Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa718870d98c2f9c76efd54629365c24fe87804eb1b28e287ca5344b5924931f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $153,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $152,591
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9648…6825backed Yes | 26c | 32,995$8,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,420.38 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +215.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked No | 70c | 16,787$11,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,980.1 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 27c | 12,365$3,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,398.64 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed Yes | 31c | 8,650$2,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,647.91 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed No | 73c | 8,000$5,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed No | 70c | 7,865$5,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360.03 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…ef76backed Yes | 29c | 7,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.99 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Yes | 29c | 4,800$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.99 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +18.5wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf05e…209cbacked Yes | 27c | 3,700$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed Yes | 27c | 3,285$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.35 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +19%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 71c | 3,278$2,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.55 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…ee24backed Yes | 29c | 2,498$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 73c | 2,476$1,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.4 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 73c | 2,050$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.5 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0826…0b32backed No | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 13c | 1,672$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.2 | 335 | 21.8%73 W · 262 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 15c | 1,636$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.54 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 72c | 1,511$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.47 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed Yes | 13c | 1,363$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.53 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 73c | 1,311$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.62 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 76c | 1,140$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.23 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 72c | 1,098$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.28 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 74c | 1,087$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.7 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5d…1614backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb24…ac2cbacked No | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 73c | 949.42$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.72 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked No | 71c | 948.24$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.02 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbd…1288backed Yes | 15c | 935$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.25 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x268f…bbd7backed Yes | 22c | 921.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…297bbacked No | 70c | 900.69$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 72c | 893.33$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.01 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a2…54c2backed Yes | 20c | 842.24$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.64 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 13c | 829.39$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.53 | 155 | 31%48 W · 107 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes | 22c | 813.01$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.39 | 228 | 33.8%77 W · 151 L | +13.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…7b65backed No | 71c | 802.42$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.73 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 75c | 795.82$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.61 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 17c | 756.05$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.96 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed Yes | 16c | 737.38$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.54 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 16c | 712.08$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.39 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 27c | 700$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…1705backed Yes | 23c | 671.71$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.6 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde88…144cbacked Yes | 25c | 650.79$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.21 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 16c | 648$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.82 | 196 | 31.1%61 W · 135 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x498a…5e7bbacked Yes | 19c | 626$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.38 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x598e…9d4fbacked No | 74c | 608.11$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 79c | 603.34$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.09 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2282…73e8backed Yes | 33c | 600$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.04 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 71c | 596.63$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.81 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 70c | 595.61$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.21 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 20c | 575$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed No | 74c | 550$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 71c | 531.27$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.66 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 77c | 526.17$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.79 | 183 | 37.7%69 W · 114 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5f…c111backed Yes | 30c | 520$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed No | 70c | 479.99$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.77 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8333…eb93backed No | 77c | 475$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815a…af37backed Yes | 16c | 460.55$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.69 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…e53abacked Yes | 17c | 456.1$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.54 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d5…0789backed Yes | 5c | 448.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f13…3a2dbacked No | 74c | 415.21$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.95 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 73c | 412.09$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.96 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed Yes | 13c | 405.02$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.48 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a65…a3debacked No | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 14c | 399.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 76c | 392.05$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.67 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7e…28ddbacked Yes | 13c | 381$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 73c | 362.67$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.66 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed Yes | 24c | 356.14$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 18c | 354$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.4 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 75c | 350.13$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.98 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b47…25d3backed Yes | 28c | 349.43$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Yes | 29c | 330.28$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.78 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed No | 71c | 330.28$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.78 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1682…26cabacked No | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44aa…d1d5backed Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3749…4094backed Yes | 17c | 294.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed No | 76c | 282.79$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.19 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc97d…732bbacked Yes | 20c | 282$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.71 | 79 | 25.3%20 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 21c | 265.02$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -86.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 80c | 262$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.82 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3872…bb1dbacked Yes | 19c | 252.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 72c | 235$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7db8…dee4backed Yes | 14c | 234.92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b71…cb46backed Yes | 30c | 226.67$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f3…0becbacked Yes | 27c | 222.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c74…c5e3backed Yes | 32c | 218.75$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked No | 73c | 210.38$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…9160backed Yes | 21c | 210$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.64 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x738e…827abacked Yes | 19c | 208.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7039…4a7dbacked No | 71c | 201.01$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…15dfbacked No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4171…1705backed No | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Yes | 19c | 199.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…2ad3backed Yes | 28c | 194.54$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 18c | 183.78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked Yes | 24c | 178.68$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18b0…7decbacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?this page
- Will David Wellstone be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?No won
- Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.