana | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed Barys Astana | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd107…5473backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed Barys Astana | 35c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…dcaabacked Barys Astana | 36c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.